Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)</a> last week closed the week down (CC=-1) after a strong rise the previous week. Could be getting ready to rise higher.
</li>
<li>The index last week tested supports in the Market Reversal Matrix's Q2/Median support area (around 335).</li>
<li>
Valid support levels for the coming week (if CC=-2) are between 333 (Q2) and 324 (Q3).</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY) last week closed the week down (CC=-1) after a strong rise the previous week. Could be getting ready to rise higher.

The index last week tested supports in the Market Reversal Matrix's Q2/Median support area (around 335).

Valid support levels for the coming week (if CC=-2) are between 333 (Q2) and 324 (Q3).


EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY: Rising After a Brief Pullback

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Where Is the Stimulus

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SK Ecoplant is getting ready to complete its IPO sometime in late 2023/1H 2024.</li>
<li>Local media have mentioned that SK Ecoplant's market cap could range from 5 trillion won to 10 trillion won.</li>
<li>At the end of 2022, SK Inc's 44.5% stake in SK Ecoplant had a book value of 545 billion won, which is much less the market value of SK Ecoplant.</li>
</ul>


SK Ecoplant is getting ready to complete its IPO sometime in late 2023/1H 2024.
Local media have mentioned that SK Ecoplant's market cap could range from 5 trillion won to 10 trillion won.
At the end of 2022, SK Inc's 44.5% stake in SK Ecoplant had a book value of 545 billion won, which is much less the market value of SK Ecoplant.


Initial Thoughts on the SK Ecoplant IPO - Impact on SK Inc

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Foreign investors have been selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> for over a year now. That has taken foreign room from near zero to close to 15% now.</li>
<li>That could mean index inclusion for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> with timing dependent on when the 15% foreign room threshold is crossed.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-telecom-co-ltd-bbccd86c-474d-4a4d-946d-10e911a225a2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:395:1" rel="noopener">SK Telecom (017670 KS)</a> has performed in line with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1112:1" rel="noopener">KT Corp (030200 KS)</a> but trades at higher valuations on most parameters.</li>
</ul>


Foreign investors have been selling SK Telecom (017670 KS) for over a year now. That has taken foreign room from near zero to close to 15% now.
That could mean index inclusion for SK Telecom (017670 KS) with timing dependent on when the 15% foreign room threshold is crossed.

SK Telecom (017670 KS) has performed in line with KT Corp (030200 KS) but trades at higher valuations on most parameters.


SK Telecom (017670 KS): Foreign Room Increase Has Implications

<ul>
<li>A previously published <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-kospi-200-index-weekly-time-to-go-long" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight</a> correctly highlighted an high-probability opportunity to go LONG and join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>'s current multi-month Bull run.</li>
<li>The index closed the week strongly up, now we want to evaluate how far this new leg up could go: a total of +3/+4 weeks up, price targets =359-385.</li>
<li>Holders of KOSPI 200 LONG positions: Covered Calls can be written at Strikes between 346 and 360, expiry August 10th (4 weeks). A pullback is highly probable from 360.
</li>
</ul>


A previously published insight correctly highlighted an high-probability opportunity to go LONG and join the KOSPI 200's current multi-month Bull run.
The index closed the week strongly up, now we want to evaluate how far this new leg up could go: a total of +3/+4 weeks up, price targets =359-385.
Holders of KOSPI 200 LONG positions: Covered Calls can be written at Strikes between 346 and 360, expiry August 10th (4 weeks). A pullback is highly probable from 360.



EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

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Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY: Rising After a Brief Pullback

The KOSPI 200 Index's may be preparing for a new rally, this pullback may be just a buy-the-dip opportunity, check the latest Market Reversal...

Nico Rosti

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Where Is the Stimulus

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

Initial Thoughts on the SK Ecoplant IPO - Impact on SK Inc

SK Ecoplant is getting ready to complete its IPO sometime in late 2023/1H 2024. Local media have mentioned that SK Ecoplant's market cap could...

Douglas Kim

SK Telecom (017670 KS): Foreign Room Increase Has Implications

Foreign investors have sold SK Tel for over a year leading to foreign room moving from 0% to nearly 15%. Crossing the 15% threshold could lead to...

Brian Freitas

EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY Rising: How Far Can It Go?

Market Reversal Matrix (MRM)'s analysis of the KOSPI 200's WEEKLY current uptrend: price levels where the trend can stop and probability of...

Nico Rosti

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)