IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arteria-networks-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27807:1" rel="noopener">ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hailan-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39776:1" rel="noopener">Hailan Holdings (2278 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14904:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)</a>, Allkem. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Nexus Select Trust (NST IN), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP), SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Hailan Holdings (2278 HK), Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK), Allkem. 


Weekly Deals Digest (14 May) - Toshiba, Arteria, Shinsei, Yitai Coal, Allkem, Horizon Construction

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Aussie lithium miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a> has inked a $US10bn+ merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/livent-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27434:1" rel="noopener">Livent (LTHM US)</a> to form the world's fifth largest lithium producer.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> tackled this "merger-of-equals" and the index implications in <a href="https://skr.ma/kwkmN" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Allkem/Livent (AKE AU | LTHM US) Merger Of Lithium Equals Has Index Surprises</a>. </li>
<li>The spoils of ongoing lithium demand for electric vehicle batteries will ostensibly go to the prevalent, low-cost producer. Yet Livent shareholders may question the lack of premium in the transaction. </li>
</ul>


Aussie lithium miner Allkem Ltd (AKE AU) has inked a $US10bn+ merger with Livent (LTHM US) to form the world's fifth largest lithium producer.

Travis Lundy tackled this "merger-of-equals" and the index implications in Allkem/Livent (AKE AU | LTHM US) Merger Of Lithium Equals Has Index Surprises. 
The spoils of ongoing lithium demand for electric vehicle batteries will ostensibly go to the prevalent, low-cost producer. Yet Livent shareholders may question the lack of premium in the transaction. 


Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Today, after the close, ASX-listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a> (formerly known as Orocobre, which merged with Galaxy Resources in 2021) announced it would merge with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/livent-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27434:1" rel="noopener">Livent (LTHM US)</a>. </li>
<li>At US$10bn, this "merger-of-equals" NEWCO (pro-forma US$1.9bn revenue, US$1.2bn EBITDA), with NYSE primary listing and foreign entity listing on the ASX, would be a global lithium player. Deal closing end-2023.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20230510/pdf/05pl06drnwjlqq.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">doc</a> (243 pages) and <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20230510/pdf/05pl036rt4bhn9.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">presentation</a> (42p) are worth reading. There are interesting index effects, and there may be "Lithium Risk" in this deal for arbs, but it looks good.</li>
</ul>


Today, after the close, ASX-listed Allkem Ltd (AKE AU) (formerly known as Orocobre, which merged with Galaxy Resources in 2021) announced it would merge with Livent (LTHM US). 
At US$10bn, this "merger-of-equals" NEWCO (pro-forma US$1.9bn revenue, US$1.2bn EBITDA), with NYSE primary listing and foreign entity listing on the ASX, would be a global lithium player. Deal closing end-2023.
The doc (243 pages) and presentation (42p) are worth reading. There are interesting index effects, and there may be "Lithium Risk" in this deal for arbs, but it looks good.


Allkem/Livent (AKE AU | LTHM US) Merger Of Lithium Equals Has Index Surprises

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/livent-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27434:1" rel="noopener">Livent (LTHM US)</a> announced a merger of equals. AKE shareholders receive 1 NewCo share per AKE share, LTHM shareholders get 2.406 NewCo shares per LTHM share.</li>
<li>The transaction is expected to close by the end of calendar year 2023 subject to shareholder (AKM and LTHM) and regulatory approvals. </li>
<li>The merger is sensible as NewCo will have scale, synergies and capital efficiency. AKE shareholders benefit from an attractive merger ratio and potential rerating from a US listing. </li>
</ul>



Allkem Ltd (AKE AU) and Livent (LTHM US) announced a merger of equals. AKE shareholders receive 1 NewCo share per AKE share, LTHM shareholders get 2.406 NewCo shares per LTHM share.
The transaction is expected to close by the end of calendar year 2023 subject to shareholder (AKM and LTHM) and regulatory approvals. 
The merger is sensible as NewCo will have scale, synergies and capital efficiency. AKE shareholders benefit from an attractive merger ratio and potential rerating from a US listing. 


