Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul class="">
<li>The competition is mainly between Hello and Meituan.</li>
<li>Hello has to put more bikes than needed to push out Meituan's bikes.</li>
<li>The room for price rise is limited.</li>
<li>We cannot see a profit in the near future.</li>
</ul>
<p>About the company introduction, please see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hello-inc-pre-ipo-nowhere-near-being-sustainable" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50825" rel="noopener">Hello Inc (哈罗出行) Pre-IPO - Nowhere near Being Sustainable</a> by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/zhen-zhou-toh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:673" rel="noopener">Zhen Zhou, Toh</a>. </p>


The competition is mainly between Hello and Meituan.
Hello has to put more bikes than needed to push out Meituan's bikes.
The room for price rise is limited.
We cannot see a profit in the near future.

About the company introduction, please see Hello Inc (哈罗出行) Pre-IPO - Nowhere near Being Sustainable by Zhen Zhou, Toh. 

Hello (HI): Competition on the Ground, Hard to Reach Profitability

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<p>In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine. </p><p>Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In a Hong Kong exchange report released in July 2019, the exchange highlighted that flows from mainland China accounted for 12% of the total trading volume in the market and is ahead of the US investors' 10% and UK investors' 7% share respectively. </p><p>We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.</p><p>In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Meituan (3690 HK), Wuxi Biologics (Cayman) Inc. (2269 HK), and Anta Sports Products Limited (2020 HK).</p>

In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine. Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In a Hong Kong exchange report released in July 2019, the exchange highlighted that flows from mainland China accounted for 12% of the total trading volume in the market and is ahead of the US investors' 10% and UK investors' 7% share respectively. We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Meituan (3690 HK), Wuxi Biologics (Cayman) Inc. (2269 HK), and Anta Sports Products Limited (2020 HK).

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Anta Inflows Before May Golden Week

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waterdrop-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33018:1" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Inc (WDH US)</a>, a technology platform for insurance and healthcare services in China, aims to raise up to US$360m in its US IPO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> owned 22.1% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiss-re-ag-1f83dcbc-730e-46fa-82f2-bfe7e8e361a1" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27914:1" rel="noopener">Swiss Re AG (SREN SW)</a> owned 5.7% of the company prior to its listing.</p></div><div><p>In our previous note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/waterdrop-pre-ipo-the-positives-fast-growth-strong-backers" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Strong Backers</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/waterdrop-pre-ipo-the-negatives-scandals-shutdowns-competing-with-giants-regulation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Scandals, Shutdowns, Competing with Giants, Regulation</a> we spoke about the positive and negative aspects of the deal. </p></div><div><p>In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about valuations.</p></div>

Waterdrop Inc (WDH US), a technology platform for insurance and healthcare services in China, aims to raise up to US$360m in its US IPO. Tencent Holdings (700 HK) owned 22.1% and Swiss Re AG (SREN SW) owned 5.7% of the company prior to its listing.In our previous note, Waterdrop Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growth, Strong Backers, and Waterdrop Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Scandals, Shutdowns, Competing with Giants, Regulation we spoke about the positive and negative aspects of the deal. In this note, we’ll run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about valuations.

Waterdrop IPO - Valuation Has Nearly Tripled over the past Year

<p>Hong Kong SFC reported aggregate short position as of Apr 23. The aggregate short value for equities increased by $1,521m (+2.2%) WoW and increased by $2,239m (+3.2%) over the preceding four weeks.<br><br>Most shorted stocks by aggregate short value of positions are Ping An Insurance (Group) Company Of China, Ltd./2318 HK($7,718m, -5.4% WoW), Tencent Holdings Limited/700 HK($1,974m, +13.9% WoW), Meituan/3690 HK($1,680m, +15.4% WoW), Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited/881 HK($1,466m, +2.7% WoW), China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd./3968 HK($1,422m, +17.4% WoW).</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/203/957/original/Hong_Kong_Market_Short_Position_Value_%28line%29_and_1W_Changes_%28bar%29_%28%24m%292021-05-01+11_34_40.png?1620010455" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="203957"></figure></section>

