Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we lay out the thesis that LG H&amp;H is likely to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the return of Chinese group tours to Korea. </li>
<li>LG H&amp;H consistently generated more than 1 trillion won in operating profit from 2018 to 2021.</li>
<li>We expect LG H&amp;H to generate 1 trillion won or more in operating profit in 2024 and 2025, which would be 20-25%+ higher than current consensus estimates in this period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we lay out the thesis that LG H&amp;H is likely to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the return of Chinese group tours to Korea. 
LG H&amp;H consistently generated more than 1 trillion won in operating profit from 2018 to 2021.
We expect LG H&amp;H to generate 1 trillion won or more in operating profit in 2024 and 2025, which would be 20-25%+ higher than current consensus estimates in this period. 


LG H&H - A Key Beneficiary of the Return of Chinese Group Tours to Korea

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>TCL Technology Group Corp.</li><li>(000100.SZ +7.51%), a leading Chinese electronics maker, has agreed to pay 10.8 billion yuan ($1.54 billion) to acquire LG’s two display factories in Guangzhou, as Chinese manufacturers strengthen their dominance in the liquid crystal displays (LCD).</li><li>TCL China Star Optoelectronics Technology (TCL CSOT), a subsidiary of TCL Technology, will acquire 80% of LG Display China and the entire stake of LG Display Guangzhou.</li></ul>

TCL Technology Group Corp.(000100.SZ +7.51%), a leading Chinese electronics maker, has agreed to pay 10.8 billion yuan ($1.54 billion) to acquire LG’s two display factories in Guangzhou, as Chinese manufacturers strengthen their dominance in the liquid crystal displays (LCD).TCL China Star Optoelectronics Technology (TCL CSOT), a subsidiary of TCL Technology, will acquire 80% of LG Display China and the entire stake of LG Display Guangzhou.

TCL Acquires LG Display’s LCD Plants in Guangzhou as Industry Consolidates 

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.</li>
<li>Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. </li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.
Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. 
Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a <em><strong>"special rebalancing"</strong></em> of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.</li>
<li>In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.</li>
<li>If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. </li>
</ul>


On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.
In our view, the probability of this special rebalancing occurring by the end of this year is high at about 85%+.
If there is a special rebalancing, KB Financial, Hana Financial, Samsung Life Insurance, SK Telecom, and KT could be considered the top candidates for inclusion. 


A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T’s holding company ratio is closing in on 50%, driven by the Biologics rally, which has Samsung on high alert for a forced conversion.</li>
<li>Watch Samsung's moves to avoid forced holding company status. The old Biologics-for-Electronics swap isn’t viable, so they’ll likely sell Biologics shares to lower the ratio.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T might sell Biologics shares at a ₩80T market cap. They've boosted construction to manage assets and the holding ratio, but beyond ₩80T, risks increase.</li>
</ul>


Samsung C&amp;T’s holding company ratio is closing in on 50%, driven by the Biologics rally, which has Samsung on high alert for a forced conversion.
Watch Samsung's moves to avoid forced holding company status. The old Biologics-for-Electronics swap isn’t viable, so they’ll likely sell Biologics shares to lower the ratio.
Samsung C&amp;T might sell Biologics shares at a ₩80T market cap. They've boosted construction to manage assets and the holding ratio, but beyond ₩80T, risks increase.


Trading Plays on Samsung C&T’s Holding Company Shift and Biologics Share Sell-Off

South Korea

LG Corp. is a holding company, which operates subsidiaries including LG Electronics, LG Household & Health Care, LG Chem Ltd., and Dacom Corp. The Company's main business areas are electronics, chemicals, and household products manufacturing and telecommunications services.

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LG Corp (003550 KS)

LG H&H - A Key Beneficiary of the Return of Chinese Group Tours to Korea

We expect LG H&H to generate 1 trillion won or more in operating profit in 2024 and 2025, which would be 20-25%+ higher than current consensus...

Douglas Kim

TCL Acquires LG Display’s LCD Plants in Guangzhou as Industry Consolidates

TCL Technology Group Corp. (000100.SZ +7.51%), a leading Chinese electronics maker, has agreed to pay 10.8 billion yuan ($1.54 billion) to acquire...

Caixin Global

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

LG H&H - A Key Beneficiary of the Return of Chinese Group Tours to Korea

We expect LG H&H to generate 1 trillion won or more in operating profit in 2024 and 2025, which would be 20-25%+ higher than current consensus...

Douglas Kim

TCL Acquires LG Display’s LCD Plants in Guangzhou as Industry Consolidates

TCL Technology Group Corp. (000100.SZ +7.51%), a leading Chinese electronics maker, has agreed to pay 10.8 billion yuan ($1.54 billion) to acquire...

Caixin Global

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

A Special Rebalancing Of Korea Value-Up Index Is Likely in December 2024

On 26 September, the Korea Exchange announced that it is considering a "special rebalancing" of the Korea Value-Up Index in December 2024.

Douglas Kim

Trading Plays on Samsung C&T’s Holding Company Shift and Biologics Share Sell-Off

This post explores trading angles triggered by Samsung C&T’s forced holding company conversion issue, caused by the rise in Samsung Biologics'...

Sanghyun Park