Allkem (AKE AU): Merger of Equals with Livent (LTHM US)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a> has rejected an unsolicited non-binding privatisation proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albemarle-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7678:1" rel="noopener">Albemarle Corp (ALB US)</a> at A$2.50 per share, which is a 63.9% premium to the undisturbed price (27 March).</li>
<li>The offer is attractive in comparison to peer multiples and historical share prices. Liontown suggests that the offer does not appropriately value the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project.</li>
<li>A bump to the Board’s desired A$3.00 offer is justifiable based on the Kathleen Valley NPV sensitivity analysis related to spodumene prices. Albemarle remains willing to engage. </li>
</ul>



Liontown Resources (LTR AU) has rejected an unsolicited non-binding privatisation proposal from Albemarle Corp (ALB US) at A$2.50 per share, which is a 63.9% premium to the undisturbed price (27 March).
The offer is attractive in comparison to peer multiples and historical share prices. Liontown suggests that the offer does not appropriately value the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project.
A bump to the Board’s desired A$3.00 offer is justifiable based on the Kathleen Valley NPV sensitivity analysis related to spodumene prices. Albemarle remains willing to engage. 


Liontown Resources (LTR AU): A Bump to Albermale’s A$2.50 Offer Is Justifiable

United States

Livent Corporation produces and distributes lithium chemicals. The Company offers lithium chemicals for applications in batteries, agrochemicals, aerospace alloys, greases, pharmaceuticals, polymers, and various industrial applications.

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Livent (LTHM US)

Weekly Deals Digest (14 May) - Toshiba, Arteria, Shinsei, Yitai Coal, Allkem, Horizon Construction

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Arteria, Shinsei Bank, Toshiba, Allkem, St Barbara, Hailan, Yitai, Lian Beng) and ECM...

Arun George

Allkem/Livent: Enlarged Charging Unit

As Travis pointed out, a cross-border arb will be "difficult" because lithium is a bouncy theme and one could get legged pretty easily. To this,...

David Blennerhassett

Allkem/Livent (AKE AU | LTHM US) Merger Of Lithium Equals Has Index Surprises

Allkem and Livent (LTHM US) have agreed to merge to become an all-processes lithium mega-player, going from 4th and 9th in the world in LCE to 3rd,...

Travis Lundy

Allkem (AKE AU): Merger of Equals with Livent (LTHM US)

The merger is sensible as NewCo will have scale, synergies and capital efficiency. AKE shareholders benefit from an attractive merger ratio and...

Arun George

Liontown Resources (LTR AU): A Bump to Albermale’s A$2.50 Offer Is Justifiable

A bump to the Board’s desired A$3.00 offer is justifiable based on the Kathleen Valley NPV sensitivity analysis related to spodumene prices....

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Weekly Deals Digest (14 May) - Toshiba, Arteria, Shinsei, Yitai Coal, Allkem, Horizon Construction

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Arteria, Shinsei Bank, Toshiba, Allkem, St Barbara, Hailan, Yitai, Lian Beng) and ECM...

Arun George

Allkem/​Livent: Enlarged Charging Unit

As Travis pointed out, a cross-border arb will be "difficult" because lithium is a bouncy theme and one could get legged pretty easily. To this,...

David Blennerhassett

Allkem/Livent (AKE AU | LTHM US) Merger Of Lithium Equals Has Index Surprises

Allkem and Livent (LTHM US) have agreed to merge to become an all-processes lithium mega-player, going from 4th and 9th in the world in LCE to 3rd,...

Travis Lundy

Allkem (AKE AU): Merger of Equals with Livent (LTHM US)

The merger is sensible as NewCo will have scale, synergies and capital efficiency. AKE shareholders benefit from an attractive merger ratio and...

Arun George

Liontown Resources (LTR AU): A Bump to Albermale’s A$2.50 Offer Is Justifiable

A bump to the Board’s desired A$3.00 offer is justifiable based on the Kathleen Valley NPV sensitivity analysis related to spodumene prices....

Arun George

Allkem/Livent: Enlarged Charging Unit