Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>EU, like the US, is considering lowering "<em>de minimis</em>" import threshold, soon</li>
<li>Lowering import value thresholds or raising reporting requirements could make SHEIN/Temu/AliExpress goods more expensive, and fulfillment more onerous</li>
<li>Threat of "<em>de minimis</em>" changes coming just as SHEIN reportedly seeks an IPO</li>
</ul>


EU, like the US, is considering lowering "de minimis" import threshold, soon
Lowering import value thresholds or raising reporting requirements could make SHEIN/Temu/AliExpress goods more expensive, and fulfillment more onerous
Threat of "de minimis" changes coming just as SHEIN reportedly seeks an IPO


SHEIN/Temu/AliExpress: As US Mulls Reforming "De Minimis" Rules, EU Could Take Similar Action

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1810 HK/1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/XPEV US: EV sales were strong in the 25th week of 2024, with several brands reaching new highs (/////////)</li>
<li>ATAT US:The first Atour Hotel 4.0 opens in Xi'an. (+)</li>
<li>Ministry of Commerce: Mainland China will increase the tax-free allowance for luggage carried by resident travelers entering from Hong Kong and Macao</li>
</ul>


1810 HK/1211 HK/LI US/NIO US/XPEV US: EV sales were strong in the 25th week of 2024, with several brands reaching new highs (/////////)
ATAT US:The first Atour Hotel 4.0 opens in Xi'an. (+)
Ministry of Commerce: Mainland China will increase the tax-free allowance for luggage carried by resident travelers entering from Hong Kong and Macao


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810HK/1211HK/LI/NIO /XPEV/ATAT/2352CH/BEKE/2618HK/2352SZ/ZTO/1519HK/981HK/9699HK

<ul>
<li>For first time since 2022, carriers' cargo revenue, yield, load factor all rising</li>
<li>Asia outbound, US inbound air cargo tons both improving in early 2024</li>
<li>SHEIN, Temu could account for 40%+ of US inbound air tons from CH, HK, TW</li>
</ul>


For first time since 2022, carriers' cargo revenue, yield, load factor all rising
Asia outbound, US inbound air cargo tons both improving in early 2024
SHEIN, Temu could account for 40%+ of US inbound air tons from CH, HK, TW


Growth of SHEIN, Temu Appears to Be Boosting Asia-US Air Cargo Volume & Pricing

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>After CaiNiao halted IPO in late March, company reported lower Q4 margins</li>
<li>What drove Q4 margin deterioration, retention payments or weaker X-border?</li>
<li>With IPO off the table, supporting AliExpress becomes CaiNiao's main role</li>
</ul>


After CaiNiao halted IPO in late March, company reported lower Q4 margins
What drove Q4 margin deterioration, retention payments or weaker X-border?
With IPO off the table, supporting AliExpress becomes CaiNiao's main role


CaiNiao Q4FY Results: After IPO Withdrawn, Margins Fell | Retention Payments, or Something Else?

Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight we show drivers of LalaTech's +US$1bn turnaround in OpInc</li>
<li>We also evaluate which drivers are likely to generate future improvements</li>
<li>Lalatech won't repeat incredible 2021-23 CoR, OpEx performances, in our view</li>
</ul>


In this insight we show drivers of LalaTech's +US$1bn turnaround in OpInc
We also evaluate which drivers are likely to generate future improvements
Lalatech won't repeat incredible 2021-23 CoR, OpEx performances, in our view


Lalatech IPO: New Filing Shows March From Losses To Profits Between 2021 and 2023

China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

Sinotrans Limited provides integrated logistics services with core service of sea, air, rail and road freight forwarding, express services and shipping agency services.  The Company also provides support services of storage and terminal services, trucking and marine transportation services.

Yunda Holding Co Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides industrial investment, enterprise management, business consulting, car rental, technical development, information technology, and advertising services. Yunda Holding serves customers in China.

Xiamen Xiangyu Co Ltd provides supply chain and circulation services. The Company offers its clients the capability to purchase raw materials and semi-manufactured products and to distribute finished goods worldwide.

Jiangsu Aucksun Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes rolled steel sheets and aluminum sheets.

Citic Offshore Helicopter Co., Ltd. provides helicopter transportation services for the petroleum industry and other industries.  The Company also provides helicopter repair and maintenance services.

STO Express Co Ltd. develops, manufactures and markets valves, pipe fittings and plumbing equipment. The Company's business encompasses the    development, manufacturing, sales and servicing of plumbing equipment, valves,  pipe fittings, metal construction materials, home automation, environmental protection and energy control systems.

CTS International Logistics Corporation Limited provides cross-border integrated logistics services and supply chain trading businesses. The Company's cross-border integrated logistics services mainly include contracting and subcontracting international air and sea transport operations.

Cts International Logistics Corp (603128 CH)

Orient International Enterprise Ltd. provides import and export services and agency service for a variety of apparel manufacturers, including London Fog, Rifle, Calvin Klein, and Polo labels. The Company also invests in the biochemical business.

Orient International Enterprise, Ltd (600278 CH)

Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain Co., Ltd. provides shipping, logistics and transportation consulting services.

Shenzhen Feima Intl Supply Chain (002210 CH)

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. provides multimodal transportation services and logistics solutions. The Company operates a network of offices in North America, Europe, Asia, South America, and the Middle East. C.H. Robinson provides a variety of logistics services, such as fresh produce sourcing and freight consolidation.

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides logistics services. The Company offers expedited airfreight forwarding, warehousing management, drayage, freight brokerage, intermodal, transportation, and reverse logistics. XPO Logistics serves customers throughout North America.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is a global logistics company. The Company provides air and ocean freight forwarding, vendor consolidation, customs clearance, marine insurance, distribution, and other international logistics services.

Bollore SA is a holding company.  The Company offers freight forwarding and transport services, manufactures plastic film and paper, offers port and stevedoring services, operates rubber, palm and oil plantations and offers banking services.

DSV A/S provides transport and logistics services. The Company offers road, marine, and air transport services, as well as warehousing, purchase order management, and other logistic solutions. DSV serves customers worldwide.

Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd. provides domestic and international logistic services. The Company's services include domestic transportation, storage, packaging, vehicle logistic, and logistic consulting.  GLOVIS also runs automobile auction market for used vehicle.

Financiere de l'Odet is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers transport and international logistics, the distribution of energy, the production of plastic films and thin paper, the manufacture of specialized terminals and systems, and the management of investments in plantations and in other market areas, including media and communication.

SG Holdings Co., Ltd. offers courier services. The Company provides goods delivery, cargo logistics, goods pickup, and other services. SG Holdings also operates real estate development, human resources management, and other businesses.

Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd. mainly provides door-to-door parcel delivery services. The Company has developed a nationwide delivery system specializing in time-specified delivery. Yamato Holdings offers moving services and other comprehensive transportation services including logistics services for both domestic and overseas customers as well as financial and autoworks services.

Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. offers logistics services. The Company provides freight vehicle transportation, railway transportation, air transportation, sea transportation, port transportation, warehousing, and other services. Nippon Express Holdings provides its services throughout Japan.

S.F. Holding Co., Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides logistics, order tracking, supply chain management, and warehousing services. S.F. Holding operates worldwide.

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S.F. Holding (002352 CH)

SHEIN/Temu/AliExpress: As US Mulls Reforming "De Minimis" Rules, EU Could Take Similar Action

It appears the EU has joined the US in preparing reforms to the "de minimis" rules that aid SHEIN and its peers by keeping direct-to-consumer...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810HK/1211HK/LI/NIO /XPEV/ATAT/2352CH/BEKE/2618HK/2352SZ/ZTO/1519HK/981HK/9699HK

EV sales surge in 25th week of 2024, Atour Hotel 4.0 opens in Xi'an, China raises tax-free allowance for resident travelers from Hong Kong and Macao.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Growth of SHEIN, Temu Appears to Be Boosting Asia-US Air Cargo Volume & Pricing

There are signs that SHEIN and Temu are boosting Asia-to-US air cargo volume and pricing. We estimate the two platforms account for as much as 40%+...

Tracking Traffic

CaiNiao Q4FY Results: After IPO Withdrawn, Margins Fell | Retention Payments, or Something Else?

Alibaba's logistics subsidiary CaiNiao reported an EBITA loss in its Q4 results, the first in FY24. Was it the result of retention payments after...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech IPO: New Filing Shows March From Losses To Profits Between 2021 and 2023

We doubt Lalatech will be able to repeat anything like the dramatic improvements in CoR and OpEx the company showed between 2021 and 2023.

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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SHEIN/Temu/AliExpress: As US Mulls Reforming "De Minimis" Rules, EU Could Take Similar Action

It appears the EU has joined the US in preparing reforms to the "de minimis" rules that aid SHEIN and its peers by keeping direct-to-consumer...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810HK/1211HK/LI/NIO /XPEV/ATAT/2352CH/BEKE/2618HK/2352SZ/ZTO/1519HK/981HK/9699HK

​EV sales surge in 25th week of 2024, Atour Hotel 4.0 opens in Xi'an, China raises tax-free allowance for resident travelers from Hong Kong and Macao.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Growth of SHEIN, Temu Appears to Be Boosting Asia-US Air Cargo Volume & Pricing

There are signs that SHEIN and Temu are boosting Asia-to-US air cargo volume and pricing. We estimate the two platforms account for as much as 40%+...

Tracking Traffic

CaiNiao Q4FY Results: After IPO Withdrawn, Margins Fell | Retention Payments, or Something Else?

Alibaba's logistics subsidiary CaiNiao reported an EBITA loss in its Q4 results, the first in FY24. Was it the result of retention payments after...

Tracking Traffic

Lalatech IPO: New Filing Shows March From Losses To Profits Between 2021 and 2023

We doubt Lalatech will be able to repeat anything like the dramatic improvements in CoR and OpEx the company showed between 2021 and 2023.

Tracking Traffic

EV sales surge in 25th week of 2024, Atour Hotel 4.0 opens in Xi'an, China raises tax-free allowance for resident travelers from Hong Kong and Macao.