Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>On August 29, the Centers for Medicare &amp; Medicaid Services unveiled list of 10 drugs, which will come for the first round of price negotiations under the Inflation Reduction Act.</li>
<li>From June 2022 to May 2023, more than 8 million people covered by Medicare used these 10 drugs, which accounted for more than $50B spending in Medicare Part D.</li>
<li>The negotiated price will be effective on January 1, 2026. Most of the companies will not be significantly impacted by the drug price negotiation.</li>
</ul>


On August 29, the Centers for Medicare &amp; Medicaid Services unveiled list of 10 drugs, which will come for the first round of price negotiations under the Inflation Reduction Act.
From June 2022 to May 2023, more than 8 million people covered by Medicare used these 10 drugs, which accounted for more than $50B spending in Medicare Part D.
The negotiated price will be effective on January 1, 2026. Most of the companies will not be significantly impacted by the drug price negotiation.


10 Drugs To Come Under First Round of Medicare Price Negotiations in US to Curb Inflation

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Johnson & Johnson managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.</li><li>It was a strong quarter for Johnson & Johnson, with market-leading performance and significant advances in their innovative Pharmaceutical and MedTech pipelines.</li><li>The company reported solid sales and earnings growth in the second quarter of 2023, raising expectations for the year.</li></ul>

Johnson & Johnson managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.It was a strong quarter for Johnson & Johnson, with market-leading performance and significant advances in their innovative Pharmaceutical and MedTech pipelines.The company reported solid sales and earnings growth in the second quarter of 2023, raising expectations for the year.

Johnson & Johnson: Unpacking Its Recent Performance Through 4 Key Drivers - Financial Forecasts

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenvue-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36755:1" rel="noopener">Kenvue (KVUE US)</a> reported 5% YoY revenue growth to $4B in 2Q23, driven by continued demand of self-care portfolio, mainly consisting of cough, cold, and allergy, and pain care products.</li>
<li>The company has guided for 4.5–5.5% revenue growth and EPS of $1.26–1.31 for 2023. Kenvue has declared a cash dividend of $0.20 for 3Q23.  </li>
<li>J&amp;J is offering its shareholders the option to exchange shares for Kenvue's at a 7% discount. The exchange offer is scheduled to close on August 18, 2023.</li>
</ul>



Kenvue (KVUE US) reported 5% YoY revenue growth to $4B in 2Q23, driven by continued demand of self-care portfolio, mainly consisting of cough, cold, and allergy, and pain care products.
The company has guided for 4.5–5.5% revenue growth and EPS of $1.26–1.31 for 2023. Kenvue has declared a cash dividend of $0.20 for 3Q23.  
J&amp;J is offering its shareholders the option to exchange shares for Kenvue's at a 7% discount. The exchange offer is scheduled to close on August 18, 2023.


Kenvue (KVUE US): Q2 Result Beats Estimates; Initiated 2023 Guidance; J&J Launches Exchange Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genmab-a-s-26418c4e-f8a3-407b-a60e-422af04febfe" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28558:1" rel="noopener">Genmab A/S (GMAB US)</a> recorded 30% YoY growth in royalty revenue on net sales of Darzalex to DKK1,952 million, representing 68% of total revenue in 1Q23.</li>
<li>Genmab has guided for 2023 Darzalex royalty revenue of DKK10.4–11.1B, compared to royalty revenue of DKK10.1B in 2022, based on estimated Darzalex 2023 net sales of $9.4 – 10.0B.</li>
<li>In May 2023, Genmab received FDA approval for Epkinly as the first and only T-cell engaging bispecific antibody for the treatment of relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.</li>
</ul>



Genmab A/S (GMAB US) recorded 30% YoY growth in royalty revenue on net sales of Darzalex to DKK1,952 million, representing 68% of total revenue in 1Q23.
Genmab has guided for 2023 Darzalex royalty revenue of DKK10.4–11.1B, compared to royalty revenue of DKK10.1B in 2022, based on estimated Darzalex 2023 net sales of $9.4 – 10.0B.
In May 2023, Genmab received FDA approval for Epkinly as the first and only T-cell engaging bispecific antibody for the treatment of relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.


