Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Micron Technology recently provided insights into their fiscal third quarter 2024 performance, shedding light on various strategic and operational aspects that investors may find critical in shaping their investment thesis.</li><li>Amid a challenging global semiconductor landscape characterized by rapid technological advancements and fluctuating demand cycles, Micron appears cautiously optimistic about the future, driven by strategic investments and a focus on high-margin products.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Micron Technology recently provided insights into their fiscal third quarter 2024 performance, shedding light on various strategic and operational aspects that investors may find critical in shaping their investment thesis.Amid a challenging global semiconductor landscape characterized by rapid technological advancements and fluctuating demand cycles, Micron appears cautiously optimistic about the future, driven by strategic investments and a focus on high-margin products.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Micron Technology Inc.: Will Its Expansion into Data Center and AI Markets Result In A Massive Runup? - Major Drivers

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Data Centers -- Traditional Data Center Recovery Starting; In Addition to HBM Demand, SSD Memory Seeing Strength for AI Applications</li>
<li>PCs -- Upcycle to Accelerate "Late CY2024E", Driven by Windows 12 and End of Windows 10</li>
<li>Mobile Devices -- Moderate Growth in CY2024E; Potential for Smartphone Upgrade Cycle Acceleration</li>
</ul>


Data Centers -- Traditional Data Center Recovery Starting; In Addition to HBM Demand, SSD Memory Seeing Strength for AI Applications
PCs -- Upcycle to Accelerate "Late CY2024E", Driven by Windows 12 and End of Windows 10
Mobile Devices -- Moderate Growth in CY2024E; Potential for Smartphone Upgrade Cycle Acceleration


Memory Monitor: Micron's Shares May Be Falling But Results' Industry Implications Are Positive

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Expect Micron to report strength in AI, highlight the company's HBM efforts, and quote McKinsey's trillion-dollar forecast in their earnings call tomorrow</li>
<li>Although Nvidia's growth has really helped the DRAM market, along with 2023 CapEx cuts, there are important concerns of double-ordering which could lead to a collapse soon</li>
<li>Semiconductor market revenues have leveled off since December 2023, hinting a return to more normal growth for the rest of the year</li>
</ul>


Expect Micron to report strength in AI, highlight the company's HBM efforts, and quote McKinsey's trillion-dollar forecast in their earnings call tomorrow
Although Nvidia's growth has really helped the DRAM market, along with 2023 CapEx cuts, there are important concerns of double-ordering which could lead to a collapse soon
Semiconductor market revenues have leveled off since December 2023, hinting a return to more normal growth for the rest of the year


<ul>
<li>Computex showed how Micron has successfully leap-frogged SK Hynix and Samsung in HBM DRAM for AI Servers.</li>
<li>Now, older 'boring' DRAM prices could surge as HBM DRAM production is voraciously consuming memory fab capacity.</li>
<li>Why Nanya Tech shares could surge higher -- A DRAM memory trade for those who don't want to chase steep 52-week highs in Micron and SK Hynix.</li>
</ul>


Computex showed how Micron has successfully leap-frogged SK Hynix and Samsung in HBM DRAM for AI Servers.
Now, older 'boring' DRAM prices could surge as HBM DRAM production is voraciously consuming memory fab capacity.
Why Nanya Tech shares could surge higher -- A DRAM memory trade for those who don't want to chase steep 52-week highs in Micron and SK Hynix.


Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; 'Boring' DRAM Could Now Hot Up

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>HBM revenue on track to jump from a few hundred million in 2024 to "multiple" billions in 2025</li>
<li>Micron expects to become FCF positive in the second half of their fiscal 2024 and to have a record revenue year in their fiscal 2025. </li>
<li>Micron's is doing custom work on their HBM solutions. Customers are signing LTAs with defined pricing. This could easily spread to Micron's non-HBM products also. </li>
</ul>


HBM revenue on track to jump from a few hundred million in 2024 to "multiple" billions in 2025
Micron expects to become FCF positive in the second half of their fiscal 2024 and to have a record revenue year in their fiscal 2025. 
Micron's is doing custom work on their HBM solutions. Customers are signing LTAs with defined pricing. This could easily spread to Micron's non-HBM products also. 


Micron's HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..

