IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-industrials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36875:1" rel="noopener">JD Industrials (2231713D CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14904:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), JD Industrials (2231713D CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Chindata Group (CD US), Eoflow (294090 KS), Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK), Estia Health (EHE AU), Origin Energy (ORG AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (11 Jun) - Toshiba, Chindata, Yitai Coal, Eoflow, Estia, Origin, Amman Mineral

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tandem-diabetes-care-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20893:1" rel="noopener">Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US)</a> has been consistently missing earnings expectations. This is taking a toll on the share price performance, with shares plunging ~61% over the last one year.</li>
<li>Tandem’s nearest rival has recently launched its new insulin pump in the U.S. This will affect Tandem’s Q2 sales growth. Tandem guided for 10–12% revenue growth in 2023.</li>
<li>Tandem is a hugely beaten down stock. However, it will be wise to wait for Tandem to launch new product, ensure its good uptake amid competition, and exhibit earnings stability.</li>
</ul>



Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US) has been consistently missing earnings expectations. This is taking a toll on the share price performance, with shares plunging ~61% over the last one year.
Tandem’s nearest rival has recently launched its new insulin pump in the U.S. This will affect Tandem’s Q2 sales growth. Tandem guided for 10–12% revenue growth in 2023.
Tandem is a hugely beaten down stock. However, it will be wise to wait for Tandem to launch new product, ensure its good uptake amid competition, and exhibit earnings stability.


Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US): Missed Earnings + Severe Competition = A Bitter Pill to Swallow

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> aims to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a> through share purchase agreements (SPA), a share subscription agreement (SSA) and a public tender offer at KRW30,000.</li>
<li>The shares are trading wide to terms due to key risks - regulatory approvals and the minimum acceptance condition (Medtronic owns 53.02% of the post-SSA outstanding shares).</li>
<li>The regulatory approvals should be forthcoming due to minimum competition issues. The minimum acceptance condition requires a minority acceptance rate of 15.7%, which is achievable due to an attractive offer.</li>
</ul>



Medtronic Plc (MDT US) aims to acquire Eoflow (294090 KS) through share purchase agreements (SPA), a share subscription agreement (SSA) and a public tender offer at KRW30,000.
The shares are trading wide to terms due to key risks - regulatory approvals and the minimum acceptance condition (Medtronic owns 53.02% of the post-SSA outstanding shares).
The regulatory approvals should be forthcoming due to minimum competition issues. The minimum acceptance condition requires a minority acceptance rate of 15.7%, which is achievable due to an attractive offer.


EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Risk/Reward Profile

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 25 May, healthcare company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> <a href="https://news.medtronic.com/2023-05-25-Medtronic-to-acquire-wearable-insulin-patch-maker-EOFlow" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had entered into a set of definitive agreements to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Via a three-step process - SPAs, issuance of new shares, and a Tender Offer - Medtronic will seek majority control, together with a view to delisting EOFlow.</li>
<li>Completion is expected in 4Q23. Regulatory approvals -  domestic and foreign - form part of the conditions. Trading wide to terms. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 25 May, healthcare company Medtronic Plc (MDT US) announced it had entered into a set of definitive agreements to acquire EOFlow (294090 KS).
Via a three-step process - SPAs, issuance of new shares, and a Tender Offer - Medtronic will seek majority control, together with a view to delisting EOFlow.
Completion is expected in 4Q23. Regulatory approvals -  domestic and foreign - form part of the conditions. Trading wide to terms. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> reported 6% YoY revenue growth to $8.5B, ahead of expectations, driven by procedure volume recovery, supply improvements, and innovative product introductions.</li>
<li>Medtronic intends to acquire Korea-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, manufacturer of a tubeless, wearable, full-disposable insulin delivery device, for $738M. The transaction is expected to close in 2H23.  </li>
<li>Medtronic guided for FY24 adjusted EPS of $5.00–5.10, including ~6% unfavorable impact from Fx. The company forecasts 4.0–4.5% organic revenue growth in FY24, accelerating from 2.1% in FY23.</li>
</ul>



Medtronic Plc (MDT US) reported 6% YoY revenue growth to $8.5B, ahead of expectations, driven by procedure volume recovery, supply improvements, and innovative product introductions.
Medtronic intends to acquire Korea-based Eoflow (294090 KS), manufacturer of a tubeless, wearable, full-disposable insulin delivery device, for $738M. The transaction is expected to close in 2H23.  
Medtronic guided for FY24 adjusted EPS of $5.00–5.10, including ~6% unfavorable impact from Fx. The company forecasts 4.0–4.5% organic revenue growth in FY24, accelerating from 2.1% in FY23.


Medtronic Plc (MDT US): Strong Q4 Result; New Acquisition Announced; Fx Headwind to Impact FY24

United States

Medtronic, PLC develops therapeutic and diagnostic medical products. The Company's principal products include those for bradycardia pacing, tachyarrhythmia management, atrial fibrillation management, heart failure management, heart valve replacement, malignant and non-malignant pain, and movement disorders. Medtronic's products are sold worldwide.

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Medtronic Plc (MDT US)

Weekly Deals Digest (11 Jun) - Toshiba, Chindata, Yitai Coal, Eoflow, Estia, Origin, Amman Mineral

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Toshiba, Yitai, Blackmores, Estia, Origin, Challenger, Golden Energy, Eoflow, Chindata)...

Arun George

Tandem Diabetes Care (TNDM US): Missed Earnings + Severe Competition = A Bitter Pill to Swallow

Tandem is consistently missing earnings expectations since 4Q21. The company’s nearest competitor has recently launched a new device in US, which...

Tina Banerjee

EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Risk/Reward Profile

The shares are trading wide due to key risks - regulatory approvals and the minimum acceptance condition. Low competition issues facilitate...

Arun George

Medtronic's Delisting Offer For EOFlow

EOFlow looks attractive at a gross/annualised spread of 6.2%/17.6%, assuming payment mid-October. To note, the tender offer price may still be...

David Blennerhassett

Medtronic Plc (MDT US): Strong Q4 Result; New Acquisition Announced; Fx Headwind to Impact FY24

Medtronic reported strong Q4 result, with revenue and EPS beating expectations. The company is acquiring EOFlow for $738M. FY24 EPS is guided at...

Tina Banerjee

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