Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal</li>
<li>Two new deals were discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jtower-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31042:1" rel="noopener">JTower (4485 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/businesson-communication-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26040:1" rel="noopener">BusinessOn Communication (138580 KS)</a>'s Tender Offers. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orora-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16042:1" rel="noopener">Orora (ORA AU)</a> approached by Lone Star. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a> Offer also rumoured.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/namoi-cotton-co-operative" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10711:1" rel="noopener">Namoi Cotton Co Operative (NAM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services (APM AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal
Two new deals were discussed this week: JTower (4485 JP) and BusinessOn Communication (138580 KS)'s Tender Offers. Orora (ORA AU) approached by Lone Star. Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) Offer also rumoured.
Key updates took place on China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Namoi Cotton Co Operative (NAM AU), APM Human Services (APM AU), and CPMC Holdings (906 HK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: TCM, BusinessOn Comm, Orora, Ramsay Health Care, Namoi Cotton, APM, CPMC

<ul>
<li>A 14.8% gain month-to-date, including this past Monday's 6.5% pop - you just knew something positive was taking place behind closed doors. And leaking its way into the public.   </li>
<li>So it was no real surprise to read in the latest<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0815/2024081500841.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> monthly update announcement</a> on the HKEx that various regulatory approvals are almost, but not quite, satisfied.</li>
<li>The wording in the announcement strikes a positive tone. Even remaining conservative on the timeline, this could be wrapped up before year-end. </li>
</ul>


A 14.8% gain month-to-date, including this past Monday's 6.5% pop - you just knew something positive was taking place behind closed doors. And leaking its way into the public.   
So it was no real surprise to read in the latest monthly update announcement on the HKEx that various regulatory approvals are almost, but not quite, satisfied.
The wording in the announcement strikes a positive tone. Even remaining conservative on the timeline, this could be wrapped up before year-end. 


<ul>
<li>Just plain ugly. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a> ("TCM") fell 11.7% yesterday. It's down another 7.9%, on large volume, as I type.  The stock is now ~35% below terms</li>
<li>Depending on who you talk to, the sudden move was triggered by a couple of event pods dumping stock; or the incoming CNPGC chairman is not supportive. Or perhaps both. </li>
<li>Since rumours surfaced early Feb as to an Offer, a basket of TCM's peers are up 8% on average. The HSI is up 15%. TCM's downside from here appears limited.</li>
</ul>


Just plain ugly. China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) ("TCM") fell 11.7% yesterday. It's down another 7.9%, on large volume, as I type.  The stock is now ~35% below terms
Depending on who you talk to, the sudden move was triggered by a couple of event pods dumping stock; or the incoming CNPGC chairman is not supportive. Or perhaps both. 
Since rumours surfaced early Feb as to an Offer, a basket of TCM's peers are up 8% on average. The HSI is up 15%. TCM's downside from here appears limited.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/second-chance-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20342:1" rel="noopener">Second Chance Properties (SCE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/descente-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8225:1" rel="noopener">Descente Ltd (8114 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/c-i-takiron-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18675:1" rel="noopener">C.I. TAKIRON Corporation (4215 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK), Asia Cement China (743 HK). 
Lowest spreads: Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Second Chance Properties (SCE SP), Descente Ltd (8114 JP), C.I. TAKIRON Corporation (4215 JP), Fancl Corp (4921 JP).



Merger Arb Mondays (12 Aug) - China TCM, Canvest, GA Pack, Fuji Soft, Fancl, Descente, Takiron

<ul>
<li>I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma: KKR's tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft (9749 JP)</a>; and Itochu's Tenders Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/descente-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8225:1" rel="noopener">Descente (8114 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/c-i-takiron-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18675:1" rel="noopener">C.I. TAKIRON Corporation (4215 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isetan-singapore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6762:1" rel="noopener">Isetan Singapore (ISET SP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 46 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma: KKR's tilt for Fuji Soft (9749 JP); and Itochu's Tenders Offers for Descente (8114 JP) and C.I. TAKIRON Corporation (4215 JP).
Key updates took place on Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), L'Occitane (973 HK), Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), and Isetan Singapore (ISET SP).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fuji Soft, C.I. TAKIRON, Pacific Smiles, GaPack, Asia Cement, Shinko Electric

Malaysia

Malaysia Airports Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides management, maintenance, and operation of designated airports.  Malaysia Airports also operates duty-free and non-duty free stores as well as provides food and beverage outlets at the airports.

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Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: TCM, BusinessOn Comm, Orora, Ramsay Health Care, Namoi Cotton, APM, CPMC

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

TCM (570 HK): A Spoonful Of Sugar ...

Shares will pop today. Assuming payment late Dec, I'd buy up to HK$4.31/share, for a 7%/20% gross/annualised return. I wouldn't be too aggressive -...

David Blennerhassett

TCM (570 HK): Where's The Floor?

With shares up 14.8% month-to-date, you kinda anticipated some positive developments were happening behind the scenes. Two articles came out this...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (12 Aug) - China TCM, Canvest, GA Pack, Fuji Soft, Fancl, Descente, Takiron

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (112.5%), China TCM (27.1%), Canvest (11.4%), Malaysia Airports (10.1%), Asia Cement China...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fuji Soft, C.I. TAKIRON, Pacific Smiles, GaPack, Asia Cement, Shinko Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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