Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Marine and subsea services provider <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mma-offshore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:594:1" rel="noopener">MMA Offshore (MRM AU)</a></strong> has<a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20240325/pdf/061th4gr5xnplb.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> entered into a Scheme</a> with Singapore's Cyan Renewables. </li>
<li>Cyan, wholly-owned by Seraya Partners, is offering A$2.60/share in cash, a 11% premium to last close and a 31% premium to the 90-day VWAP. </li>
<li>MMA shareholder approval and FIRB are the key conditions. This Offer will tentatively complete mid-late July. </li>
</ul>


Marine and subsea services provider MMA Offshore (MRM AU) has entered into a Scheme with Singapore's Cyan Renewables. 
Cyan, wholly-owned by Seraya Partners, is offering A$2.60/share in cash, a 11% premium to last close and a 31% premium to the 90-day VWAP. 
MMA shareholder approval and FIRB are the key conditions. This Offer will tentatively complete mid-late July. 


MMA Offshore: A$2.60/Share Cash Offer From Seraya Partners

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Moelis Australia Ltd

MA Moelis Australia

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Moelis Australia Ltd

We are an ASX-listed financial services firm specialising in asset management, lending, corporate advisory and equities. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>1H24 EBITDA guidance range exceeds our expectations: management has issued quantitative guidance for the first time, and expects 1H24 EBITDA in the range of $55- $60m, which implies +56% upgrade on prior MAe (at the midpoint), as well as +79% growth on pcp and +54% sequential HoH growth;</li>
<li>From an operational perspective, management noted strong contributions across all divisions (vessels, subsea, and project logistics) during the first 4 months of the year supported by strong activity across all key markets;</li>
<li>Management further noted "solid contracted revenue position" for the remainder of 1H24</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


1H24 EBITDA guidance range exceeds our expectations: management has issued quantitative guidance for the first time, and expects 1H24 EBITDA in the range of $55- $60m, which implies +56% upgrade on prior MAe (at the midpoint), as well as +79% growth on pcp and +54% sequential HoH growth;
From an operational perspective, management noted strong contributions across all divisions (vessels, subsea, and project logistics) during the first 4 months of the year supported by strong activity across all key markets;
Management further noted "solid contracted revenue position" for the remainder of 1H24

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MMA Offshore Ltd - 1H24 Guidance Highlights Operating Leverage

<div><div><div><div><ul><li><p>Vessel supply shortfall expected to be sustained against a backdrop of building demand: New OSV deliveries have been at historical lows since 2017 as returns have not justified new investment.</p></li><li><p>Improved oil &amp; gas prices and offshore wind activity underpinned by growing energy demand have contributed to climbing vessel utilisation (MRM: 80% in FY24 vs 53% in FY21) that is expected to be sustained through the short term as new supply lags.</p></li><li><p>Improved day rates and utilisation expected to unlock operating leverage: The cost base associated with a large asset base contributes to significant operating leverage within the model. </p></li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Vessel supply shortfall expected to be sustained against a backdrop of building demand: New OSV deliveries have been at historical lows since 2017 as returns have not justified new investment.Improved oil &amp; gas prices and offshore wind activity underpinned by growing energy demand have contributed to climbing vessel utilisation (MRM: 80% in FY24 vs 53% in FY21) that is expected to be sustained through the short term as new supply lags.Improved day rates and utilisation expected to unlock operating leverage: The cost base associated with a large asset base contributes to significant operating leverage within the model. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MMA Offshore Limited (MRM-AU) – Buy – Price: $1.29; PT: $1.65

<ul>
<li>I tally 50 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl (4921 JP)</a></strong>'s Tender offer, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a></strong>'s Scheme, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jeisys-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36766:1" rel="noopener">Jeisys Medical (287410 KS)</a></strong>'s delisting offer. Bain also approached <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bapcor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8433:1" rel="noopener">Bapcor (BAP AU)</a></strong>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina (AWC AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helios-techno-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13934:1" rel="noopener">Helios Techno (6927 JP)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tatsuta-electric-wire-cable-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12509:1" rel="noopener">Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 50 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week: Fancl (4921 JP)'s Tender offer, A8 New Media (800 HK)'s Scheme, and Jeisys Medical (287410 KS)'s delisting offer. Bain also approached Bapcor (BAP AU).
Key updates took place on: Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Alumina (AWC AU), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Helios Techno (6927 JP), and Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

Australia

K & S Corporation Limited provides transportation, warehousing, logistics, fuel distribution and various services to companies throughout Australia.  K & S provides road, rail and sea forwarding services, warehousing and storage, fuel distribution to fishing, farming and retail customers in certain regions of Australia.  K & S also provides bulk distribution throughout New Zealand.

Alliance Aviation Services Ltd. is a mining services company. The Company specializes in providing transportation by air of its mining and energy customers' employees and contractors to and from remote locations, ad hoc charter services - operating commercial air charters servicing the needs of Government and corporate customers, and wet leasing services.

Future Generation Investment Company Limited is an investment company incorporated in Australia.  The objective of the Fund is to provide exposure to a group of prominent Australian fund managers in a single investment vehicle. The Fund will invest in funds managed by a number of Australian fund managers with diversified exposure to Australian equities.

Lindsay Australia Limited is an integrated transport, logistics and rural supply company.  The Company primarily services customers in the food processing, food services, fresh produce, rural and horticultural industries.

CTI Logistics Limited provides courier services, freight forwarding, parcel, warehousing, logistic and customs broking services.  The Company also designs, produces and installs security systems in Western Australia along with plastic services such as manufacturing plumbing fittings.

