Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Meituan (3690 HK) has some big resistance hurdles to overcome and will act as tactical sell levels to seek out the 105 buy zone.</li>
<li>A tactical bounce back to 165 is on the cards with 168/75 the high degree sell barrier. Secondary trendline resistance rests near 185 as the bigger sell zone.</li>
<li>The bearish rising wedge stands out as the dominant force. The support break warns of fallout after a bounce attempt back to 168. A weak bounce would turn near 160.</li>
</ul>


Meituan (3690 HK) has some big resistance hurdles to overcome and will act as tactical sell levels to seek out the 105 buy zone.
A tactical bounce back to 165 is on the cards with 168/75 the high degree sell barrier. Secondary trendline resistance rests near 185 as the bigger sell zone.
The bearish rising wedge stands out as the dominant force. The support break warns of fallout after a bounce attempt back to 168. A weak bounce would turn near 160.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>You could imagine people covering their short in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> now. The Hang Seng sell flow on 4 January 2023 is insignificant. But there will be more overhang later. </li>
<li>If you buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> outright, you are buying a package of three potential future takeout targets.</li>
<li>It's not certain the scrip terms will continue as stated in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">DTAC</a> /<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True</a> merger, but if they change at all, that would almost certainly require a new shareholder meeting.</li>
</ul>


You could imagine people covering their short in Meituan (3690 HK) now. The Hang Seng sell flow on 4 January 2023 is insignificant. But there will be more overhang later. 
If you buy Link Administration (LNK AU) outright, you are buying a package of three potential future takeout targets.
It's not certain the scrip terms will continue as stated in the DTAC /True merger, but if they change at all, that would almost certainly require a new shareholder meeting.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, Link Admin/Pexa, DTAC/True, Medley

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, things are picking up again going into the year end.</li>
<li>There were no large placement or blocks this week, although prior lockup linked blocks kept flowing through.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, things are picking up again going into the year end.
There were no large placement or blocks this week, although prior lockup linked blocks kept flowing through.


ECM Weekly (27th Nov 2022) - Growatt, Lygend, Sunshine Ins, Weilong, DPC, Daiei, Skymark, GoTo

Equity Analyst

Xin Yu, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Meituan is a leading “service e-commerce” platform in China, leveraging technology to connect consumers with merchants.</li>
<li>With the gradual re-opening in 2023, core local commerce will deliver better than expected result.</li>
<li>Tencent's distribution of Meituan shares provides a good entry point. </li>
</ul>


Meituan is a leading “service e-commerce” platform in China, leveraging technology to connect consumers with merchants.
With the gradual re-opening in 2023, core local commerce will deliver better than expected result.
Tencent's distribution of Meituan shares provides a good entry point. 


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Mar 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. </li>
<li>GoTo has already burnt through the cash it raised from the listing and cash burn still remains high, while its cash balance is amongst the lowest in its peer set.</li>
<li>At its current cash burn pace, the company will have to come to the markets again soon.</li>
</ul>


In Mar 2022, GoTo (GOTO IJ) raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. 
GoTo has already burnt through the cash it raised from the listing and cash burn still remains high, while its cash balance is amongst the lowest in its peer set.
At its current cash burn pace, the company will have to come to the markets again soon.


2023 High Conviction - GoTo - Burnt Through All Cash From the IPO, Weakest Cash Position Among Peers

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

Meituan 105 Buy Support

Meituan (3690 HK) has some big resistance hurdles to overcome and will act as tactical sell levels to seek out the 105 buy zone. Macro trend...

Thomas Schroeder

Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, Link Admin/Pexa, DTAC/True, Medley

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

ECM Weekly (27th Nov 2022) - Growatt, Lygend, Sunshine Ins, Weilong, DPC, Daiei, Skymark, GoTo

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

2023 High Conviction Ideas: Meituan

Meituan is a leading “service e-commerce” platform in China, leveraging technology to connect consumers with merchants. Its business growth will...

Xin Yu, CFA

2023 High Conviction - GoTo - Burnt Through All Cash From the IPO, Weakest Cash Position Among Peers

In Mar 2022, GoTo (GOTO IJ) raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. At its current cash burn pace, the company...

Clarence Chu

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