Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is an update to our previous insight published on April 22nd: "<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-kospi-200-weekly-bounce-rally-or-not" target="_blank" rel="noopener">EQD | KOSPI 200 WEEKLY Bounce: Rally or Not?</a>".</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX </a> has performed a nearly +6% rally in the last 3 weeks, closing up 3 weeks in a row (CC=+3).</li>
<li>We have something to say about this pattern that was identified 3 weeks and ago and so we wanted to post this insight to explicit our view.</li>
</ul>


This is an update to our previous insight published on April 22nd: "EQD | KOSPI 200 WEEKLY Bounce: Rally or Not?".
The KOSPI 200 INDEX  has performed a nearly +6% rally in the last 3 weeks, closing up 3 weeks in a row (CC=+3).
We have something to say about this pattern that was identified 3 weeks and ago and so we wanted to post this insight to explicit our view.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Nextrade aims to secure the business permit within the next year's second half. They intend to launch their services by the end of next year or early the following year.</li>
<li>All eyes are focused on the proposal to be operational from 8:30 AM to 11:59 PM, with the afternoon call auction session running from 3:00 PM to 6:00 PM.</li>
<li>It would be crucial to observe how the elongation of the time period for specific issues to be reflected in prices could potentially lead to changes in intraday flow patterns.</li>
</ul>


Nextrade aims to secure the business permit within the next year's second half. They intend to launch their services by the end of next year or early the following year.
All eyes are focused on the proposal to be operational from 8:30 AM to 11:59 PM, with the afternoon call auction session running from 3:00 PM to 6:00 PM.
It would be crucial to observe how the elongation of the time period for specific issues to be reflected in prices could potentially lead to changes in intraday flow patterns.


Preparing for ATS Arrival in Korea: Strategies to Adapt to Changing Intraday Flow Patterns

<ul>
<li>There is a prevailing sentiment in the local market that short selling by market makers (MM) and liquidity providers (LP) will effectively be prohibited very shortly.</li>
<li>The widening of the futures basis extends the influence of futures on the spot market prices. This is precisely where trading opportunities that we should be keenly observing may arise.</li>
<li>It also leads to a significant widening of ETF tracking errors due to the direct sell-off of underlying shares. We must capitalize on extreme spreads in ETFs.</li>
</ul>


There is a prevailing sentiment in the local market that short selling by market makers (MM) and liquidity providers (LP) will effectively be prohibited very shortly.
The widening of the futures basis extends the influence of futures on the spot market prices. This is precisely where trading opportunities that we should be keenly observing may arise.
It also leads to a significant widening of ETF tracking errors due to the direct sell-off of underlying shares. We must capitalize on extreme spreads in ETFs.


New Phase in Korean Short Selling: Immediate Impact of MM and LP Short Selling Ban

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

<ul>
<li>Chosun reports Korean financial authorities advance Value-up plan guidelines to May 2nd, citing momentum decline post-election. Chosun's credibility enhances report validity.</li>
<li>Companies will commence Value-up-related disclosures in alignment with the guidelines within May. A dedicated Value-up website is set to launch in May.</li>
<li>The May 2nd guideline release date is crucial for Value-up momentum trading. Anticipate heightened volatility in Value-up stocks approaching this date.</li>
</ul>


Chosun reports Korean financial authorities advance Value-up plan guidelines to May 2nd, citing momentum decline post-election. Chosun's credibility enhances report validity.
Companies will commence Value-up-related disclosures in alignment with the guidelines within May. A dedicated Value-up website is set to launch in May.
The May 2nd guideline release date is crucial for Value-up momentum trading. Anticipate heightened volatility in Value-up stocks approaching this date.


Korea Value-Up Guidelines Release Date Is Set for May 2nd

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

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Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

EQD | KOSPI 200 Ready to Pullback

The KOSPI 200 Index has performed a nearly +6% rally in 3 weeks, but overall the uptrend looks weak. Our models say the index should correct this...

Nico Rosti

Preparing for ATS Arrival in Korea: Strategies to Adapt to Changing Intraday Flow Patterns

The Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service announced that they will launch the Alternative Trading System (ATS) called...

Sanghyun Park

New Phase in Korean Short Selling: Immediate Impact of MM and LP Short Selling Ban

This post explores the immediate market impact resulting from the potential prohibition of short selling by Market Makers (MM) and Liquidity...

Sanghyun Park

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

Korea Value-Up Guidelines Release Date Is Set for May 2nd

Practically confirmed for May 2nd, Korea's Value-up guidelines release date holds significant importance for traders anticipating momentum shifts.

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)