IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guppy-s-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40692:1" rel="noopener">GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genetron-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28435:1" rel="noopener">Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benesse-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12877:1" rel="noopener">Benesse Holdings (9783 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU), Irc Ltd (1029 HK), Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US).
Lowest spreads - T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Benesse Holdings (9783 JP), Benefit One Inc (2412 JP), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (22 Jan) - JSR, Benefit One, T&K Toka, Guppy's, Genetron, Weiqiao, Probiotec

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (MIX HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guppy-s-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40692:1" rel="noopener">GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genetron-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28435:1" rel="noopener">Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Amer Sports (AS US), Ola Electric (1700674D IN) and Mixue Group (MIX HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Benefit One Inc (2412 JP), GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK), Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US). 


Weekly Deals Digest (21 Jan) - Benefit One, GUPPY's, T&K Toka, Weiqiao, Genetron, Amer Sports

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dai-ichi-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1109:1" rel="noopener">Dai Ichi Life (8750 JP)</a> has the wherewithal, and probably the synergies to make a bump for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One (2412 JP)</a> work. M3 is clearly not in the driver's seat.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network (600050 CH)</a> is, for all intent and purpose, a pseudo-A to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom (762 HK)</a>. Go long Unicom, short United due to Unicom's significantly cheaper valuation.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2178:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK)</a> has had a stonking run since its rights issue. Look to unwind this set-up and take the other side: short Expressway, long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zheshang-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29981:1" rel="noopener">Zheshang Securities (601878 CH)</a>.
</li>
</ul>



Dai Ichi Life (8750 JP) has the wherewithal, and probably the synergies to make a bump for Benefit One (2412 JP) work. M3 is clearly not in the driver's seat.

China United Network (600050 CH) is, for all intent and purpose, a pseudo-A to China Unicom (762 HK). Go long Unicom, short United due to Unicom's significantly cheaper valuation.

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK) has had a stonking run since its rights issue. Look to unwind this set-up and take the other side: short Expressway, long Zheshang Securities (601878 CH).



Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, China Unicom, Zhejiang Expressway/ Zheshang Sec, Hollysys

<ul>
<li>I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genetron-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28435:1" rel="noopener">Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)</a>'s take-private transaction; and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medley-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31041:1" rel="noopener">Medley (4480 JP)</a>'s buy out of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guppy-s-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40692:1" rel="noopener">GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile (2698 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One (2412 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taisho-pharmaceutical-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3774:1" rel="noopener">Taisho Pharmaceutical (4581 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka (4636 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals discussed this week on Smartkarma: Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)'s take-private transaction; andMedley (4480 JP)'s buy out of GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP).
Key updates took place on: Orecorp (ORR AU), Weiqiao Textile (2698 HK), Benefit One (2412 JP), Taisho Pharmaceutical (4581 JP), T&amp;K Toka (4636 JP), and Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Genetron, Guppy, Weiqiao Textile, Taisho Pharma, T&K Toka

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guppy-s-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40692:1" rel="noopener">GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medley-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31041:1" rel="noopener">Medley (4480 JP)</a>’s tender offer of JPY3,250 per share, an 81.0% premium to the undisturbed price (19 January). </li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 10.19% ownership ratio. </li>
<li>Despite the premium, the offer is light vs the IFA DCF valuation. Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 23.4% minority acceptance rate, which is achievable. </li>
</ul>



GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP) has recommended Medley (4480 JP)’s tender offer of JPY3,250 per share, an 81.0% premium to the undisturbed price (19 January). 
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 10.19% ownership ratio. 
Despite the premium, the offer is light vs the IFA DCF valuation. Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 23.4% minority acceptance rate, which is achievable. 


GUPPY's (5127 JP): Medley (4480 JP) Tender Offer at JPY3,250

Japan

Medley, Inc. operates medical webs. The Company provides medical human resource recruitment, medical system management, online medical treatment, medical information updating, and other services. Medley provides its services throughout Japan.

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Medley (4480 JP)

Merger Arb Mondays (22 Jan) - JSR, Benefit One, T&K Toka, Guppy's, Genetron, Weiqiao, Probiotec

This week, the highest gross spreads are GUPPY's (81.0%), Hollysys (13.0%), Shinko Electric (9.0%), Probiotec (9.0%), IRC (8.3%), Genetron (7.7%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (21 Jan) - Benefit One, GUPPY's, T&K Toka, Weiqiao, Genetron, Amer Sports

Notable developments in Event-Driven (Benefit One, Guppy's, TK Toka, Weiqiao Textile, Genetron) and ECM (Amer Sports, Ola Electric, Mixue).

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Benefit One, China Unicom, Zhejiang Expressway/ Zheshang Sec, Hollysys

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Genetron, Guppy, Weiqiao Textile, Taisho Pharma, T&K Toka

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

GUPPY's (5127 JP): Medley (4480 JP) Tender Offer at JPY3,250

This is a small-cap merger arb. Based on the irrevocables, the minimum acceptance condition requires a 23.4% minority acceptance rate, which is...

Arun George

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