Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

We view Meituan as “Low Risk” on the LARA scale, given the company’s: [1] leading market positions in China’s food delivery as well as the in-store, hotel &amp; travel accommodation industries; [2] increasing market share and scale, which should drive operating leverage; and [3] robust balance sheet, with net cash and a strong liquidity position. Meituan benefits from regulations that restrict aggressive pricing to gain market share. In addition, the company has fast-growing revenue streams across its business segments. However, the credit profile is weighed down by: [1] regulatory headwinds in the food delivery business; and [2] the ongoing losses and cash burn from the company’s community group-buying business. Our Credit Bias is “Stable”, given the robust business risk profile and strong balance sheet.

 We view Meituan as “Low Risk” on the LARA scale, given the company’s: [1] leading market positions in China’s food delivery as well as the in-store, hotel &amp; travel accommodation industries; [2] increasing market share and scale, which should drive operating leverage; and [3] robust balance sheet, with net cash and a strong liquidity position. Meituan benefits from regulations that restrict aggressive pricing to gain market share. In addition, the company has fast-growing revenue streams across its business segments. However, the credit profile is weighed down by: [1] regulatory headwinds in the food delivery business; and [2] the ongoing losses and cash burn from the company’s community group-buying business.  Our Credit Bias is “Stable”, given the robust business risk profile and strong balance sheet.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 8th. Due to public holiday in Hong Kong, the announcement was delayed by 2 days.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight property names that saw short interest increase last week: Cifi, Country Garden, Country Garden services, and Kintor which reported Phase 3 clinical trial results for COVID-19 treatment.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 8th. Due to public holiday in Hong Kong, the announcement was delayed by 2 days.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight property names that saw short interest increase last week: Cifi, Country Garden, Country Garden services, and Kintor which reported Phase 3 clinical trial results for COVID-19 treatment.


Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nikkei reported that Meituan intends to pay better compensation to small-and-medium restaurants and to delivery workers to prove that the company is in line with Beijing’s common prosperity measures.</li>
<li>As Shanghai is under strict Covid lockdown, Meituan has seen a sharp rise in demand for grocery deliveries, however, margins are expected to be thin due to additional costs.</li>
<li>The company has been under tremendous pressure to improve its cost structure and is undertaking 10-20% job cuts across all its business units.</li>
</ul>


Nikkei reported that Meituan intends to pay better compensation to small-and-medium restaurants and to delivery workers to prove that the company is in line with Beijing’s common prosperity measures.
As Shanghai is under strict Covid lockdown, Meituan has seen a sharp rise in demand for grocery deliveries, however, margins are expected to be thin due to additional costs.
The company has been under tremendous pressure to improve its cost structure and is undertaking 10-20% job cuts across all its business units.


Meituan Aligns Itself with Common Prosperity Measures but What Will Happen to Profitability?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a> will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS from the NYSE. The shares will not be listed on another exchange before delisting. </li>
<li>Due to the regulatory restrictions, DiDi is losing market share and pricing power to competitors in China. The 4Q21 results were poor. </li>
<li>Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares, suggesting that the ordinary resolution will pass. </li>
</ul>



DiDi Global (DIDI US) will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS from the NYSE. The shares will not be listed on another exchange before delisting. 
Due to the regulatory restrictions, DiDi is losing market share and pricing power to competitors in China. The 4Q21 results were poor. 
Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares, suggesting that the ordinary resolution will pass. 


<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, CNOOC, China Mobile, COLI, and outflows from Tencent, China Resources Beer, and HKEX. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, CNOOC, China Mobile, COLI, and outflows from Tencent, China Resources Beer, and HKEX. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Meituan, CNOOC, China Mobile, COLI

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Meituan - Tear Sheet - Lucror Analytics

We view Meituan as “Low Risk” on the LARA scale, given the company’s: [1] leading market positions in China’s food delivery as well as the...

Lucror Analytics

HK Short Interest: Property Shorts

We highlight property names that saw weekly short interest increase: Cifi, Country Garden, Country Garden services, and Kintor which reported Phase...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Meituan Aligns Itself with Common Prosperity Measures but What Will Happen to Profitability?

Nikkei reported that Meituan intends to pay better compensation to small-and-medium restaurants and to delivery workers to prove that the company...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

DiDi to Vote on US Delisting on 23 May

DiDi will hold an EGM on 23 May to vote to delist the ADS. Directors and key pre-IPO investors together account for 48.2% of outstanding shares,...

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Meituan, CNOOC, China Mobile, COLI

We highlight weekly southbound inflows into Meituan, CNOOC, China Mobile, COLI, and outflows from Tencent, China Resources Beer, and HKEX.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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