IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> Board has proposed introducing countermeasures to nudge <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> to delay the start of the tender to 9 May. </li>
<li>The countermeasure was likely needed to facilitate a competing offer rather than force Nidec to provide the required information and delay the start (Nidec is still evaluating the request).</li>
<li>Nidec’s offer at current terms has a low chance of success, necessitating revised terms. The Board claims that there is a sufficient probability of a competing proposal.</li>
</ul>


The Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) Board has proposed introducing countermeasures to nudge Nidec Corp (6594 JP) to delay the start of the tender to 9 May. 
The countermeasure was likely needed to facilitate a competing offer rather than force Nidec to provide the required information and delay the start (Nidec is still evaluating the request).
Nidec’s offer at current terms has a low chance of success, necessitating revised terms. The Board claims that there is a sufficient probability of a competing proposal.


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Proposes Countermeasures

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> has disclosed that it has received initial letters of intent from multiple third parties, reportedly private equity funds, to launch a competing tender offer.</li>
<li>My analysis suggests that a white knight bid could be as high as JPY13,284, 20.8% higher than Nidec’s JPY11,000 offer and 10.2% higher than the last close price of JPY12,050.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> will take a wait-and-see approach. However, regardless of whether a white knight bidder emerges, Nidec will eventually have to bump.</li>
</ul>



Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) has disclosed that it has received initial letters of intent from multiple third parties, reportedly private equity funds, to launch a competing tender offer.
My analysis suggests that a white knight bid could be as high as JPY13,284, 20.8% higher than Nidec’s JPY11,000 offer and 10.2% higher than the last close price of JPY12,050.

Nidec Corp (6594 JP) will take a wait-and-see approach. However, regardless of whether a white knight bidder emerges, Nidec will eventually have to bump.


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): A White Knight Bidder Is Emerging

<ul>
<li>On 27 December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> announced a hostile preconditional tender offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> at JPY11,000 per share.</li>
<li>The Board has raised several issues with the Nidec proposal through two questionnaires. Some assertions are valid, while others do not stand up to scrutiny.</li>
<li>The Board has launched an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer and hinted at potential competing offers. Nidec’s offer increasingly needs a bump. </li>
</ul>


On 27 December, Nidec Corp (6594 JP) announced a hostile preconditional tender offer for Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) at JPY11,000 per share.
The Board has raised several issues with the Nidec proposal through two questionnaires. Some assertions are valid, while others do not stand up to scrutiny.
The Board has launched an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer and hinted at potential competing offers. Nidec’s offer increasingly needs a bump. 


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): State of Play

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>I tally 56 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi Inc (2121 JP)</a>'s Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tonami-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2615:1" rel="noopener">Tonami Holdings (9070 JP)</a>'s MBO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-galaxy-securities-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:165:1" rel="noopener">China Galaxy (6881 HK)</a> merger rumoured.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">SG Fleet (SGF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-logistics-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35733:1" rel="noopener">Silk Logistics (SLH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jamco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14741:1" rel="noopener">Jamco Corp (7408 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 56 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deals discussed this week: Mixi Inc (2121 JP)'s Offer for PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU), and Tonami Holdings (9070 JP)'s MBO. CICC (3908 HK)/China Galaxy (6881 HK) merger rumoured.
Key updates/news took place on: SG Fleet (SGF AU), Silk Logistics (SLH AU), Jamco Corp (7408 JP), and Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: PointsBet, Tonami, CIC/China Galaxy, SG Fleet, Silk Logistics, Jamco, Makino

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> released a multi-page document regarding its bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> yesterday. </li>
<li>It talked a bit about the back-and-forth with Makino, and gave Nidec's side of the story. Makino has been making their side public too. A meeting is due early March.</li>
<li>In the document, there was a line suggesting Nidec won't raise price even against a counteroffer. They didn't need to say that. The question is what Makino will do.</li>
</ul>



Nidec Corp (6594 JP) released a multi-page document regarding its bid for Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) yesterday. 
It talked a bit about the back-and-forth with Makino, and gave Nidec's side of the story. Makino has been making their side public too. A meeting is due early March.
In the document, there was a line suggesting Nidec won't raise price even against a counteroffer. They didn't need to say that. The question is what Makino will do.


Nidec Says It Won't Raise Price on Makino (6135)

Japan

Makino Milling Machine Co., Ltd. manufactures, sells, and repairs machining centers (MCs), electrical dischargers, numerical control (NC) milling machines, and other related industrial machinery.  The Company also produces die/mold manufacturing systems as well as Computer Aided Manufacturing (CAM) and Computer Aided Design (CAD) systems software to support its machine tools.

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Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Proposes Countermeasures

The Board proposes countermeasures to get Nidec to delay the start but is more likely to facilitate a competing offer. The probability of a bidding...

Arun George

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): A White Knight Bidder Is Emerging

My analysis suggests that a white knight bid could be as high as JPY13,284, 20.8% higher than Nidec’s JPY11,000 offer and 10.2% higher than the...

Arun George

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): State of Play

The Board has launched an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer and hinted at potential competing offers. Nidec’s offer increasingly needs a bump.

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: PointsBet, Tonami, CIC/China Galaxy, SG Fleet, Silk Logistics, Jamco, Makino

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Nidec Says It Won't Raise Price on Makino (6135)

Nidec again presented its case for the Makino deal, but without much flare. Makino has agreed to an early March meeting. This may be the catalyst...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Proposes Countermeasures

The Board proposes countermeasures to get Nidec to delay the start but is more likely to facilitate a competing offer. The probability of a bidding...

Arun George

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): A White Knight Bidder Is Emerging

My analysis suggests that a white knight bid could be as high as JPY13,284, 20.8% higher than Nidec’s JPY11,000 offer and 10.2% higher than the...

Arun George

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): State of Play

The Board has launched an ambitious MTM plan to thwart the offer and hinted at potential competing offers. Nidec’s offer increasingly needs a bump.

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: PointsBet, Tonami, CIC/China Galaxy, SG Fleet, Silk Logistics, Jamco, Makino

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Nidec Says It Won't Raise Price on Makino (6135)

Nidec again presented its case for the Makino deal, but without much flare. Makino has agreed to an early March meeting. This *may* be the catalyst...

Travis Lundy

Nidec again presented its case for the Makino deal, but without much flare. Makino has agreed to an early March meeting. This may be the catalyst...