Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Market conditions have started to improve, and the bottom line is that all Sectors and major indexes remain above critical supports. The absence of breakdowns continues to support our overall constructive outlook, and we are watching the 10-year Treasury yield, small-caps (IWM), Financials (XLF), and Industrials (XLI) closely for signs that a new broad-based rally is upon us.

Market conditions have started to improve, and the bottom line is that all Sectors and major indexes remain above critical supports. The absence of breakdowns continues to support our overall constructive outlook, and we are watching the 10-year Treasury yield, small-caps (IWM), Financials (XLF), and Industrials (XLI) closely for signs that a new broad-based rally is upon us.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Conditions Improving; Watching Cyclicals, 10-Yr Yield. Buying Casinos, Semis

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Down nearly 30% since January 28, the shares are now selling at 17x management's EPS guidance for FY Mar-21 and 13x our EPS estimate for FY Mar-24, when management expects 5G-related sales and profits to peak.Premature concern over the next cyclical downturn appears to have been discounted. Delays to 5G roll-outs caused by the pandemic should also be in the price.Over the coming three years, sales should rise by more than 20% and operating profit by more than 30%, driven by 5G and growing economies of scale in the company's other businesses.Buy back in for the long term.

Down nearly 30% since January 28, the shares are now selling at 17x management's EPS guidance for FY Mar-21 and 13x our EPS estimate for FY Mar-24, when management expects 5G-related sales and profits to peak.Premature concern over the next cyclical downturn appears to have been discounted. Delays to 5G roll-outs caused by the pandemic should also be in the price.Over the coming three years, sales should rise by more than 20% and operating profit by more than 30%, driven by 5G and growing economies of scale in the company's other businesses.Buy back in for the long term.

Anritsu (6754 JP): 5G Business to Expand Until FY Mar-24

Market dynamics remain positive and there continues to be an absence of breakdowns across the broad indexes and Sectors. As a result we remain bullish and we view any weakness as a buying opportunity. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials and Technology.

Market dynamics remain positive and there continues to be an absence of breakdowns across the broad indexes and Sectors. As a result we remain bullish and we view any weakness as a buying opportunity. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact; Growth Vs. Value Stalemate Continues

Technology Select Sector SPDR / Technical Analysis

The S&amp;P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement.  Technology in particular continues to top our Sector RSR rankings, fueled by strengthening price and RS action for semiconductors, semi-suppliers, and numerous Software groups. Last week we upgraded our weighting for Technology and its strength continues to broaden out. In this week's report we highlight a number of actionable Technology stocks across our various Groups.

The S&amp;P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement.  Technology in particular continues to top our Sector RSR rankings, fueled by strengthening price and RS action for semiconductors, semi-suppliers, and numerous Software groups. Last week we upgraded our weighting for Technology and its strength continues to broaden out. In this week's report we highlight a number of actionable Technology stocks across our various Groups.

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1414" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1414:1">Frencken Group Ltd (FRKN SP)</a> is a global precision engineering company</li><li>Key divisions are Mechatronics and IMS which sell products into automotive and semiconductor industries</li><li>New Executive Director appointed in 2016 who brings big-company experience </li><li>2018 order book indications strong which should re-rate company in-line with peers</li><li>Frencken trades at 7.5x 2018 PE and 0.8x book with 4% dividend yield</li><li>Fair Value: assuming company can trade in-line with peers(12.5x 2018 PE) there is another 65% upside</li></ul>

Frencken Group Ltd (FRKN SP) is a global precision engineering companyKey divisions are Mechatronics and IMS which sell products into automotive and semiconductor industriesNew Executive Director appointed in 2016 who brings big-company experience 2018 order book indications strong which should re-rate company in-line with peersFrencken trades at 7.5x 2018 PE and 0.8x book with 4% dividend yieldFair Value: assuming company can trade in-line with peers(12.5x 2018 PE) there is another 65% upside

Discover Singapore: Frencken, Still at Discount to Peers After YTD Performance, 65% Upside to Be Had

United States

Keysight Technologies, Inc. offers electronic measurement services using wireless, modular, and software solutions.

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Keysight Technologies In (KEYS US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Conditions Improving; Watching Cyclicals, 10-Yr Yield. Buying Casinos, Semis

We are watching the 10-year Treasury yield, small-caps (IWM), Financials (XLF), and Industrials (XLI) closely for signs that a new broad-based...

Vermilion Research

Anritsu (6754 JP): 5G Business to Expand Until FY Mar-24

The shares have dropped 30% since the beginning of the year, discounting premature concern over 5G cycle, which should continue until FY Mar-24....

Scott Foster

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact; Growth Vs. Value Stalemate Continues

Market dynamics remain positive and there continues to be an absence of breakdowns across the broad indexes and Sectors. As a result we remain...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

The S&P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement. Technology...

Vermilion Research

Discover Singapore: Frencken, Still at Discount to Peers After YTD Performance, 65% Upside to Be Had

Frencken Group Ltd (FRKN SP) is a global precision engineering company Key divisions are Mechatronics and IMS which sell products into automotive...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

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