United States

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc., a wireless semiconductor company, designs and manufactures radio frequency and complete semiconductor system solutions for mobile communications applications.  The Company provides front-end modules, radio frequency subsystems, and system solutions to wireless handset and infrastructure customers worldwide.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Entegris Inc. provides materials management products and services to the microelectronics industry on a worldwide basis.  The Company provides products such as wafer shippers, wafer transport and process carriers, pods, and work-in-process boxes.  Entegris also provides chemical delivery products such as valves, fittings, tubing, pipe, and containers.

Analog Devices, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits used in analog and digital signal processing.  The Company's products are used in communications, computer, industrial, instrumentation, military/aerospace, automotive, and high-performance consumer electronics applications.  Analog Devices sells its products worldwide.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

NXP Semiconductors NV operates as a global semiconductor company. The Company designs semiconductors and software for mobile communications, consumer electronics, security applications, in-car entertainment, and networking.  NXP offers its products to the automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, mobile, and computing applications.

LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells silicon rods and silicon wafers. The Company's main products include 6 inch, 6.5 inch and 8 inch monocrystalline silicon rods and wafers.

LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

DISCO CORPORATION manufactures abrasive and precision industrial machinery for cutting and grinding purposes.  The Company's products are applied in the semiconductor, electronics, and construction industries to produce consumer goods such as personal computers, digital cameras, video game systems, and Digital Video Disc (DVD) players.

Renesas Electronics Corporation researches, develops, designs and manufactures electronic components such as semiconductors and integrated devices.

Micron Technology, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets dynamic random access memory chips (DRAMs), very fast static random access memory chips (SRAMs), Flash Memory, other semiconductor components, and memory modules.

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Micron Technology (MU US)

Micron Technology Inc.: Will Its Expansion into Data Center and AI Markets Result In A Massive Runup? - Major Drivers

Micron Technology recently provided insights into their fiscal third quarter 2024 performance, shedding light on various strategic and operational...

Baptista Research

Memory Monitor: Micron's Shares May Be Falling But Results' Industry Implications Are Positive

Discusses the recovery of traditional data centers, strength in SSD memory for AI applications, upcycle in PCs driven by Windows 12, and potential...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron Earnings - What to Expect

Micron will highlight AI strength & HBM in its earnings call, but double-ordering could soon lead to a market collapse. Semiconductor market...

Jim Handy

Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; 'Boring' DRAM Could Now Hot Up

Micron's HBM DRAM shined alongside Nvidia at Computex. But now the HBM DRAM craze could drive a surge in traditional DRAM prices. Nanya Tech would...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron's HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..

Micron's HBM revenue on track to jump from a few hundred million in 2024 to "multiple" billions in 2025, making it a record revenue year for the...

William Keating

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52-week Range

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Micron Technology Inc.: Will Its Expansion into Data Center and AI Markets Result In A Massive Runup? - Major Drivers

Micron Technology recently provided insights into their fiscal third quarter 2024 performance, shedding light on various strategic and operational...

Baptista Research

Memory Monitor: Micron's Shares May Be Falling But Results' Industry Implications Are Positive

Discusses the recovery of traditional data centers, strength in SSD memory for AI applications, upcycle in PCs driven by Windows 12, and potential...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron Earnings - What to Expect

​Micron will highlight AI strength & HBM in its earnings call, but double-ordering could soon lead to a market collapse. Semiconductor market...

Jim Handy

Memory Monitor: Computex Showed Micron Leapfrog SK Hynix and Samsung; 'Boring' DRAM Could Now Hot Up

​Micron's HBM DRAM shined alongside Nvidia at Computex. But now the HBM DRAM craze could drive a surge in traditional DRAM prices. Nanya Tech would...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron's HBM. Multiple Billions Incoming..

Micron's HBM revenue on track to jump from a few hundred million in 2024 to "multiple" billions in 2025, making it a record revenue year for the...

William Keating

Micron will highlight AI strength & HBM in its earnings call, but double-ordering could soon lead to a market collapse. Semiconductor market...

Micron's HBM DRAM shined alongside Nvidia at Computex. But now the HBM DRAM craze could drive a surge in traditional DRAM prices. Nanya Tech would...