Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan's government has passed new major tax subsidies to support semiconductor firms' R&amp;D and capex spending.</li>
<li>TSMC results will be out this afternoon; Interestingly, TSMC's CEO has been buying shares during October, November, and December.</li>
<li>Hon Hai has begun iPhone 15 trial production, and Zhengzhou is back to 100%.</li>
</ul>


Taiwan's government has passed new major tax subsidies to support semiconductor firms' R&amp;D and capex spending.
TSMC results will be out this afternoon; Interestingly, TSMC's CEO has been buying shares during October, November, and December.
Hon Hai has begun iPhone 15 trial production, and Zhengzhou is back to 100%.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Global Optimism for Semi Stocks, Taiwan's New Subsidies, TSMC CEO Buying Stock

<ul>
<li>TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.</li>
<li>Samsung has guided staff internally for a major slump in its semiconductor unit's operating profit.</li>
<li>Apple is pushing for price cuts amongst its suppliers due to weak end demand for its products.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.
Samsung has guided staff internally for a major slump in its semiconductor unit's operating profit.
Apple is pushing for price cuts amongst its suppliers due to weak end demand for its products.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

<ul>
<li>Apple shares have fallen recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty and weak consumer end-market demand.</li>
<li>Key Apple suppliers Quanta and Pegatron, in particular, appear to have not yet reacted to the declining market sentiment towards Apple.</li>
<li>Investors can consider Shorting Quanta and Pegatron vs. a Long position in Apple. We see limited potential for positive news flow for the stocks through January.</li>
</ul>


Apple shares have fallen recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty and weak consumer end-market demand.
Key Apple suppliers Quanta and Pegatron, in particular, appear to have not yet reacted to the declining market sentiment towards Apple.
Investors can consider Shorting Quanta and Pegatron vs. a Long position in Apple. We see limited potential for positive news flow for the stocks through January.


Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

<ul>
<li>While most of the semi industry is reducing capex due to market weakness -- Samsung says it will still expand capacity next year.</li>
<li>China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.</li>
<li>TSMC in advanced talks to set up its first European production capacity in Germany.</li>
</ul>


While most of the semi industry is reducing capex due to market weakness -- Samsung says it will still expand capacity next year.
China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.
TSMC in advanced talks to set up its first European production capacity in Germany.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

<ul>
<li>Micron's recent results, where it showed a major margin slide and swung to a net loss, imply weak results ahead for Nanya Tech.</li>
<li>We believe that Nanya's FY2023E consensus figures are likely to be revised down.</li>
<li>We see more downside risk ahead for Nanya Tech shares, and will await lower levels before buying based on deep-value.</li>
</ul>


Micron's recent results, where it showed a major margin slide and swung to a net loss, imply weak results ahead for Nanya Tech.
We believe that Nanya's FY2023E consensus figures are likely to be revised down.
We see more downside risk ahead for Nanya Tech shares, and will await lower levels before buying based on deep-value.


Nanya Technology: Consensus Numbers Likely Too High, Net Loss Potential

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Global Optimism for Semi Stocks, Taiwan's New Subsidies, TSMC CEO Buying Stock

TSMC results will be released this afternoon. Notably, TSMC's CEO has been buying shares over the last three months. Hon Hai begins iPhone 15 trial...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Signs TSMC Winning the 3-Nm Battle Vs. Samsung, Apple Bargaining Down Suppliers

TSMC's revenue could drop in the near-term due to customers cutting orders, however full year 2023E growth still likely thanks to advanced chips.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

Apple shares have fallen most recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Samsung Will Keep Expanding Capacity, China Chip Restrictions Tighten Further

China chip restrictions get more severe -- Now Arm is not selling its most advanced chip architectures to Chinese firms.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nanya Technology: Consensus Numbers Likely Too High, Net Loss Potential

Micron's recent results imply more downside risk ahead for Nanya Tech shares, and we will await lower levels before buying based on deep-value.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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