Genmab A/S (GMAB US): Darzalex Continued to Be the Cash Cow; Epkinly Approval Adds Another Catalyst

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Lotus Pharmaceutical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotus-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20568:1" rel="noopener">Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT)'s</a> majority shareholder, Alvogen Emerging Markets Holdings (AEMH), aims to raise up to US$247m through an affiliated secondary block offering.</li>
<li>The deal is a small one to digest at only 2.4 days of three month ADV, despite being about 8.7% of current mcap. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT)'s majority shareholder, Alvogen Emerging Markets Holdings (AEMH), aims to raise up to US$247m through an affiliated secondary block offering.
The deal is a small one to digest at only 2.4 days of three month ADV, despite being about 8.7% of current mcap. 
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Lotus Pharmaceutical Placement - Sound Fundamentals but Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged

United States

Johnson & Johnson manufactures health care products and provides related services for the consumer, pharmaceutical, and medical devices and diagnostics markets. The Company sells products such as skin and hair care products, acetaminophen products, pharmaceuticals, diagnostic equipment, and surgical equipment in countries located around the world.

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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ UN)

10 Drugs To Come Under First Round of Medicare Price Negotiations in US to Curb Inflation

CMS announces first round of price negotiations for 10 drugs under Inflation Reduction Act, affecting millions of Medicare users and $50B in...

Tina Banerjee

Johnson & Johnson: Unpacking Its Recent Performance Through 4 Key Drivers - Financial Forecasts

Johnson & Johnson managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings. It was a strong quarter for Johnson &...

Baptista Research

Kenvue (KVUE US): Q2 Result Beats Estimates; Initiated 2023 Guidance; J&J Launches Exchange Offer

Kenvue beat Q2 sales and EPS estimates and guided for 4.5-5.5% sales growth for 2023. J&J is launching exchange offer for its holders to get ...

Tina Banerjee

Genmab A/S (GMAB US): Darzalex Continued to Be the Cash Cow; Epkinly Approval Adds Another Catalyst

Royalty revenue from top-selling cancer drug Darzalex continues to contribute ~70% of Genmab’s revenue. The company’s 2 proprietary FDA-approved...

Tina Banerjee

Lotus Pharmaceutical Placement - Sound Fundamentals but Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged

Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT)'s majority shareholder, Alvogen Emerging Markets Holdings (AEMH), aims to raise up to US$247m through an affiliated...

Ethan Aw

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

10 Drugs To Come Under First Round of Medicare Price Negotiations in US to Curb Inflation

​CMS announces first round of price negotiations for 10 drugs under Inflation Reduction Act, affecting millions of Medicare users and $50B in...

Tina Banerjee

Johnson & Johnson: Unpacking Its Recent Performance Through 4 Key Drivers - Financial Forecasts

Johnson & Johnson managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings. It was a strong quarter for Johnson &...

Baptista Research

Kenvue (KVUE US): Q2 Result Beats Estimates; Initiated 2023 Guidance; J&J Launches Exchange Offer

Kenvue beat Q2 sales and EPS estimates and guided for 4.5-5.5% sales growth for 2023. J&J is launching exchange offer for its holders to get ...

Tina Banerjee

Genmab A/S (GMAB US): Darzalex Continued to Be the Cash Cow; Epkinly Approval Adds Another Catalyst

Royalty revenue from top-selling cancer drug Darzalex continues to contribute ~70% of Genmab’s revenue. The company’s 2 proprietary FDA-approved...

Tina Banerjee

Lotus Pharmaceutical Placement - Sound Fundamentals but Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged

Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT)'s majority shareholder, Alvogen Emerging Markets Holdings (AEMH), aims to raise up to US$247m through an affiliated...

Ethan Aw

CMS announces first round of price negotiations for 10 drugs under Inflation Reduction Act, affecting millions of Medicare users and $50B in...