IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> announced a pre-conditional tender offer by Japan Industrial Partners (JIP), the preferred bidder at JPY4,620 per share, a 9.7% premium to the last close price.</li>
<li>The special committee opines that the offer is the best price that can be expected today, which sounds like we are recommending the offer as it is the only one.</li>
<li>The offer has several negatives: a 14% price reduction during the process, below the undisturbed price, below the mid-point IFA DCF range and no serious effort on Plan B. </li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) announced a pre-conditional tender offer by Japan Industrial Partners (JIP), the preferred bidder at JPY4,620 per share, a 9.7% premium to the last close price.
The special committee opines that the offer is the best price that can be expected today, which sounds like we are recommending the offer as it is the only one.
The offer has several negatives: a 14% price reduction during the process, below the undisturbed price, below the mid-point IFA DCF range and no serious effort on Plan B. 


Toshiba (6502 JP): JIP’s JPY4,620 Tender Offer, Now for the Really Hard Part

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Crisis Over !Bailouts from US to Europe, Stocks rally as Contagion fears wane; Major Banks rescue First Republic Bank; Swiss Central Bank protects Credit Suisse; ECB raises by 50bps</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 133.8; Expect Japan Equities to start the road to recovery with macro fears subsiding;  Japan-Korea move fwd on trade/security. </li>
<li>NUGGET. Orix - one of the Biggest Renewables Plays in Japan. Riding the Decarbonization MegaTrend</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Crisis Over !Bailouts from US to Europe, Stocks rally as Contagion fears wane; Major Banks rescue First Republic Bank; Swiss Central Bank protects Credit Suisse; ECB raises by 50bps
JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 133.8; Expect Japan Equities to start the road to recovery with macro fears subsiding;  Japan-Korea move fwd on trade/security. 
NUGGET. Orix - one of the Biggest Renewables Plays in Japan. Riding the Decarbonization MegaTrend


Good Morning Japan |VICTORY Declared as Bailouts Rule; NUGGET: ORIX-Riding the Zero-Carbon MegaTrend

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Credit Suisse Rattles Markets; Spurs Equity sell off in flight to Safety trade;   UST 2Yr Yld back below 4%;  Crude Extend losses amid Banks sector worries;</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.6% vs Cash;  USDJPY 133.4.  NKY Futs surprisingly weak given JP untouched by turmoil; Govt considers Cash transfers to poor households; Inbound recovery Continues</li>
<li>NUGGET.  As Japan Hosts "Defense and Security Equipment International (DSEI) JAPAN"  trade show this week,  it will highlight opportunities for local defense contractors overseas.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Credit Suisse Rattles Markets; Spurs Equity sell off in flight to Safety trade;   UST 2Yr Yld back below 4%;  Crude Extend losses amid Banks sector worries;
JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.6% vs Cash;  USDJPY 133.4.  NKY Futs surprisingly weak given JP untouched by turmoil; Govt considers Cash transfers to poor households; Inbound recovery Continues
NUGGET.  As Japan Hosts "Defense and Security Equipment International (DSEI) JAPAN"  trade show this week,  it will highlight opportunities for local defense contractors overseas.


Good Morning Japan |Now Its Credit Suisse-Markets Rattled; NUGGET: Fuel for Japan's Defense Stocks

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.7% as Regional Bank rebounded  as Calmer heads prevailed;  CPI Print at 6% provides a dose of reality; Meta Culls again; Another Big Boeing Order.   </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 134.2;  Surprising JP Bank Sell -off yesterday to reverse;  BOJ buys ETFs for 2nd Day; Companies hiking Wages better than expected. </li>
<li>NUGGET. iSpace - Japan's key hope to conquer space. IPO slated for early April, and a moon landing just after. Could be big. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.7% as Regional Bank rebounded  as Calmer heads prevailed;  CPI Print at 6% provides a dose of reality; Meta Culls again; Another Big Boeing Order.   
JAPAN.  NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 134.2;  Surprising JP Bank Sell -off yesterday to reverse;  BOJ buys ETFs for 2nd Day; Companies hiking Wages better than expected. 
NUGGET. iSpace - Japan's key hope to conquer space. IPO slated for early April, and a moon landing just after. Could be big. 


Good Morning Japan | Equities Recoup (Some) Losses; NUGGET: ISpace to Rescue Japan's Space Dreams

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Powell Testifies. 50bp hike more likely  as inflation higher than expected. Sparks repricing in markets: US Equities hit, UST dumped, USD rises - Choas all round. </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY weakens to 137.1 as Powell tesimony digested;  H3 failure-blow to JP space hopes; "My Number" Use expanded;  Dentsu UK M&amp;A; Many Rating D/Gs </li>
<li>NUGGET. Carbon Capture is a key part of the decarbonization mix; Expect significant spend locally and globally. We look at the opportunity and the firms likely to benefit.  </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Powell Testifies. 50bp hike more likely  as inflation higher than expected. Sparks repricing in markets: US Equities hit, UST dumped, USD rises - Choas all round. 
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY weakens to 137.1 as Powell tesimony digested;  H3 failure-blow to JP space hopes; "My Number" Use expanded;  Dentsu UK M&amp;A; Many Rating D/Gs 
NUGGET. Carbon Capture is a key part of the decarbonization mix; Expect significant spend locally and globally. We look at the opportunity and the firms likely to benefit.  


Good Morning Japan |Powell Dishes Bitter Pill - Sparks Cross Market Chaos; NUGGET: CCUS Opportunity

Japan

Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd. is a comprehensive heavy machinery maker. The Company manufactures machinery, ships, turbines and engines, prime movers, aircrafts, and machine parts for military and commercial use.  Mitsubishi Heavy Industries also researches and develops nuclear power plants.

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Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP)

Toshiba (6502 JP): JIP’s JPY4,620 Tender Offer, Now for the Really Hard Part

The shares will react positively initially. However, it should start drifting again once it becomes apparent that there is a considerable risk that...

Arun George

Good Morning Japan |VICTORY Declared as Bailouts Rule; NUGGET: ORIX-Riding the Zero-Carbon MegaTrend

Expect Japan Equities to start the road to recovery with macro fears subsiding; Japan-Korea move fwd on trade/security. NUGGET: Orix - as a...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Now Its Credit Suisse-Markets Rattled; NUGGET: Fuel for Japan's Defense Stocks

NKY Futs surprisingly weak given JP untouched by turmoil; Govt considers Cash transfers to poor households; Inbound recovery Continues. NUGGET:...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Equities Recoup (Some) Losses; NUGGET: ISpace to Rescue Japan's Space Dreams

Surprising JP Bank Sell -off yesterday to reverse; BOJ buys ETFs for 2nd Day; Companies hiking Wages better than expected. NUGGET: iSpace-Going...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Powell Dishes Bitter Pill - Sparks Cross Market Chaos; NUGGET: CCUS Opportunity

REALITY CHECK FROM POWELL; USDJPY weakens to 137.1 as Powell tesimony digested; H3 failure-blow to JP space hopes; "My Number" Use expanded; ...

Mark Chadwick

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