Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Securities analyst covering electronics, precision equipment & robotics, engineering, construction, transport and other sectors for more than 25 years in Japan and 3 years in Korea. Permanent resident of Japan.

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Anritsu (6754) - 5G Discussion in Japan Heating Up

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Down nearly 30% since January 28, the shares are now selling at 17x management's EPS guidance for FY Mar-21 and 13x our EPS estimate for FY Mar-24, when management expects 5G-related sales and profits to peak.Premature concern over the next cyclical downturn appears to have been discounted. Delays to 5G roll-outs caused by the pandemic should also be in the price.Over the coming three years, sales should rise by more than 20% and operating profit by more than 30%, driven by 5G and growing economies of scale in the company's other businesses.Buy back in for the long term.

Down nearly 30% since January 28, the shares are now selling at 17x management's EPS guidance for FY Mar-21 and 13x our EPS estimate for FY Mar-24, when management expects 5G-related sales and profits to peak.Premature concern over the next cyclical downturn appears to have been discounted. Delays to 5G roll-outs caused by the pandemic should also be in the price.Over the coming three years, sales should rise by more than 20% and operating profit by more than 30%, driven by 5G and growing economies of scale in the company's other businesses.Buy back in for the long term.

Anritsu (6754 JP): 5G Business to Expand Until FY Mar-24

Anritsu Corp

Anritsu (6754 JP): 5G Business to Expand Until FY Mar-24