Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Malaysia Airports Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 15th May, Khazanah Nasional, the EPF, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and GIP, offered to buy shares not already owned in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)</a> at RM11.00/share.</li>
<li>The premium to undisturbed appears reasonable. The price is a life-time high. The 90% acceptance hurdle was not insurmountable, and the consortium had the flexibility to lower the %. </li>
<li>But the Offer is now facing unexpected political pushback, amid protests against the Israel-linked bid.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 15th May, Khazanah Nasional, the EPF, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and GIP, offered to buy shares not already owned in Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK) at RM11.00/share.
The premium to undisturbed appears reasonable. The price is a life-time high. The 90% acceptance hurdle was not insurmountable, and the consortium had the flexibility to lower the %. 
But the Offer is now facing unexpected political pushback, amid protests against the Israel-linked bid.


Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s Offer: Buckle Up!

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tatsuta-electric-wire-cable-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12509:1" rel="noopener">Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nagatanien-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8059:1" rel="noopener">Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Asia Cement China (743 HK), A8 New Media (800 HK), Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK). 
Lowest spreads: Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP), Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP), Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP), Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP).



Merger Arb Mondays (24 Jun) - Malaysia Airports, GA Pack, Infocom, Mimasu, Tatsuta, Capitol, MMA

<ul>
<li>Khazanah Nasional, the EPF,  the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and Global Infrastructure Partners, are offering to buy all shares not already owned in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a> at RM11.00/share.</li>
<li>The pre-conditional voluntary Offer price is a 5.77% premium to last close; but a life-time high. The Offeror consortium collectively holds 41.22% of shares out.</li>
<li>The pre-cons include regulatory approvals (in Malaysia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt). The Offer is subject to a 90% acceptance condition; which may be reduced. </li>
</ul>


Khazanah Nasional, the EPF,  the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and Global Infrastructure Partners, are offering to buy all shares not already owned in Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK) at RM11.00/share.
The pre-conditional voluntary Offer price is a 5.77% premium to last close; but a life-time high. The Offeror consortium collectively holds 41.22% of shares out.
The pre-cons include regulatory approvals (in Malaysia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt). The Offer is subject to a 90% acceptance condition; which may be reduced. 


Business On The Fly: Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s RM11.00/Share Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>’s pre-conditional voluntary conditional offer from a four-member consortium is RM11.00, a 5.8% premium to the last close. </li>
<li>Despite the offer representing an all-time high, the 90% minimum acceptance condition could be challenging due to the low takeover premium and discount to historical and peer multiples. </li>
<li>The consortium can overcome issues satisfying the minimum acceptance condition by bumping the offer or lowering the acceptance condition. </li>
</ul>



Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)’s pre-conditional voluntary conditional offer from a four-member consortium is RM11.00, a 5.8% premium to the last close. 
Despite the offer representing an all-time high, the 90% minimum acceptance condition could be challenging due to the low takeover premium and discount to historical and peer multiples. 
The consortium can overcome issues satisfying the minimum acceptance condition by bumping the offer or lowering the acceptance condition. 


Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): Pre-Conditional Voluntary Offer at RM11.00

<ul>
<li>Cuscaden Peak, the sponsor of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> and 61.5% shareholder, has offered S$0.98/unit, in cash; or S$1.003/unit, a 7% premium to NAV, when including FY24's S$0.0233/unit cash distribution.</li>
<li>The Offer is by way of a Scheme. The Offer price has NOT been declared final. A switch option into a voluntary Offer is afforded should a competing Offer emerge.</li>
<li>Looks pretty clean. Assuming mid-late May payment, pay up to S$0.97/share for a 4%/15% gross/annualised spread. It may trade tighter given the early distribution payment.</li>
</ul>


Cuscaden Peak, the sponsor of Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) and 61.5% shareholder, has offered S$0.98/unit, in cash; or S$1.003/unit, a 7% premium to NAV, when including FY24's S$0.0233/unit cash distribution.
The Offer is by way of a Scheme. The Offer price has NOT been declared final. A switch option into a voluntary Offer is afforded should a competing Offer emerge.
Looks pretty clean. Assuming mid-late May payment, pay up to S$0.97/share for a 4%/15% gross/annualised spread. It may trade tighter given the early distribution payment.


Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)'s Privatisation Offer

Malaysia

Malaysia Airports Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides management, maintenance, and operation of designated airports.  Malaysia Airports also operates duty-free and non-duty free stores as well as provides food and beverage outlets at the airports.

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Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)

Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s Offer: Buckle Up!

Trading at a 13% gross spread. A 90% acceptance condition is often a challenge. In this current atmosphere, that challenge has been amplified. And...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (24 Jun) - Malaysia Airports, GA Pack, Infocom, Mimasu, Tatsuta, Capitol, MMA

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (130.3%), Hollysys (22.8%), Asia Cement China (14.2%), A8 New Media (12.5%), Malaysia Airports...

Arun George

Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): Pre-Conditional Voluntary Offer at RM11.00

The offer is light based on historical/peer multiples. The consortium can overcome issues satisfying the 90% minimum acceptance condition by...

Arun George

Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)'s Privatisation Offer

Looks pretty clean. A 7% premium to NAV and a roughly two-year high. If payment on or around late May, I'd pay up to S$0.97/share for a gross...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s Offer: Buckle Up!

Trading at a 13% gross spread. A 90% acceptance condition is often a challenge. In this current atmosphere, that challenge has been amplified. And...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (24 Jun) - Malaysia Airports, GA Pack, Infocom, Mimasu, Tatsuta, Capitol, MMA

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (130.3%), Hollysys (22.8%), Asia Cement China (14.2%), A8 New Media (12.5%), Malaysia Airports...

Arun George

Business On The Fly: Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)'s RM11.00/Share Offer

Trading at a 8% gross spread to terms. With the Offeror consortium having the flexibility to reduce the acceptance condition; or bump terms, I'd be...

David Blennerhassett

Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): Pre-Conditional Voluntary Offer at RM11.00

The offer is light based on historical/peer multiples. The consortium can overcome issues satisfying the 90% minimum acceptance condition by...

Arun George

Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)'s Privatisation Offer

Looks pretty clean. A 7% premium to NAV and a roughly two-year high. If payment on or around late May, I'd pay up to S$0.97/share for a gross...

David Blennerhassett