Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>LI/XPEV/NIO/1211 HK:  Sales of strong EV brands held up better during CNY, Li and Tesla led and AITO and BYD followed (+)</li>
<li>BEKE : ByteDance suspend self-operating home decoration business( + ) </li>
<li>ZLAB:Bristol-Myers Squibb （BMS） outsources Opdivo sales in ten southwestern provinces to Zai Lab, a long-term positive but with many prerequisites (+)</li>
</ul>


LI/XPEV/NIO/1211 HK:  Sales of strong EV brands held up better during CNY, Li and Tesla led and AITO and BYD followed (+)
BEKE : ByteDance suspend self-operating home decoration business( + ) 
ZLAB:Bristol-Myers Squibb （BMS） outsources Opdivo sales in ten southwestern provinces to Zai Lab, a long-term positive but with many prerequisites (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI/XPEV/NIO/1211 HK/BEKE/ZLAB

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group</a>  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha</a> (ChaPanda) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings</a> (Good me) are said to be looking to raise US$300m each.</li>
<li>All three are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, including the Hong Kong listed peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nayuki-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32149:1" rel="noopener">Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while Sichuan Baicha (ChaPanda) and Guming Holdings (Good me) are said to be looking to raise US$300m each.
All three are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, including the Hong Kong listed peer, Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK).


MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Octillion Energy Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/octillion-energy-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40394:1" rel="noopener">Octillion Energy Holdings (OE HK)</a> is looking to raise US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Octillion’s main revenue driver has been its EV battery systems with battery cells over the track record period, with a healthy balance sheet to support its cash burn. </li>
<li>However, its revenue growth fell off a cliff in 1H23 due to its heavy reliance on a single customer, which doesn’t appear sustainable, in our view.</li>
</ul>



Octillion Energy Holdings (OE HK) is looking to raise US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Octillion’s main revenue driver has been its EV battery systems with battery cells over the track record period, with a healthy balance sheet to support its cash burn. 
However, its revenue growth fell off a cliff in 1H23 due to its heavy reliance on a single customer, which doesn’t appear sustainable, in our view.


Octillion Energy Holdings Pre-IPO - Over-Reliance on Top Customer and Lack of Competitive Edge

<ul>
<li>ATAT/TCOM: Tourism: Local government will issue RMB600mn travel consumption subsidies during CNY(+)</li>
<li>9995 HK/BGNE/9926 HK/1801 HK/1877 HK:The National Medical Insurance Administration issued new regulations on the initial price of newly launched drugs to protect the independent pricing of innovative drugs.(/)</li>
<li>300750 SZ：Porsche's new Taycan doubles cruising range, uses CATL Shenxing battery(+)</li>
</ul>


ATAT/TCOM: Tourism: Local government will issue RMB600mn travel consumption subsidies during CNY(+)
9995 HK/BGNE/9926 HK/1801 HK/1877 HK:The National Medical Insurance Administration issued new regulations on the initial price of newly launched drugs to protect the independent pricing of innovative drugs.(/)
300750 SZ：Porsche's new Taycan doubles cruising range, uses CATL Shenxing battery(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: LKNCY/ZLAB/9995 HK/BGNE/9926 HK/1801 HK/1877 HK/ATAT/TCOM/1211 HK/LI/NIO/XPEV

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>One year ago we looked at the arrangement between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan (7201 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renault-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21536:1" rel="noopener">Renault (RNO FP)</a> regarding their relationship, which left Renault with a 28% Nissan stake to be sold.</li>
<li>Since then, Renault has undertaken one selldown but its recent announcement of Ampere’s listing cancellation once again raises the possibility of a further selldown of Nissan’s stake by Renault.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since our previous note and the impact of the Ampere listing delay.</li>
</ul>


One year ago we looked at the arrangement between Nissan (7201 JP) and Renault (RNO FP) regarding their relationship, which left Renault with a 28% Nissan stake to be sold.
Since then, Renault has undertaken one selldown but its recent announcement of Ampere’s listing cancellation once again raises the possibility of a further selldown of Nissan’s stake by Renault.
In this note, we talk about the updates since our previous note and the impact of the Ampere listing delay.


Nissan’s Renault Led Selldown Updates - Lack of Ampere Listing Brings Back the US$4bn Overhang

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI/XPEV/NIO/1211 HK/BEKE/ZLAB

Strong EV brands like Li and Tesla saw better sales during CNY; ByteDance suspends home decoration business; BMS outsources Opdivo sales to Zai...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Mixue is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while ChaPanda and Good me)are said to be looking to raise US$300m each. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Octillion Energy Holdings Pre-IPO - Over-Reliance on Top Customer and Lack of Competitive Edge

Octillion Energy Holdings (OE HK) is looking to raise US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. Its revenue growth fell off a cliff in 1H23 due to its...

Ethan Aw

[Blue Lotus Daily]: LKNCY/ZLAB/9995 HK/BGNE/9926 HK/1801 HK/1877 HK/ATAT/TCOM/1211 HK/LI/NIO/XPEV

Local government plans to provide RMB600mn in travel subsidies; new regulations protect pricing of innovative drugs; Porsche's Taycan now has...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Nissan’s Renault Led Selldown Updates - Lack of Ampere Listing Brings Back the US$4bn Overhang

A year ago we looked at the arrangement between Nissan and Renault regarding their relationship, which left Renault with a 28% Nissan stake to be...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI/XPEV/NIO/1211 HK/BEKE/ZLAB

​Strong EV brands like Li and Tesla saw better sales during CNY; ByteDance suspends home decoration business; BMS outsources Opdivo sales to Zai...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Mixue is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while ChaPanda and Good me)are said to be looking to raise US$300m each. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Octillion Energy Holdings Pre-IPO - Over-Reliance on Top Customer and Lack of Competitive Edge

Octillion Energy Holdings (OE HK) is looking to raise US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. Its revenue growth fell off a cliff in 1H23 due to its...

Ethan Aw

[Blue Lotus Daily]: LKNCY/ZLAB/9995 HK/BGNE/9926 HK/1801 HK/1877 HK/ATAT/TCOM/1211 HK/LI/NIO/XPEV

​Local government plans to provide RMB600mn in travel subsidies; new regulations protect pricing of innovative drugs; Porsche's Taycan now has...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Nissan’s Renault Led Selldown Updates - Lack of Ampere Listing Brings Back the US$4bn Overhang

A year ago we looked at the arrangement between Nissan and Renault regarding their relationship, which left Renault with a 28% Nissan stake to be...

Sumeet Singh

Strong EV brands like Li and Tesla saw better sales during CNY; ByteDance suspends home decoration business; BMS outsources Opdivo sales to Zai...

Local government plans to provide RMB600mn in travel subsidies; new regulations protect pricing of innovative drugs; Porsche's Taycan now has...