Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The slowdown in Chinese retail sales of apparel seems to have been factored into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vipshop-holdings-ltd-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1088:1" rel="noopener">Vipshop Holdings (VIPS US)</a> 1Q 2024 revenue growth expectations whilst bottom-line is supported by margin expansion.</li>
<li>With net cash at ~40% of its market cap, the share price should be supported by the ongoing share repurchase program and its inaugural annual dividend policy.</li>
<li>Its 6.6x NTM PE ratio (~4x ex-cash) seems extremely attractive for a highly cash-generative business set to (conservatively) grow earnings at high-single-digits whilst buying back shares and paying dividends.</li>
</ul>


The slowdown in Chinese retail sales of apparel seems to have been factored into Vipshop Holdings (VIPS US) 1Q 2024 revenue growth expectations whilst bottom-line is supported by margin expansion.
With net cash at ~40% of its market cap, the share price should be supported by the ongoing share repurchase program and its inaugural annual dividend policy.
Its 6.6x NTM PE ratio (~4x ex-cash) seems extremely attractive for a highly cash-generative business set to (conservatively) grow earnings at high-single-digits whilst buying back shares and paying dividends.


Vipshop: Net Cash at 40% of Market Cap, Now Paying Dividends and Buying Back Shares

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JD US/DADA US/3690 HK:JD.com Upgrades "Hour Delivery" to "Instant Delivery", reflecting strong growth potential in the on-demand retail sector.(+)</li>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Honors of Fighters&gt; will be released on May 24th.(+)</li>
<li>ZTO US/1519 HK/PDD US/BABA US/Douyin: PDD launches new product price competitiveness rules (+/+/-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


JD US/DADA US/3690 HK:JD.com Upgrades "Hour Delivery" to "Instant Delivery", reflecting strong growth potential in the on-demand retail sector.(+)
700 HK: &lt;Honors of Fighters&gt; will be released on May 24th.(+)
ZTO US/1519 HK/PDD US/BABA US/Douyin: PDD launches new product price competitiveness rules (+/+/-/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:JD US/DADA US/3690 HK/700 HK/ZTO US/1519 HK/PDD US/BABA US/Douyin

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>We notice a pickup in consumer acceptance of instrashopping, as result of COVID-cultivated behavior. We notice similar business model worked outside of China (Coupang) for densely populated urban upper-middle-class customers;</li>
<li>Meituan's launch of membership is a wise step towards strengthening user stickiness and emphasizing transaction soundness over impulsive buying. Meituan's portfolio in food, dining, hotel &amp; travel offer unparalleled value;</li>
<li>We see Meituan's success in Hong Kong honed a replicable business model targeting single and low priced segment. Consolation on a global scale now seems a possibility.</li>
</ul>


We notice a pickup in consumer acceptance of instrashopping, as result of COVID-cultivated behavior. We notice similar business model worked outside of China (Coupang) for densely populated urban upper-middle-class customers;
Meituan's launch of membership is a wise step towards strengthening user stickiness and emphasizing transaction soundness over impulsive buying. Meituan's portfolio in food, dining, hotel &amp; travel offer unparalleled value;
We see Meituan's success in Hong Kong honed a replicable business model targeting single and low priced segment. Consolation on a global scale now seems a possibility.


Meituan (3690 HK): Out of the Woods and Light a Fire

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Customer management as the largest business began to increase compared to the past two stagnant quarters.</li>
<li>We believe margin will continue to decline as the company turned its focus to growth.</li>
<li>We conclude an upside of 41% for March 2025 based on peer companies’ P/S ratios.</li>
</ul>


Customer management as the largest business began to increase compared to the past two stagnant quarters.
We believe margin will continue to decline as the company turned its focus to growth.
We conclude an upside of 41% for March 2025 based on peer companies’ P/S ratios.


Alibaba (9988 HK): 4Q24, Main Business Began to Grow

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>The final results for the June 2024 index rebal event will be confirmed after market close on Friday 17th May 2024.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our latest flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
The final results for the June 2024 index rebal event will be confirmed after market close on Friday 17th May 2024.
In this insight, we take a look at our latest flow expectations.


Quiddity HSTECH Jun 24 Final Expectations: US$1.6bn One-Way; Li Auto, JD, Xiaomi, Meituan, & Tencent

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

Vipshop: Net Cash at 40% of Market Cap, Now Paying Dividends and Buying Back Shares

In this insight, we analyse Vipshop’s growth outlook, referencing reported Chinese retail sales data, its margin progression, strong balance sheet,...

Wium Malan, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:JD US/DADA US/3690 HK/700 HK/ZTO US/1519 HK/PDD US/BABA US/Douyin

JD.com upgrades "Hour Delivery" to "Instant Delivery" showing growth potential in on-demand retail; new game to release May 24th; PDD introduces...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK): Out of the Woods and Light a Fire

Meituan plans to launch a comprehensive membership program as it extends instrashopping from grocery to daily goods, positive for its profit...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Alibaba (9988 HK): 4Q24, Main Business Began to Grow

Customer management as the largest business began to increase compared to the past two stagnant quarters. We believe margin will continue to...

Ming Lu

Quiddity HSTECH Jun 24 Final Expectations: US$1.6bn One-Way; Li Auto, JD, Xiaomi, Meituan, & Tencent

I estimate one-way flow to be US$1,585mn which translates to a turnover of roughly 8.3%. I do not expect any constituent changes for the HSCEI June...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Vipshop: Net Cash at 40% of Market Cap, Now Paying Dividends and Buying Back Shares

In this insight, we analyse Vipshop’s growth outlook, referencing reported Chinese retail sales data, its margin progression, strong balance sheet,...

Wium Malan, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:JD US/DADA US/3690 HK/700 HK/ZTO US/1519 HK/PDD US/BABA US/Douyin

​JD.com upgrades "Hour Delivery" to "Instant Delivery" showing growth potential in on-demand retail; new game to release May 24th; PDD introduces...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK): Out of the Woods and Light a Fire

​Meituan plans to launch a comprehensive membership program as it extends instrashopping from grocery to daily goods, positive for its profit...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Alibaba (9988 HK): 4Q24, Main Business Began to Grow

Customer management as the largest business began to increase compared to the past two stagnant quarters. We believe margin will continue to...

Ming Lu

Quiddity HSTECH Jun 24 Final Expectations: US$1.6bn One-Way; Li Auto, JD, Xiaomi, Meituan, & Tencent

I estimate one-way flow to be US$1,585mn which translates to a turnover of roughly 8.3%. I do not expect any constituent changes for the HSCEI June...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

JD.com upgrades "Hour Delivery" to "Instant Delivery" showing growth potential in on-demand retail; new game to release May 24th; PDD introduces...

Meituan plans to launch a comprehensive membership program as it extends instrashopping from grocery to daily goods, positive for its profit...