IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Yashili International Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). </li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>
</li>
<li>Lowest gross spreads <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>     </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). 
This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Razer Inc (1337 HK), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)

Lowest gross spreads CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU), Z Energy Ltd (ZEL NZ), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Virtus Health (VRT AU), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)     


Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51job, Sezzle, Link, Uniti, Guodian, Jin Jiang

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The MNACT/MCT deal has weird parameters which make it complicated as a risk arb situation, and as a way to think about relative value of MCT and MNACT vs Peers</li>
<li>Relative buying and selling pressure changes between the two names and their peer baskets depending on a) the May vote, b) index provider discretion, and c) MCT's price in July. </li>
<li>Then it may depend on relative price movement before then too. It's complicated. </li>
</ul>


The MNACT/MCT deal has weird parameters which make it complicated as a risk arb situation, and as a way to think about relative value of MCT and MNACT vs Peers
Relative buying and selling pressure changes between the two names and their peer baskets depending on a) the May vote, b) index provider discretion, and c) MCT's price in July. 
Then it may depend on relative price movement before then too. It's complicated. 


Noodling MNACT Vs MCT Deal Risk... Even the Complications Have Complications.

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba (6502 JP)</a>'s activists are stuck. So are management. 3+ years since the last big buyback, 3 new CEOs and we are back to the drawing board for both management/activists. </li>
<li>Quarz and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> holders "win" to get a Cash-Only Consideration bump to 1.0x Price/Sep2021 NAV at S$1.1949/unit. This gets them out at NAV.</li>
<li>Regulatory overhang sees <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>'s spread to terms trading wide. </li>
</ul>



Toshiba (6502 JP)'s activists are stuck. So are management. 3+ years since the last big buyback, 3 new CEOs and we are back to the drawing board for both management/activists. 
Quarz and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) holders "win" to get a Cash-Only Consideration bump to 1.0x Price/Sep2021 NAV at S$1.1949/unit. This gets them out at NAV.
Regulatory overhang sees Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)'s spread to terms trading wide. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Mapletree, Link Admin, Cayman's Headcount, Razer, Crown Resorts

<ul>
<li>There are 40 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. </li>
<li>One new deal this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infroneer-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35785:1" rel="noopener">INFRONEER Holdings (5076 JP)</a> taking over the rest of a boring, old construction company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti  (UWL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial (MCT SP)</a> /<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North (MAGIC SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press (SPH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener"> DTAC TB</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">TRUE TB</a>
</li>
</ul>


There are 40 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal. 
One new deal this week: INFRONEER Holdings (5076 JP) taking over the rest of a boring, old construction company Toyo Construction (1890 JP).
Key updates took place for: Link (LNK AU), Uniti  (UWL AU), Mapletree Commercial (MCT SP) /Mapletree North (MAGIC SP), Singapore Press (SPH SP),  DTAC TB / TRUE TB



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Link Admin, Uniti, Mapletree, Singapore Press, DTAC/TRUE

Equity Capital Markets

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In mid-February, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-global-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28292:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)</a> which owned 31.8% of the Jurong East MRT Station "Jem" complex announced it would buy the rest. </li>
<li>They announced they would issue new equity to pay for some of it. Predictably, the units fell, and fell vs Office/Retail Mixed-Use SREIT peers. </li>
<li>Now you can buy units of Singapore asset quality, acceptable leverage, high divi and something well cheap of peer-measured fair. </li>
</ul>


In mid-February, Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP) which owned 31.8% of the Jurong East MRT Station "Jem" complex announced it would buy the rest. 
They announced they would issue new equity to pay for some of it. Predictably, the units fell, and fell vs Office/Retail Mixed-Use SREIT peers. 
Now you can buy units of Singapore asset quality, acceptable leverage, high divi and something well cheap of peer-measured fair. 


Lendlease Global Offering to Buy the Rest of JEM - Big Deal, Cheap, Cheaper Than Peers

Singapore

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust is a Singapore-focused real estate investment trust. The Trust invests on a long-term basis, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes, whether wholly or partially, as well as real estate-related assets.

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

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Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MCT SP)

Merger Arb Mondays - Yashili, Razer, 51job, Sezzle, Link, Uniti, Guodian, Jin Jiang

This week, the highest gross spreads are Yashili (22.4%), Razer (16.5%), 51 Job (12.9%), Sezzle (10.3%), Link (6.6%), Uniti Group (5.3%), Guodian...

Arun George

Noodling MNACT Vs MCT Deal Risk... Even the Complications Have Complications.

The MNACT vs MCT Deal has weirder than it appears at first glance. Bigger picture, historical relationships should matter, but there are...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Mapletree, Link Admin, Cayman's Headcount, Razer, Crown Resorts

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Link Admin, Uniti, Mapletree, Singapore Press, DTAC/TRUE

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Lendlease Global Offering to Buy the Rest of JEM - Big Deal, Cheap, Cheaper Than Peers

Well-signalled and well-prepared equity placement takes place at a 10+% discount to peers and more if you count the div uplift. Buy the deal, or...

Travis Lundy

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