Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 20 April, Chile's government announced that it will be nationalizing the country's lithium industry. Chile is the second largest producer of lithium in the world. </li>
<li>The nationalization of the lithium industry in Chile will likely have a long-term negative impact on the rechargeable batteries related companies in Korea.</li>
<li>This is mainly due to greater challenges of getting access to lithium at more affordable prices. </li>
</ul>


On 20 April, Chile's government announced that it will be nationalizing the country's lithium industry. Chile is the second largest producer of lithium in the world. 
The nationalization of the lithium industry in Chile will likely have a long-term negative impact on the rechargeable batteries related companies in Korea.
This is mainly due to greater challenges of getting access to lithium at more affordable prices. 


Nationalization of Lithium Industry in Chile - Impact on Korean Rechargeable Batteries Value Chain

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We now have an environment that allows Korea's battery ETFs to include LG Chem in upcoming reviews. KODEX is in June, and TIGER is in July.</li>
<li>If LG Chem is included in each review, the expected one-day inflow is at 0.7-0.8x DTV, which can lead to a price impact similar to that of SKIET in 2021.</li>
<li>We should consider setups targeting this, including Long Short, which utilizes LG Energy Solution or LG Corp as a hedge.</li>
</ul>


We now have an environment that allows Korea's battery ETFs to include LG Chem in upcoming reviews. KODEX is in June, and TIGER is in July.
If LG Chem is included in each review, the expected one-day inflow is at 0.7-0.8x DTV, which can lead to a price impact similar to that of SKIET in 2021.
We should consider setups targeting this, including Long Short, which utilizes LG Energy Solution or LG Corp as a hedge.


Flow Trading Opportunities on LG Chem with Potential Inclusion in Battery ETFs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.
Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

<ul>
<li>Samsung SDI and LG Chem are expected to be newly included in the index, while Hana Financial and KT&amp;G Corporation are predicted to be excluded.</li>
<li>The correlation between the price movement and the flow direction on the rebalancing trading day of constituent changes from the past reviews was quite high.</li>
<li>We can set the price impact expectation for the upcoming review even more aggressively, given that the size of the flow x DTV is more significant than in previous cases.</li>
</ul>


Samsung SDI and LG Chem are expected to be newly included in the index, while Hana Financial and KT&amp;G Corporation are predicted to be excluded.
The correlation between the price movement and the flow direction on the rebalancing trading day of constituent changes from the past reviews was quite high.
We can set the price impact expectation for the upcoming review even more aggressively, given that the size of the flow x DTV is more significant than in previous cases.


Price/Flow Impact on Four Constituent Changes in KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing in June

Solus Advanced Materials / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe the following three catalysts will likely drive share price of Solus Advanced Materials' continued outperformance relative to the market this year. </li>
<li>They include the sale of Solus Biotech, improved control of its operating costs, and rapid increase in capacity for copper foil.</li>
<li>The company has already secured strong order backlog from customers including LG Energy Solution, Tesla Motors, and SK On.</li>
</ul>


We believe the following three catalysts will likely drive share price of Solus Advanced Materials' continued outperformance relative to the market this year. 
They include the sale of Solus Biotech, improved control of its operating costs, and rapid increase in capacity for copper foil.
The company has already secured strong order backlog from customers including LG Energy Solution, Tesla Motors, and SK On.


Solus Advanced Materials: Key Catalysts to Continue Its Outperformance in 2023

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

Nationalization of Lithium Industry in Chile - Impact on Korean Rechargeable Batteries Value Chain

The nationalization of the lithium industry in Chile will likely have a long-term negative impact on the rechargeable batteries related companies...

Douglas Kim

Flow Trading Opportunities on LG Chem with Potential Inclusion in Battery ETFs

This post looks at the flow trading opportunities on LG Chem, as it will likely be included in Korea's two battery ETFs in the upcoming reviews.

Sanghyun Park

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023. We highlight 38 pair trades that...

Douglas Kim

Price/Flow Impact on Four Constituent Changes in KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing in June

This post presents a Long Short basket trade idea on the four potential constituent changes in the KODEX Top 5 Plus TR ETF rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

Solus Advanced Materials: Key Catalysts to Continue Its Outperformance in 2023

In this insight, we discuss the three main catalysts that will likely drive Solus Advanced Materials' stock price continuing to outperform relative...

Douglas Kim

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