Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The stock has declined for three years and a half, from HK$460 to HK$100.</li>
<li>Revenue grew by 21% YoY and the operating margin improved significantly in 2Q24.</li>
<li>We conclude the stock has an upside of 131% and a price target of HK$237. Buy.</li>
</ul>


The stock has declined for three years and a half, from HK$460 to HK$100.
Revenue grew by 21% YoY and the operating margin improved significantly in 2Q24.
We conclude the stock has an upside of 131% and a price target of HK$237. Buy.


MT / Meituan (3690 HK): 2Q24, Three-Digit Profit Growth After Three-Year Stock Plunge, Buy

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 22nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 22nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 22nd): Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

PICC Property & Casualty H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longfor-properties" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8149:1" rel="noopener">Longfor Properties (960 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> at the close on 6 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.68% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.84bn (US$365m). The final capping will use the close of trading on 3 December.</li>
<li>There could be a move higher in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty</a> over the next few days while any selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longfor-properties" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8149:1" rel="noopener">Longfor Properties</a> will be a covering opportunity for the shorts.</li>
</ul>



PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK) will replace Longfor Properties (960 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close on 6 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.68% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.84bn (US$365m). The final capping will use the close of trading on 3 December.
There could be a move higher in PICC Property &amp; Casualty over the next few days while any selling in Longfor Properties will be a covering opportunity for the shorts.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: PICC P&C (2328 HK) Replaces Longfor (960 HK)

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Andy Fu

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;</li>
<li>Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;</li>
<li>With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.</li>
</ul>


On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;
Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;
With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.


O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

MT / Meituan (3690 HK): 2Q24, Three-Digit Profit Growth After Three-Year Stock Plunge, Buy

The stock has declined for half year, from HK$460 to HK$100. However the 2Q24 result is quite good, both growth rate and profit margin. We believe...

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 22nd): Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 15th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, CCB, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance: PICC P&C (2328 HK) Replaces Longfor (960 HK)

PICC P&C will replace Longfor Properties HSCEI at the close on 6 Dec. Estimated 1-way turnover is 2.68% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MT / Meituan (3690 HK): 2Q24, Three-Digit Profit Growth After Three-Year Stock Plunge, Buy

The stock has declined for half year, from HK$460 to HK$100. However the 2Q24 result is quite good, both growth rate and profit margin. We believe...

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 22nd): Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Alibaba, Meituan, Ping An Insurance, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, CCB, China Mobile, AIA

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 15th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, CCB, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCEI Index Rebalance: PICC P&C (2328 HK) Replaces Longfor (960 HK)

PICC P&C will replace Longfor Properties HSCEI at the close on 6 Dec. Estimated 1-way turnover is 2.68% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

​Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...