Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> share price is down more than 20.0% from Thursday’s close following announcement on new regulations for food delivery platforms.</li>
<li>New regulation states that food delivery platforms should further reduce the service fee charged from restaurants to lower operating costs for food and beverage businesses.</li>
<li>Meituan’s food delivery business makes about 88% of its revenues from commissions while the remainder comes from online marketing services.</li>
</ul>



Meituan (3690 HK) share price is down more than 20.0% from Thursday’s close following announcement on new regulations for food delivery platforms.
New regulation states that food delivery platforms should further reduce the service fee charged from restaurants to lower operating costs for food and beverage businesses.
Meituan’s food delivery business makes about 88% of its revenues from commissions while the remainder comes from online marketing services.


Meituan: New Regulation on Food Delivery Commission to Slowdown Growth and Delay Profits

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Meituan short near 300 and on the  bear wedge break has paid off. Friday's price action is disturbing and warrants a downgrade.</li>
<li>The breakdown below flat range/triangle support is a big negative on the back of sell volume. Bear triangle breaks are often volatile affairs.</li>
<li>142 is the fresh downside projection. 200 represents the sell barrier to work with.</li>
</ul>


Meituan short near 300 and on the  bear wedge break has paid off. Friday's price action is disturbing and warrants a downgrade.
The breakdown below flat range/triangle support is a big negative on the back of sell volume. Bear triangle breaks are often volatile affairs.
142 is the fresh downside projection. 200 represents the sell barrier to work with.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (1248Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> are set to keep everyone busy till March.</li>
<li>On the placement front, Japanese accelerated selldowns continue their stellar record with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/temp-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1428:1" rel="noopener">Persol Holdings (2181 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Life Insurance Corp of India (1248Z IN) and SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) are set to keep everyone busy till March.
On the placement front, Japanese accelerated selldowns continue their stellar record with Persol Holdings (2181 JP). 


ECM Weekly (20th Feb 2022) - LIC, SBI Sumishin, Huitongda, Delhivery, Vedant, Persol, Emcure, Linom

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 4 March.</li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 18 February to cap the stocks, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.37% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,350m.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> is 13 days of ADV to cover. While the inclusion was expected, short covering could take the stock higher.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) replaces Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close of trading on 4 March.
Using prices from the close on 18 February to cap the stocks, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 4.37% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$3,350m.
Short interest on Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) is 13 days of ADV to cover. While the inclusion was expected, short covering could take the stock higher.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: Another Evergrande Stock Is Deleted; Xinyi Solar IN

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying  before CNY: Meituan, Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying  before CNY: Meituan, Tencent, Kuaishou, China Mobile. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: What Were Chinese Buying Before CNY

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Meituan: New Regulation on Food Delivery Commission to Slowdown Growth and Delay Profits

Meituan’s share price is down more than 20.0% following announcement on new regulations for food delivery platforms. Food delivery OPM is highly...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Meituan Short Gains Reward

Meituan short near 300 and on the bear wedge break has paid off. Friday's price action is disturbing and warrants a downgrade.

Thomas Schroeder

ECM Weekly (20th Feb 2022) - LIC, SBI Sumishin, Huitongda, Delhivery, Vedant, Persol, Emcure, Linom

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Index Rebalance: Another Evergrande Stock Is Deleted; Xinyi Solar IN

Xinyi Solar replaces Evergrande Prop Serv in the HSCEI at the close on 4 March. Xinyi Solar is up 20% from its early Jan lows. Short interest on...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows: What Were Chinese Buying Before CNY

We highlight stocks that Chinese were buying via Southbound Stock Connect before CNY: Meituan (3690 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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