Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. Large stock price moves mean no changes for the BBIG Index currently.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> has flipped from a passive sell to a passive buy over the last month and the stock could move higher from here.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There is one change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet and Game indices. Large stock price moves mean no changes for the BBIG Index currently.

Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) has flipped from a passive sell to a passive buy over the last month and the stock could move higher from here.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: A Change for Each Index

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won. </li>
<li>Our target price is based on 14.8x P/E using our estimated net profit of 25.4 billion won in 2024. </li>
<li>Almac ranks first in domestic market share (Korea) in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.</li>
</ul>


Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won. 
Our target price is based on 14.8x P/E using our estimated net profit of 25.4 billion won in 2024. 
Almac ranks first in domestic market share (Korea) in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.


<ul>
<li>Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles. </li>
<li>The company ranks first in domestic market share in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.</li>
<li>The company is offering 1 million new shares in this IPO. The IPO price range is from 40,000 won to 45,000 won.</li>
</ul>


Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles. 
The company ranks first in domestic market share in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.
The company is offering 1 million new shares in this IPO. The IPO price range is from 40,000 won to 45,000 won.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>One of the biggest breakthroughs in the global EV rechargeable battery industry this year has been CATL and BYD's launch of hybrid sodium-ion and lithium-ion batteries in 2H 2023.</li>
<li>This is expected to take away market share from Korean EV battery makers including LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI.</li>
<li>It is expected that eventually, that sodium-ion batteries could be about 30-40% cheaper than conventional lithium-ion batteries.</li>
</ul>


One of the biggest breakthroughs in the global EV rechargeable battery industry this year has been CATL and BYD's launch of hybrid sodium-ion and lithium-ion batteries in 2H 2023.
This is expected to take away market share from Korean EV battery makers including LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI.
It is expected that eventually, that sodium-ion batteries could be about 30-40% cheaper than conventional lithium-ion batteries.


CATL & BYD's Hybrid Sodium-Ion/ Lithium-Ion Batteries to Take Away Share from Korean Battery Makers

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There are potential changes to some of the indices and then there are close changes that will result in big flows if they eventuate.</li>
<li>The March rebalance saw some funky moves on the stocks that had big flows and we could see more of that at the September rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There are potential changes to some of the indices and then there are close changes that will result in big flows if they eventuate.
The March rebalance saw some funky moves on the stocks that had big flows and we could see more of that at the September rebalance.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential & Close Changes in September

South Korea

LG Energy Solution produces and sells batteries. The Company manufactures and sells automobile batteries, small batteries, energy storage system batteries, and other products. LG Energy Solution markets its products worldwide.

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LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: A Change for Each Index

There is 1 change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet & Game indices. There are some close contests among the top 3 stocks...

Brian Freitas

Almac IPO Valuation Analysis

Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won.

Douglas Kim

Almac IPO Preview

Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles.

Douglas Kim

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential & Close Changes in September

There were big moves on stocks that were changes at the March rebalance. We take a look at expected and close changes at the September rebalance....

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: A Change for Each Index

There is 1 change currently for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet & Game indices. There are some close contests among the top 3 stocks...

Brian Freitas

Almac IPO Valuation Analysis

Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won.

Douglas Kim

Almac IPO Preview

Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles.

Douglas Kim

CATL & BYD's Hybrid Sodium-Ion/ Lithium-Ion Batteries to Take Away Share from Korean Battery Makers

CATL and BYD's launch of hybrid sodium-ion and lithium-ion batteries in 2H 2023 is likely to result in market share losses for Korean rechargeable...

Douglas Kim

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential & Close Changes in September

There were big moves on stocks that were changes at the March rebalance. We take a look at expected and close changes at the September rebalance....

Brian Freitas