Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>SPX 3,980 is where a mild bounce should unfold. 4,060 sell resistance then the set-up calls for a break below 3,980 to test lower targets.</li>
<li>This next leg down will cause more damage in EM/Asia and Europe. MACD on the verge of an ugly break below the "0" acceleration line.</li>
<li>US 10yr yield dip is a buy for a push above the 3.95% pivot resistance with new highs in store.</li>
</ul>


SPX 3,980 is where a mild bounce should unfold. 4,060 sell resistance then the set-up calls for a break below 3,980 to test lower targets.
This next leg down will cause more damage in EM/Asia and Europe. MACD on the verge of an ugly break below the "0" acceleration line.
US 10yr yield dip is a buy for a push above the 3.95% pivot resistance with new highs in store.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>Since January, our expectation for 2023 has been for 4165 (and 4165-4200) to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>We've been preaching caution with the indexes testing resistance, and we are now getting confirmation that suggests a pullback has officially begun</li>
<li>SPX, QQQ, and IWM all demonstrating false breakouts, alongside bullish inflections in Treasury yields, high yield spreads, and the U.S. dollar. Defensives also display bullish RS reversals</li>
</ul>


Since January, our expectation for 2023 has been for 4165 (and 4165-4200) to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.
We've been preaching caution with the indexes testing resistance, and we are now getting confirmation that suggests a pullback has officially begun
SPX, QQQ, and IWM all demonstrating false breakouts, alongside bullish inflections in Treasury yields, high yield spreads, and the U.S. dollar. Defensives also display bullish RS reversals


Pullback Begins; How Low Can Indexes Go?; High Yield Spreads & DXY Following Treasury Yields Higher

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The Asian Dollar Index is down (US Dollar up) 1.7% from 1st -13th February.</li><li>After the initial excitement of China reopening accelerating after the LNY holidays, the CNY weakened by 1.7%, and Yen weakened by nearly 3% during the same period in February.</li><li>The Bloomberg Dollar index is up 1.78%, and the DXY index is up 2.57%.</li></ul>

The Asian Dollar Index is down (US Dollar up) 1.7% from 1st -13th February.After the initial excitement of China reopening accelerating after the LNY holidays, the CNY weakened by 1.7%, and Yen weakened by nearly 3% during the same period in February.The Bloomberg Dollar index is up 1.78%, and the DXY index is up 2.57%.

United States

The NASDAQ-100 Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of the 100 largest and most active non-financial domestic and international issues listed on the NASDAQ. No security can have more than a 24% weighting. The index was developed with a base value of 125 as of February 1, 1985. Prior to December 21,1998 the Nasdaq 100 was a cap-weighted index.

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

SPX Range Ahead of Next Leg Down

SPX 3,980 is where a mild bounce should unfold. 4,060 sell resistance then the set-up calls for a break below 3,980 to test lower targets. MACD on...

Thomas Schroeder

Pullback Begins; How Low Can Indexes Go?; High Yield Spreads & DXY Following Treasury Yields Higher

Since January, our expectation for 2023 has been for 4165 (and 4165-4200) to cap upside on the $SPX. We have been preaching caution, and we are...

Vermilion Research

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

The Butterfly Effect

After the initial excitement of China reopening accelerating after the LNY holidays, the CNY weakened by 1.7%, and Yen weakened by nearly 3% during...

Untying The Gordian Knot