Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two days ago, media reported <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> would split and possibly list several businesses. Last night Cainiao was reported as starting listing preparations.</li>
<li>Last night, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> made two announcements it was proposing to spin off and list its <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0330/2023033002822.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">JD Property</a> and <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0330/2023033002966.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">JD Industrial</a> arms. This is NOT a spinoff war.</li>
<li>JD raised Series A and B for both companies. These were always going to be spins, like Health, Digits, and Logistics. JD Properties will be biggish.</li>
</ul>


Two days ago, media reported Alibaba Group (9988 HK) / Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) would split and possibly list several businesses. Last night Cainiao was reported as starting listing preparations.
Last night, JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) made two announcements it was proposing to spin off and list its JD Property and JD Industrial arms. This is NOT a spinoff war.
JD raised Series A and B for both companies. These were always going to be spins, like Health, Digits, and Logistics. JD Properties will be biggish.


JD.com (9618 HK) Announces TWO Spin-Offs (That Were Always Going To Be Spinoffs)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 17th): Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Total revenue increased by 41% YoY and revenue from external customers increased by 69% YoY in 4Q22.</li>
<li>We believe total revenue will grow by 26% in 2023 and 17% in 2024.</li>
<li>We also believe the stock has an upside of 58% and a price target of HK$20.</li>
</ul>


Total revenue increased by 41% YoY and revenue from external customers increased by 69% YoY in 4Q22.
We believe total revenue will grow by 26% in 2023 and 17% in 2024.
We also believe the stock has an upside of 58% and a price target of HK$20.


JD Logistics (2618 HK): 4Q22, Outside Customer Revenue Continued Surging, Buy

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>In C4Q22, JDL reported in line results for both revenue and profit. In C1Q23, we expect JDL’s topline growth continue to decelerate due to decline of parcels. </li>
<li>JD has adopted the low-price strategy, which hinders the growth of JDL. The price competition in eCommerce negatively affects JDL but benefits ZTO.</li>
<li>We cut our 2023 revenue forecast by 6%, which is (5%) below cons. Downgrade JDL to SELL with TP of HK$10.</li>
</ul>


In C4Q22, JDL reported in line results for both revenue and profit. In C1Q23, we expect JDL’s topline growth continue to decelerate due to decline of parcels. 
JD has adopted the low-price strategy, which hinders the growth of JDL. The price competition in eCommerce negatively affects JDL but benefits ZTO.
We cut our 2023 revenue forecast by 6%, which is (5%) below cons. Downgrade JDL to SELL with TP of HK$10.


[JD Logistics(2618 HK) DG to SELL]: JD’s Low-Price Strategy Hurts JD Logistics

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 1st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Great Wall Motor, China Construction Bank, Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 1st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Great Wall Motor, China Construction Bank, Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 1st): Tencent, Great Wall Motor, CCB, HKEx

China

JD Logistics, Inc. offers logistics services. The Company provides cargo transportation, cargo distribution, warehousing, and other services. JD Logistics is located in China.

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JD Logistics (2618 HK)

JD.com (9618 HK) Announces TWO Spin-Offs (That Were Always Going To Be Spinoffs)

JD.com has announced the proposed spinoff+listing of two subs in HK. No spinoff of shares to JD.com shareholders. Properties could be big....

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 17th): Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, Meituan, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM