Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 16th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, Tencent, and outflows from China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 16th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, Tencent, and outflows from China Mobile.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 16th): Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

MedSci Healthcare Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The large physician network is actually the cornerstone for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medsci-healthcare-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35939:1" rel="noopener">MedSci Healthcare (MHH HK)</a>’s precision omni-channel marketing solutions and RWS solutions, and also the key to support the overall investment logic.</li>
<li>In fierce competition, how to retain physician network for a long time, convert them into business value continuously and achieve the high growth trend expected by the market is challenging.</li>
<li>In terms of valuation, MedSci’s valuation could be higher than Medlive due to its stronger physician platform solutions business and medical professional network, but could be lower than HUAYIWANG. </li>
</ul>


The large physician network is actually the cornerstone for MedSci Healthcare (MHH HK)’s precision omni-channel marketing solutions and RWS solutions, and also the key to support the overall investment logic.
In fierce competition, how to retain physician network for a long time, convert them into business value continuously and achieve the high growth trend expected by the market is challenging.
In terms of valuation, MedSci’s valuation could be higher than Medlive due to its stronger physician platform solutions business and medical professional network, but could be lower than HUAYIWANG. 


Pre-IPO MedSci Healthcare Holdings - The Investment Logic, the Business Analysis and the Risks

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 4th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Ning.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 4th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Ning.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 4th): Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Ning

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/m3-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13316:1" rel="noopener">M3 Inc (2413 JP)</a>  reported 2QFY03/2023 results yesterday. Revenue grew 10.6% YoY to JPY56.7bn (vs consensus JPY54.7bn) while OP increased 31.5% YoY to JPY17.9bn (vs consensus JPY17.0bn).</li>
<li>The company’s earnings were mainly driven by Covid-19 related trials and a weaker Yen which mainly helped the overseas business post strong results.</li>
<li>M3’s growth prospects remain stagnant and the company’s valuation multiple is still expensive as earnings expectation has started to decline.</li>
</ul>



M3 Inc (2413 JP)  reported 2QFY03/2023 results yesterday. Revenue grew 10.6% YoY to JPY56.7bn (vs consensus JPY54.7bn) while OP increased 31.5% YoY to JPY17.9bn (vs consensus JPY17.0bn).
The company’s earnings were mainly driven by Covid-19 related trials and a weaker Yen which mainly helped the overseas business post strong results.
M3’s growth prospects remain stagnant and the company’s valuation multiple is still expensive as earnings expectation has started to decline.


M3: Covid Related Trials and Yen Depreciation Support Earnings Beat

<ul>
<li>The improvement of Medlive’s profitability in 22H1 seems more related to the large decreased income tax expense rather than any obvious improvement of main business or any other logic.</li>
<li>The single main business structure and insufficient core competitiveness add uncertainty to the Company's long-term prospects, which makes it difficult to significantly improve the valuation.</li>
<li>Medlive is under double pressure of "squeezing bubble" in healthcare industry and “the fading of traffic dividend” in Internet industry.Its growth logic/business model will be more scrutinized by the market.</li>
</ul>


The improvement of Medlive’s profitability in 22H1 seems more related to the large decreased income tax expense rather than any obvious improvement of main business or any other logic.
The single main business structure and insufficient core competitiveness add uncertainty to the Company's long-term prospects, which makes it difficult to significantly improve the valuation.
Medlive is under double pressure of "squeezing bubble" in healthcare industry and “the fading of traffic dividend” in Internet industry.Its growth logic/business model will be more scrutinized by the market.


Medlive Technology (2192.HK) 22H1- The Growth Logic/Business Model Is More Scrutinized by the Market

Hong Kong

Medlive Technology Co., Ltd. operates as an online professional physician platform. The Company provides medical information, clinical guidelines, medical conferences, case readings, diagnosis and treatment knowledge base, and other medical information. Medlive Technology offers services in China.

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Medlive Technology (2192 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 16th): Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight inflows for Meituan, Tencent, and outflows from China Mobile.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO MedSci Healthcare Holdings - The Investment Logic, the Business Analysis and the Risks

The physician network is the cornerstone for MedSci’s business model/logic. How to retain physicians for a long time, convert them into business...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 4th): Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Ning

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Ning.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM