HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Among core/key products, TY-302 and TY-2136b have to face fierce competition, with R&amp;D progress lagging behind competing products.TY-9591 for brain metastases from NSCLC could be a breakthrough point for TYK.</li>
<li>There would be a long time for the first product to generate revenue, but TYK is cash shortage.So, the survival risk is high. Such companies are less attractive to investors.</li>
<li>Valuation of TYK after six rounds of financing was RMB3.08 billion. However, considering the weak sentiment and concerns on pipeline, valuation of TYK after IPO could fall below this level.</li>
</ul>


Among core/key products, TY-302 and TY-2136b have to face fierce competition, with R&amp;D progress lagging behind competing products.TY-9591 for brain metastases from NSCLC could be a breakthrough point for TYK.
There would be a long time for the first product to generate revenue, but TYK is cash shortage.So, the survival risk is high. Such companies are less attractive to investors.
Valuation of TYK after six rounds of financing was RMB3.08 billion. However, considering the weak sentiment and concerns on pipeline, valuation of TYK after IPO could fall below this level.


Pre-IPO TYK Medicines - Survival Risk Is Imminent, with Limited Highlights in the Pipeline

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Starting from November 1st 2023, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region will include some therapeutic assisted reproductive medical services in the payment scope of basic medical insurance and work-related injury insurance funds.</li>
<li>Livzon’s 23Q3 performance was below expectations, which is related to China’s anti-corruption campaign started from 23H2. Considering the Chairman's proposal to repurchase shares, we should be more patient with Livzon.</li>
<li>BGI is still digesting the impact of COVID revenue, and would experience a performance low point in 2023.However, BGI belongs to the direction of national key science and technology projects.</li>
</ul>


Starting from November 1st 2023, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region will include some therapeutic assisted reproductive medical services in the payment scope of basic medical insurance and work-related injury insurance funds.
Livzon’s 23Q3 performance was below expectations, which is related to China’s anti-corruption campaign started from 23H2. Considering the Chairman's proposal to repurchase shares, we should be more patient with Livzon.
BGI is still digesting the impact of COVID revenue, and would experience a performance low point in 2023.However, BGI belongs to the direction of national key science and technology projects.


China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series - Part 3

Equity Bottom-Up

Intco Medical Technology  Lt / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 2023 NRDL negotiation has officially begun since Friday. Pharmaceutical enterprises predict the price reduction would be more reasonable. But some company representatives were dissatisfactory with first-day negotiation results. </li>
<li>Although there're many optimistic judgments about the improved financing environment in both China and overseas markets, this may not be the case. Based on the data, we remain cautious instead.</li>
<li>As the disposable glove market gradually shows a warming trend, we are optimistic that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intco-medical-technology-co-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29782:1" rel="noopener">Intco Medical </a>would achieve a performance reversal in the future. The current valuation has bottomed out.</li>
</ul>


The 2023 NRDL negotiation has officially begun since Friday. Pharmaceutical enterprises predict the price reduction would be more reasonable. But some company representatives were dissatisfactory with first-day negotiation results. 
Although there're many optimistic judgments about the improved financing environment in both China and overseas markets, this may not be the case. Based on the data, we remain cautious instead.
As the disposable glove market gradually shows a warming trend, we are optimistic that Intco Medical would achieve a performance reversal in the future. The current valuation has bottomed out.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.17) - 2023 NRDL Negotiation, Financing Data Won't Lie, Intco Medical

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The results of the first VBP of TCM formula granules in China were announced. 200 varieties of TCM formula granules have been included, with an average price reduction of 50.77%.</li>
<li>According to the recently released <em>Statistical Bulletin on the Development of Health Care in 2022</em>, we have listed some key points worth investors' attention.</li>
<li>Livzon’s 23Q3 performance was below expectations, which was more related to external factors such as anti-corruption campaign, VBP. However, Chairman's share buyback proposal indicates possibility of a future reversal.</li>
</ul>


The results of the first VBP of TCM formula granules in China were announced. 200 varieties of TCM formula granules have been included, with an average price reduction of 50.77%.
According to the recently released Statistical Bulletin on the Development of Health Care in 2022, we have listed some key points worth investors' attention.
Livzon’s 23Q3 performance was below expectations, which was more related to external factors such as anti-corruption campaign, VBP. However, Chairman's share buyback proposal indicates possibility of a future reversal.


China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.27) - TCM Formula Granules VBP, Medical Statistics to Watch, Livzon

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group In / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Several provinces have successively introduced policies to encourage childbirth. Increasing medical insurance reimbursement and special additional deduction standards for personal income tax would be the common direction. </li>
<li>This year is mainly a period of intensive introduction of relevant fertility support policies, so the impact on company’s performance is limited.The focus would be on next year's financial results.</li>
<li>We analyzed the performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/livzon-pharmaceutical-group-in" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24770:1" rel="noopener">Livzon Pharmaceutical Group In (000513 CH),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bgi-genomics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25890:1" rel="noopener">BGI Genomics (300676 CH)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/livzon-pharmaceutical-group-in" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24770:1" rel="noopener"> and </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinxin-fertility-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28003:1" rel="noopener">Jinxin Fertility Group (1951 HK) </a>based on their 23H1 reports, and adjusted our forecast accordingly.</li>
</ul>


Several provinces have successively introduced policies to encourage childbirth. Increasing medical insurance reimbursement and special additional deduction standards for personal income tax would be the common direction. 
This year is mainly a period of intensive introduction of relevant fertility support policies, so the impact on company’s performance is limited.The focus would be on next year's financial results.
We analyzed the performance of Livzon Pharmaceutical Group In (000513 CH),BGI Genomics (300676 CH) and Jinxin Fertility Group (1951 HK) based on their 23H1 reports, and adjusted our forecast accordingly.


China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series – Part 2

China

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group Inc. develops and manufactures pharmaceutical products, including chemical medicines, bio-chemical medicines, biological engineering medicines, chemical compound crude medicines, antibiotics, micro-ecological preparations, patent Chinese medicines, and diagnosis reagents etc.

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group In (000513 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group In (000513 CH)

Pre-IPO TYK Medicines - Survival Risk Is Imminent, with Limited Highlights in the Pipeline

Except TY-9591 for brain metastases from NSCLC, the rest pipeline has little highlight but with fierce competition.As a biotech with no...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series - Part 3

We updated the most recent changes in relevant fertility support policies in China. Meanwhile, we also analyzed our views on the performance and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.17) - 2023 NRDL Negotiation, Financing Data Won't Lie, Intco Medical

The 2023 NRDL negotiation has officially begun since Friday. Based on 23Q3 data, financing environment in China and overseas markets is far from...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.27) - TCM Formula Granules VBP, Medical Statistics to Watch, Livzon

Results of the first TCM formula granule VBP were announced. Some key points of Statistical Bulletin on the Development of Health Care worth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series – Part 2

Several regions have successively introduced policies to encourage childbirth, so we analyzed the recent policy updates. Based on Livzon/BGI...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)