Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We have been sceptical about Krafton’s valuation and ability to generate new hits since its listing. </li>
<li>After treading water close to its IPO price for five months the new year has seen the stock crater 25%. </li>
<li>In our view the bad news is just getting started and that is despite PUBG: Mobile still doing well in China and India.</li>
</ul>


We have been sceptical about Krafton’s valuation and ability to generate new hits since its listing. 
After treading water close to its IPO price for five months the new year has seen the stock crater 25%. 
In our view the bad news is just getting started and that is despite PUBG: Mobile still doing well in China and India.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the announcement of the changes will be end February/beginning March, implementation will be at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS)</a> will be included in the Battery index, and there will be other changes to the Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices.</li>
<li>The largest selling is expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the announcement of the changes will be end February/beginning March, implementation will be at the close on 10 March.

LG Energy Solution (LGENERGY KS) will be included in the Battery index, and there will be other changes to the Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices.
The largest selling is expected to be on Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.


KRX BBIG Index Rebalance Preview (March): LG Energy Should Be Added; Plus Other Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This morning, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> shares. </li>
<li>The distribution is 457,326,671 Tencent-held (86.4% of holdings) Class A Ordinary shares of JD.com - 1 share per 21 Tencent shares held - to Qualifying Shareholders on the record...</li>
<li>...date which is 25 January 2022, with 'delivery' on or about 25 March 2022. Non-Qualifying Shareholders will get cash. The details matter.</li>
</ul>


This morning, Tencent (700 HK) declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) / JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) shares. 
The distribution is 457,326,671 Tencent-held (86.4% of holdings) Class A Ordinary shares of JD.com - 1 share per 21 Tencent shares held - to Qualifying Shareholders on the record...
...date which is 25 January 2022, with 'delivery' on or about 25 March 2022. Non-Qualifying Shareholders will get cash. The details matter.


Tencent's Big In-Specie Dividend of JD.com Shares

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2021, including the performance of our calls.</li>
<li>We made 37 investment calls on IPOs this year, of which 28 had positive ratings on the IPOs and 9 had negative ratings.</li>
<li>The 28 stocks (positive ratings) were up 26.1% on average from their IPO prices. The 9 stocks (negative ratings) were up only 4.9% on average from their IPO prices.</li>
</ul>


In this report, we review our IPO investment research in 2021, including the performance of our calls.
We made 37 investment calls on IPOs this year, of which 28 had positive ratings on the IPOs and 9 had negative ratings.
The 28 stocks (positive ratings) were up 26.1% on average from their IPO prices. The 9 stocks (negative ratings) were up only 4.9% on average from their IPO prices.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>KRX calculates floats fairly aggressively even in new IPOs. This was symbolically shown in the case of Kakao Pay, which received a 35% float rate.</li>
<li>So, we need a trading setup that raises the float rate prediction range in future KOSPI 200 Fast Entry cases.</li>
<li>Considering that rebalancing trading that occurs on the implementation day is now partially digested in regular trading hours, we need to consider getting out positions before the closing auction hours.</li>
</ul>


KRX calculates floats fairly aggressively even in new IPOs. This was symbolically shown in the case of Kakao Pay, which received a 35% float rate.
So, we need a trading setup that raises the float rate prediction range in future KOSPI 200 Fast Entry cases.
Considering that rebalancing trading that occurs on the implementation day is now partially digested in regular trading hours, we need to consider getting out positions before the closing auction hours.


KOSPI 200 New Entrants: KRX-Concluded Float Rates & Rebalancing Trading Pattern Today

South Korea

Krafton, Inc. operates as a game development company. The Company develops console games, mobile games, computer games, and other related products. Krafton markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Krafton (259960 KS)

Krafton – Breaking Down

The new year has seen Krafton stock crater 25%. In our view the bad news is just getting started and that is despite PUBG: Mobile still doing well...

Mio Kato

KRX BBIG Index Rebalance Preview (March): LG Energy Should Be Added; Plus Other Changes

LG Energy should be added to the Secondary Battery and BBIG indices. There are changes to the Bio, Internet and Game indices too. Douzone Bizon...

Brian Freitas

Tencent's Big In-Specie Dividend of JD.com Shares

Tencent has decided to distribute the vast majority of the JD.com shares it holds. JD.com got sold off and Tencent got a bump. The Tencent bump is...

Travis Lundy

Review of Our IPO Research in 2021

We review our IPO investment research in 2021. The 28 stocks (positive ratings) were up 26.1% (average) from IPO prices. The 9 stocks (negative...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 New Entrants: KRX-Concluded Float Rates & Rebalancing Trading Pattern Today

Kakao Pay eventually received a 35% float rate, meaning that KRX has included all of Alipay's non-locked stake in the float.

Sanghyun Park

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