Monadelphous Group Limited provides engineering and construction services to the resources and petrochemical industries. The Company provides mining and processing industry maintenance, mining equipment refurbishment, project management, construction, and airport ground handling services. Monadelphous Group serves customers in Australia.

McMillan Shakespeare Limited provides salary packaging services.  The Company also offers services like procurement of motor vehicles, insurance, finance and fuel and service maintenance programs.

SG Fleet Group Ltd provides vehicle leasing and fleet management services. The Company offers its services to corporate and government customers and individual employees of those customers.

Austal Limited is an emerging global defence prime contractor. The Group supplies vessel platforms such as the Littoral Combat Ship and the Joint High Speed Vessel to the United States Navy, an extensive range of patrol and auxiliary vessels to defence forces around the world, and installs and maintains military communications, radar and command and control systems.

SmartGroup Corp Ltd. is an Australian outsourced salary packaging company within the health, not-for-profit, State and Federal Government departments and corporate sectors nationwide.

Eagle Bulk Shipping Inc. owns a fleet of dry bulk vessels and transports a range of major and minor bulk cargoes.  The Company transports iron ore, coal, grain, cement, and fertilizer along worldwide shipping routes.

NS United Kaiun Kaisha, Ltd. operates specialized carriers and tramps to ship iron ore, steel, coal, crude oil, and gas. The Company is affiliated with Nippon Yusen. The Company also has close ties with Nippon Steel.

2GO Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides shipping and logistics services in the Philippines and internationally. It engages in the domestic and international delivery of documents and parcels, money remittances, cash, certificate and visas, pouches and boxes, full container and loose cargo, and supply chain services; and warehousing and distribution, asset maintenance, and relocation services. The company also provides project management and consultancy services, such as transportation of heavy and bulk-sized equipment; and logistics services, such as ambient and temperature controlled distribution centers, forward stock locations, ambient and temperature controlled cross-docking, domestic freight forwarding and land transport, bundling and kitting, control tower solutions, and logistics solutions design and consultancy services. In addition, it provides passenger travel services; and operates ferry vessels. Further, the company offers international and domestic air and sea freight forwarding services, cargo consolidation, dangerous goods handling, customs brokerage, and building and exhibition logistics; and FMCG trading and distribution, food servicing, and catering services, as well as liquid transport services. Additionally, it provides manpower, security, trucking, forwarding services, water barging, tugboat assistance, and arrastre and stevedoring services. The company operates a fleet of 23 passenger and freight vessels. It also operates 15,000 containers, 35 cross-dock warehouses, 550 trucks, 1,200 trailers, 250 motorcycles, 70,000 square meters of distribution center operations, and approximately 185 branches and outlets. The company formerly known as ATS Consolidated (ATSC), Inc. and changed its name to 2GO Group, Inc. in March 2012. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Manila, the Philippines.

Regional Container Lines Public Company Limited provides ocean freight transportation services. The Company owns and operates a fleet of container vessels covering more than 70 destinations in Asia, Australia, and the Middle East.

PT Pelayaran Tempuran Emas Tbk provides sea transportation services. The company has network of branches and agents throughout Indonesia and Singapore. Pelayaran Tempuran Emas also offers logistic supports for cargo movements.

Bohai Ferry Company Limited is a passenger liner transportation enterprise. The Company mainly operates passenger vessel transport for the Yantai-Dalian and Penglai-Dalian sea routes.

Safe Bulkers Inc. is an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services transporting bulk cargoes particularly grain, iron ore, and coal. The Company has a fleet of panamax, kamsarmax, and post-panamax class vessels.

IINO KAIUN KAISHA, LTD. owns and operates specialized tankers such as oil, chemical, and LPG carriers.  The Company transports crude oil, petroleum gasoline, and various dry consumer and agricultural goods.  Iino Kaiun Kaisha also leases and sells real estate.

Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd. provides shipping services. The Company focuses on drybulk carrier ships used to transport iron ore, coal, grain, steel, and other products. Genco Shipping & Trading serves customers worldwide.

Ningbo Marine Co., Ltd. provides freight transportation on the inland waters, as well as between the ports of Ningbo and Southeast Asian countries and Japan. The Company also invests in the transportation facility construction business and processes steel product.

MMA Offshore Limited provides diversified marine services. The Company operates mainly in the Dampier and North West Shelf in Western Australia and also in the Northern Territory. MMA Offshore operates crew vessel charters, vessel manning, management and logistics along with operating supply base facilities.

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Mma Offshore (MRM AU)

MMA Offshore Ltd - 1H24 Guidance Highlights Operating Leverage

1H24 EBITDA guidance range exceeds our expectations: management has issued quantitative guidance for the first time, and expects 1H24 EBITDA in the...

MA Moelis Australia

MMA Offshore Limited (MRM-AU) – Buy – Price: $1.29; PT: $1.65

Vessel supply shortfall expected to be sustained against a backdrop of building demand: New OSV deliveries have been at historical lows since 2017...

MA Moelis Australia

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MMA Offshore: A$2.60/Share Cash Offer From Seraya Partners

Trading almost to terms. Investors expecting a bump in lieu of a FY24E dividend? Or Halom pushing back? Terms have not been declared final. But I...

David Blennerhassett

MMA Offshore Ltd - 1H24 Guidance Highlights Operating Leverage

1H24 EBITDA guidance range exceeds our expectations: management has issued quantitative guidance for the first time, and expects 1H24 EBITDA in the...

MA Moelis Australia

MMA Offshore Limited (MRM-AU) – Buy – Price: $1.29; PT: $1.65

Vessel supply shortfall expected to be sustained against a backdrop of building demand: New OSV deliveries have been at historical lows since 2017...

MA Moelis Australia

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 12th): Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Mineral Resource, Macquarie, South32, Car.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM