Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sre-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29672:1" rel="noopener">SRE Holdings Corp (2980 JP)</a> last week announced an offering of new shares and a secondary share sale by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19603:1" rel="noopener">Z Holdings (4689 JP)</a> of the bulk of its holdings.</li>
<li>The Z Holdings sale coincides with a "new business alliance" between SRE and Yahoo. At first glance, it appears as if both sides have decided to rejig what they do.</li>
<li>SRE has an interesting business model which is quite growthy. It is growthier than it planned and others expected, but the stock has fallen 70% in 3mos. It's a buy.</li>
</ul>



SRE Holdings Corp (2980 JP) last week announced an offering of new shares and a secondary share sale by Z Holdings (4689 JP) of the bulk of its holdings.
The Z Holdings sale coincides with a "new business alliance" between SRE and Yahoo. At first glance, it appears as if both sides have decided to rejig what they do.
SRE has an interesting business model which is quite growthy. It is growthier than it planned and others expected, but the stock has fallen 70% in 3mos. It's a buy.


SRE Holdings (2980 JP) Offering - New Higher Growth at New Lower Multiple

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>LINE Gift is fast becoming the most popular way to send gifts of all kinds, even traditional gifts sent at mid-year and New Year. </li>
<li>This is good news for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19603:1" rel="noopener">Z Holdings (4689 JP)</a> and Softbank, as well as LINE, as the gifting platform acts as a unifying point for their disparate e-commerce platforms.</li>
<li>Although the corporate gift market is in decline, personal gift giving remains a growth market, offering further upside.</li>
</ul>


LINE Gift is fast becoming the most popular way to send gifts of all kinds, even traditional gifts sent at mid-year and New Year. 
This is good news for Z Holdings (4689 JP) and Softbank, as well as LINE, as the gifting platform acts as a unifying point for their disparate e-commerce platforms.
Although the corporate gift market is in decline, personal gift giving remains a growth market, offering further upside.


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This is an in-depth review of Japanese e-commerce in the last 18 months, a time when e-commerce expanded rapidly and by 2023, e-commerce will be Japan’s single biggest retail channel.</li>
<li>We are now riding a wave of change as retailers integrate the e-commerce channel into their businesses, increasingly approaching a true omnichannel model.</li>
<li>And this is important in Japan because, although e-commerce penetration appears low, this overlooks the importance, convenience and ease of access to physical shops and integration with online.</li>
</ul>


This is an in-depth review of Japanese e-commerce in the last 18 months, a time when e-commerce expanded rapidly and by 2023, e-commerce will be Japan’s single biggest retail channel.
We are now riding a wave of change as retailers integrate the e-commerce channel into their businesses, increasingly approaching a true omnichannel model.
And this is important in Japan because, although e-commerce penetration appears low, this overlooks the importance, convenience and ease of access to physical shops and integration with online.


<ul>
<li>Analysts are expecting cashless payments in Japan for 2021 to show further accelerated growth in the use of mobile payment apps.</li>
<li>Surveys suggest consumers rapidly increased their use of mobile payments and are even expressing frustration when the service is unavailable. </li>
<li>PayPay is utterly dominant with nearly 50% share based on survey responses. We expect consolidation below from NTT, Mercari, Rakuten and KDDI.</li>
</ul>


Analysts are expecting cashless payments in Japan for 2021 to show further accelerated growth in the use of mobile payment apps.
Surveys suggest consumers rapidly increased their use of mobile payments and are even expressing frustration when the service is unavailable. 
PayPay is utterly dominant with nearly 50% share based on survey responses. We expect consolidation below from NTT, Mercari, Rakuten and KDDI.


Growth in Cashless Payments Surges in Japan – PayPay Totally Dominant

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>The core eCommerce and Fintech segments posted good results for the quarter but that will certainly get lost in the discussion on mobile</li>
<li>Mobile operating losses exceeded $1bn in Q4 and whilst management is guiding to losses bottoming out in Q1 22, the magnitude of improvements remains undefined</li>
<li>Rakuten Mobile capex is on par with incumbents and will remain unchanged in FY22</li>
</ul>


The core eCommerce and Fintech segments posted good results for the quarter but that will certainly get lost in the discussion on mobile
Mobile operating losses exceeded $1bn in Q4 and whilst management is guiding to losses bottoming out in Q1 22, the magnitude of improvements remains undefined
Rakuten Mobile capex is on par with incumbents and will remain unchanged in FY22


Rakuten (Neutral) - Q4 21 Results Reaction: Hard to Look past Mobile Losses

Japan

LY Corporation operates as an internet search engine "Yahoo! JAPAN". The Company provides electronic commerce and settlement finance services for small medium enterprises and individuals. LY also operates media business including search linked advertising and display advertising services.

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LY (4689 JP)

SRE Holdings (2980 JP) Offering - New Higher Growth at New Lower Multiple

SRE and Yahoo are re-jigging their business tie-up, and Yahoo is selling most of its shares in SRE. Shares are down 70% from 14 weeks ago. That's...

Travis Lundy

LINE Gift up 330% in 2021

LINE Gift is growing faster than any other e-commerce platform and is testament to the potential synergies across Z Holdings. Much more can be done...

Michael Causton

E-Commerce in Japan: The Big Review

Japan's e-commerce sector expanded rapidly in the last 18 months. The following is a complete review and analysis of the major trends as well as...

Michael Causton

Growth in Cashless Payments Surges in Japan – PayPay Totally Dominant

Japan is shifting from 80-90% cash retail transactions to 40-50% cashless in the blink of an eye. Softbank/Z HD dominates with nearly 50% share and...

Michael Causton

Rakuten (Neutral) - Q4 21 Results Reaction: Hard to Look past Mobile Losses

Rakuten’s mobile business is losing a billion dollars per quarter and capital spending is higher than incumbents. That is going to obscure solid...

Kirk Boodry

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