Hong Kong SFC reported aggregate short position as of Apr 23. The aggregate short value for equities increased by $1,521m (+2.2%) WoW and increased by $2,239m (+3.2%) over the preceding four weeks.  Most shorted stocks by aggregate short value of positions are Ping An Insurance (Group) Company Of China, Ltd./2318 HK($7,718m, -5.4% WoW), Tencent Holdings Limited/700 HK($1,974m, +13.9% WoW), Meituan/3690 HK($1,680m, +15.4% WoW), Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited/881 HK($1,466m, +2.7% WoW), China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd./3968 HK($1,422m, +17.4% WoW).

HK Short Interest: Wuxi Apptec, Sunny Optical

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waterdrop-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33018:1" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Inc (WDH US)</a> is the largest independent third-party insurance platform in China as measured by life and health insurance first-year premiums (FYP) distributed in 2020, according to iResearch. Waterdrop is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiss-re-ag-1f83dcbc-730e-46fa-82f2-bfe7e8e361a1" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27914:1" rel="noopener">Swiss Re AG (SREN SW)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>.</p></div><div><p>At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $10.00-12.00 per ADS, Waterdrop will have a market cap of $4.3 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $301.6 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated on $210 million of the IPO, including Boyu Capital ($100 million), HOPU Investments (at least $80 million), and Kevin Sunny Holding ($30 million). The indications of interest represent 63.6% of the ADSs on offer at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/waterdrop-ipo-initiation-going-for-brokers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50610" rel="noopener">Waterdrop IPO Initiation: Going for Brokers</a>, we opined that as a leading online third-party insurance broker, Waterdrop is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. The key unknown is whether the changing regulations will throw a spanner in the works. Notwithstanding the regulatory overhang, we concluded that Waterdrop is worth a look. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range is full at the high-end but has some upside at the low-end. </p></div></div></div>

Waterdrop Inc (WDH US) is the largest independent third-party insurance platform in China as measured by life and health insurance first-year premiums (FYP) distributed in 2020, according to iResearch. Waterdrop is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Swiss Re AG (SREN SW) and Meituan (3690 HK).At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $10.00-12.00 per ADS, Waterdrop will have a market cap of $4.3 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $301.6 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated on $210 million of the IPO, including Boyu Capital ($100 million), HOPU Investments (at least $80 million), and Kevin Sunny Holding ($30 million). The indications of interest represent 63.6% of the ADSs on offer at the mid-point of the IPO price range.In Waterdrop IPO Initiation: Going for Brokers, we opined that as a leading online third-party insurance broker, Waterdrop is well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry trends. The key unknown is whether the changing regulations will throw a spanner in the works. Notwithstanding the regulatory overhang, we concluded that Waterdrop is worth a look. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range is full at the high-end but has some upside at the low-end. 

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Hello (HI): Competition on the Ground, Hard to Reach Profitability

The competition is mainly between Hello and Meituan. Hello has to put more bikes than needed to push out Meituan's bikes. We cannot see...

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Anta Inflows Before May Golden Week

Of the top stocks measured by inflows last week, we highlight inflows into Meituan (3690 HK), Wuxi Biologics (Cayman) Inc. (2269 HK), and Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Waterdrop IPO - Valuation Has Nearly Tripled over the past Year

Waterdrop, a technology platform for insurance and healthcare services in China, aims to raise up to US$360m in its US IPO. Tencent owned 22.1% and...

Sumeet Singh

HK Short Interest: Wuxi Apptec, Sunny Optical

We note that Meituan's short interest continued to build up. Meanwhile, we highlight that Wuxi Apptec and Sunny Optical see the most short interest...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Waterdrop IPO: Valuation Insights

Waterdrop has launched its IPO to raise net proceeds of $301.6 million at the mid-point of the price range of $10-12. The price range is full at...

Arun George

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