External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+ CAGR over the next 4 years</li><li>New PV financing (US$ 20bn; +17% CAGR) is benefitting from rising premiumisation; yet remains thin on profitability due to elevated competitive intensity, especially in salaried class</li><li>Used car financing (US$ 4bn; +32% CAGR) is emerging as a sunrise sector, offering potential for high growth as well as high profitability (&gt;2% ROA), benefitting from rising formalisation and increasing finance penetration</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+ CAGR over the next 4 yearsNew PV financing (US$ 20bn; +17% CAGR) is benefitting from rising premiumisation; yet remains thin on profitability due to elevated competitive intensity, especially in salaried classUsed car financing (US$ 4bn; +32% CAGR) is emerging as a sunrise sector, offering potential for high growth as well as high profitability (&gt;2% ROA), benefitting from rising formalisation and increasing finance penetrationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vehicle Financing - Secular Opportunity Meets Cyclical Tailwinds

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Tatas are scripting India's early journey in electric cars - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> accounted for 87% of the 8077 electric cars sold in Q1FY23 (1605 units in Q1FY22).</li>
<li>The rapid roll-out of charging infrastructure across the country by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15618:1" rel="noopener">Tata Power (TPWR IN)</a> and the success of Tata's electric car (compact SUV). Tata Nexon EV, are key factors. </li>
<li>Demand and infrastructure for electric cars seem to be in place but market growth is restricted by a lack of choice/adequate supply in the popular price range (&lt;USD 20K).</li>
</ul>



Tatas are scripting India's early journey in electric cars - Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) accounted for 87% of the 8077 electric cars sold in Q1FY23 (1605 units in Q1FY22).
The rapid roll-out of charging infrastructure across the country by Tata Power (TPWR IN) and the success of Tata's electric car (compact SUV). Tata Nexon EV, are key factors. 
Demand and infrastructure for electric cars seem to be in place but market growth is restricted by a lack of choice/adequate supply in the popular price range (&lt;USD 20K).


India EV Sector: Electric Cars in Demand, but Limited Options. Tata's Nexon EV Leads

<div><ul><li>Q1 margin pressure likely to be lower than earlier envisaged - We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.</li><li>Outliers expected within our coverage universe in Q1 - We expect M&amp;M to be the best performer in Q1, with an estimated 41% growth in earnings QoQ.</li><li>Q1 estimates for ancillaries - At the moment, we only have two ancillary companies under coverage.</li></ul></div>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Q1 margin pressure likely to be lower than earlier envisaged - We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.Outliers expected within our coverage universe in Q1 - We expect M&amp;M to be the best performer in Q1, with an estimated 41% growth in earnings QoQ.Q1 estimates for ancillaries - At the moment, we only have two ancillary companies under coverage.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos - Margin Pressure to Be Lower than Earlier Envisaged

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><ul><li>Maruti: We expect Maruti’s earnings to be relatively strong on YoY basis due to a lower base, but we expect a slight decline of 4% QoQ due to muted volume (hit by chip shortages) and pressure on profitability</li><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (M&amp;M): M&amp;M’s reported Auto segment volume increased by ~46% YoY, driven by a good response to XUV 700 (new Launch), good CV volume and good recovery in tractor volume.</li><li>Hero MotoCorp: We expect Hero MotoCorp’s revenue to grow by 15% QoQ, led by 17% rise in volume.</li></ul></div>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maruti: We expect Maruti’s earnings to be relatively strong on YoY basis due to a lower base, but we expect a slight decline of 4% QoQ due to muted volume (hit by chip shortages) and pressure on profitabilityMahindra &amp; Mahindra (M&amp;M): M&amp;M’s reported Auto segment volume increased by ~46% YoY, driven by a good response to XUV 700 (new Launch), good CV volume and good recovery in tractor volume.Hero MotoCorp: We expect Hero MotoCorp’s revenue to grow by 15% QoQ, led by 17% rise in volume.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto/Auto-Ancillary Sector - Spillover of RM Inflation to Impact Margins

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sona Blw Precision Forgings Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. </li>
<li>The shares are now trading well above the IPO price and its largest PE investor, Blackstone, will be released from its lockup soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. 
The shares are now trading well above the IPO price and its largest PE investor, Blackstone, will be released from its lockup soon.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Sona Comstar Lock-Up - Blackstone up 17x, Sold Half in the IPO with over US$1bn Left

India

Maruti Suzuki India Limited manufactures and exports automobiles. Maruti collaborated with Suzuki of Japan to produce affordable cars for the average Indian.

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Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)

Vehicle Financing - Secular Opportunity Meets Cyclical Tailwinds

With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+...

HDFC Securities

India EV Sector: Electric Cars in Demand, but Limited Options. Tata's Nexon EV Leads

India's electric car market is in an early stage of accelerated growth - currently driven predominantly by Tata Motors which has successfully...

Devi Subhakesan

Autos - Margin Pressure to Be Lower than Earlier Envisaged

We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.

HDFC Securities

Auto/Auto-Ancillary Sector - Spillover of RM Inflation to Impact Margins

We expect 1QFY23 earnings of Auto & Auto Ancillary companies in our coverage universe to grow significantly over a lower base of 1QFY22.

Nirmal Bang

Sona Comstar Lock-Up - Blackstone up 17x, Sold Half in the IPO with over US$1bn Left

Sona Comstar (Sona) raised around US$761m in its Indian IPO in Jun 2021. The shares are trading well above the IPO price. Blackstone still owns...

Sumeet Singh

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