Research from Asian Century Stocks, Asian Century Stocks

Michael Fritzell

Research from Asian Century Stocks

Providing financial journalism in the Asia-Pacific

Asian Century Stocks

Asian Century Stocks is a newsletter providing financial journalism for companies and stocks in the Asia-Pacific. 
The Asian Century Stocks logotype “百” stands for “one hundred” or a “century”. The economic centre of gravity is moving towards Asia. Yet most global investors are missing out.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems.</li>
<li>There should be plenty of opportunities for IVF clinic operators, including for Jinxin Fertility which may benefit if the Chinese government introduces subsidies for IVF procedures. But the acquisitive nature of many IVF-related companies has caused their returns on equity and earnings per share growth to be weak.</li>
<li>One stock that trades at a low multiple with fat profit margins is Organon, though be aware of its ongoing patent cliffs, which may be the reason it was spun off in the first place.</li>
</ul>


The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems.
There should be plenty of opportunities for IVF clinic operators, including for Jinxin Fertility which may benefit if the Chinese government introduces subsidies for IVF procedures. But the acquisitive nature of many IVF-related companies has caused their returns on equity and earnings per share growth to be weak.
One stock that trades at a low multiple with fat profit margins is Organon, though be aware of its ongoing patent cliffs, which may be the reason it was spun off in the first place.


Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elastic-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27526:1" rel="noopener">Elastic NV (ESTC US)</a>  has grown its ARR from ~$207 million as of Jul-18 to ~$760 million today and may become a multi-billion dollar unicorn in the future.  </li>
<li>We like the subscription-based freemium business model, strong net expansion rate, and acceleration in revenue growth of Elastic Cloud business, which currently represents ~33% of total revenue. </li>
<li>Elastic Search is one of the most popular search engines globally, and the company’s products have been downloaded more than 350 million times since 2013. </li>
</ul>



Elastic NV (ESTC US)  has grown its ARR from ~$207 million as of Jul-18 to ~$760 million today and may become a multi-billion dollar unicorn in the future.  
We like the subscription-based freemium business model, strong net expansion rate, and acceleration in revenue growth of Elastic Cloud business, which currently represents ~33% of total revenue. 
Elastic Search is one of the most popular search engines globally, and the company’s products have been downloaded more than 350 million times since 2013. 


Elastic: High-Profile Search Company With Attractive Fundamentals

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kelun-biotech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36801:1" rel="noopener">Kelun Biotech</a> (KB) raised around US$170m in its IPO in July 2023, the lockup on its pre-IPO shareholders is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>KB is a China-based integrated innovative biopharmaceutical company. It has accumulated more than ten years of experience in antibody drug conjugates (ADC) development.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Kelun Biotech (KB) raised around US$170m in its IPO in July 2023, the lockup on its pre-IPO shareholders is set to expire soon.
KB is a China-based integrated innovative biopharmaceutical company. It has accumulated more than ten years of experience in antibody drug conjugates (ADC) development.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Kelun-Biotech IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Strong Performance Leaves Pre-IPO Investors with Large Gains

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) received FDA approval for donanemab (Kisunla) in early Alzheimer’s, which was largely expected following unanimous support from the June AdComm and multiple delays.</li><li>The cost of Kisunla is $32K/year, which is at a premium to Leqembi (Biogen, Inc. [BIIB]/Eisai Co., Ltd. [ESAIY]) at $26.5K/year, but total cost per patient should be lower for Kisunla, as treatment can be stopped with amyloid clearance.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) received FDA approval for donanemab (Kisunla) in early Alzheimer’s, which was largely expected following unanimous support from the June AdComm and multiple delays.The cost of Kisunla is $32K/year, which is at a premium to Leqembi (Biogen, Inc. [BIIB]/Eisai Co., Ltd. [ESAIY]) at $26.5K/year, but total cost per patient should be lower for Kisunla, as treatment can be stopped with amyloid clearance.

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics (207940 KS)</a> has signed the largest ever single CMO contract worth KRW1.46T ($1.1B) with an undisclosed U.S.-based pharmaceutical company. The contract value represents ~40% of 2023 standalone revenue.</li>
<li>Within the first half of the year, Samsung Biologics has secured order worth of KRW2.6T, compared with order win of KRW3.5T in full-year 2023.</li>
<li>Samsung Bioepis has received FDA approval for Stelara biosimilar Pyzchiva, which is expected to marketed in early 2025. So far, the FDA has approved two other biosimilars of Stelara.  </li>
</ul>



Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) has signed the largest ever single CMO contract worth KRW1.46T ($1.1B) with an undisclosed U.S.-based pharmaceutical company. The contract value represents ~40% of 2023 standalone revenue.
Within the first half of the year, Samsung Biologics has secured order worth of KRW2.6T, compared with order win of KRW3.5T in full-year 2023.
Samsung Bioepis has received FDA approval for Stelara biosimilar Pyzchiva, which is expected to marketed in early 2025. So far, the FDA has approved two other biosimilars of Stelara.  


Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Gaining Momentum on New Approval and Contract Wins; Hold Shares

United States

Merck & Co., Inc.  is a global health care company that delivers health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products, which it markets directly and through its joint ventures. The Company has operations in pharmaceutical, animal health, and consumer care.

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Merck & Co (MRK US)

IVF: Secular Growth for Decades to Come.

The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems. There should be plenty of...

Asian Century Stocks

Elastic: High-Profile Search Company With Attractive Fundamentals

Elastic is a high-profile search technology company and we believe current valuations look attractive for long-term investors

Andrei Zakharov

Kelun-Biotech IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Strong Performance Leaves Pre-IPO Investors with Large Gains

Kelun Biotech (KB) raised around US$170m in its IPO in July 2023, the lockup on its pre-IPO shareholders is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 8, 2024

The cost of Kisunla is $32K/year, which is at a premium to Leqembi (Biogen, Inc. [BIIB]/Eisai Co., Ltd. [ESAIY]) at $26.5K/year, but total cost per...

Water Tower Research

Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Gaining Momentum on New Approval and Contract Wins; Hold Shares

Samsung Biologics signs $1.1B CMO contract, representing 40% of 2023 revenue. Samsung Bioepis receives FDA approval for Stelara biosimilar...

Tina Banerjee

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IVF: Secular Growth for Decades to Come.

The IVF industry is booming, driven by couples having children later in life as well as infertility problems. There should be plenty of...

Asian Century Stocks

Elastic: High-Profile Search Company With Attractive Fundamentals

Elastic is a high-profile search technology company and we believe current valuations look attractive for long-term investors

Andrei Zakharov

Kelun-Biotech IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Strong Performance Leaves Pre-IPO Investors with Large Gains

Kelun Biotech (KB) raised around US$170m in its IPO in July 2023, the lockup on its pre-IPO shareholders is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Biopharma Week in Review - Jul 8, 2024

The cost of Kisunla is $32K/year, which is at a premium to Leqembi (Biogen, Inc. [BIIB]/Eisai Co., Ltd. [ESAIY]) at $26.5K/year, but total cost per...

Water Tower Research

Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Gaining Momentum on New Approval and Contract Wins; Hold Shares

​Samsung Biologics signs $1.1B CMO contract, representing 40% of 2023 revenue. Samsung Bioepis receives FDA approval for Stelara biosimilar...

Tina Banerjee

Samsung Biologics signs $1.1B CMO contract, representing 40% of 2023 revenue. Samsung Bioepis receives FDA approval for Stelara biosimilar...