Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In December, Tencent announced that its board of directors has resolved to declare a special dividend by way of a distribution of its Class A ordinary shares of JD.com. </li>
<li>This seems to be in line with regulators’ aim of bringing down walled gardens; however, we think these steps are aimed more towards restructuring Tencent’s fintech business.</li>
<li>Tencent’s fintech arm has been benefitting from its partnerships with JD.com and Pinduoduo which has helped face competition from closest rival AliPay.</li>
</ul>


In December, Tencent announced that its board of directors has resolved to declare a special dividend by way of a distribution of its Class A ordinary shares of JD.com. 
This seems to be in line with regulators’ aim of bringing down walled gardens; however, we think these steps are aimed more towards restructuring Tencent’s fintech business.
Tencent’s fintech arm has been benefitting from its partnerships with JD.com and Pinduoduo which has helped face competition from closest rival AliPay.


Tencent: Is More Fintech Restructuring On Its Way?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and other sources.</li>
<li>For readers who aren't familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex A-shares), including China ADRs. </li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and other sources.
For readers who aren't familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific (ex A-shares), including China ADRs. 
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> ended on 31 December. The changes will be announced on 18 February and implemented on 4 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-solar-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:318:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)</a> is a potential inclusion, replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK)</a> though both names are very close to the cutoffs.</li>
<li>Changes in the free-float adjustment factors could result in no change to the index, while there is an outside chance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> being included in the index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index ended on 31 December. The changes will be announced on 18 February and implemented on 4 March.

Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK) is a potential inclusion, replacing Evergrande Property Services (6666 HK) though both names are very close to the cutoffs.
Changes in the free-float adjustment factors could result in no change to the index, while there is an outside chance of Bilibili (9626 HK) being included in the index.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): One Potential Change with Caveats

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

China Logistics Property Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>China's AML (Anti-Monopoly Law) Authority approval, the key SPA condition to the <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a></strong> transaction, has now been satisfied.  </li>
<li>A number of conditions to the SPA remain outstanding, almost all of which can be waived by the Offeror (<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a></strong>).</li>
<li>Trading tight to terms with possible payment in early February.</li>
</ul>


China's AML (Anti-Monopoly Law) Authority approval, the key SPA condition to the China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK) transaction, has now been satisfied.  
A number of conditions to the SPA remain outstanding, almost all of which can be waived by the Offeror (JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)).
Trading tight to terms with possible payment in early February.


CLPH (1589 HK): MGO Imminent As Anti-Monopoly Approval Satisfied

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

<ul>
<li>With life getting back to the usual ways following changes due to COVID-19, the Japanese cosmetics sector was expected to experience an uplift in earnings, mainly through inbound demand.</li>
<li>However, the extension of China’s common prosperity crackdowns to the live-streaming e-commerce business, could more than offset a possible recovery in inbound demand.</li>
<li>Thus, we fear that there is additional downside risk to Japanese cosmetics multiples in the short term.</li>
</ul>


With life getting back to the usual ways following changes due to COVID-19, the Japanese cosmetics sector was expected to experience an uplift in earnings, mainly through inbound demand.
However, the extension of China’s common prosperity crackdowns to the live-streaming e-commerce business, could more than offset a possible recovery in inbound demand.
Thus, we fear that there is additional downside risk to Japanese cosmetics multiples in the short term.


Crackdown on Live-Streaming E-Commerce Could Derail The Recovery of Japanese Cosmetics

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

Tencent: Is More Fintech Restructuring On Its Way?

Partnerships with domestic leaders in other verticals have helped Tencent's Fintech biz take on competition from AliPay. We think there will be...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Aequitas 2022 Asia IPO Pipeline

We take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2022. This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking company filings and...

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): One Potential Change with Caveats

Xinyi Solar could replace Evergrande Property Services in the HSCEI at the March rebalance. Changes in the FAF for the stocks could either mean no...

Brian Freitas

CLPH (1589 HK): MGO Imminent As Anti-Monopoly Approval Satisfied

Trading super tight at 0.2%/2.4% gross/annualised spread (at HK$4.34/share), assuming early February completion. You have a hard put at HK$4.35...

David Blennerhassett

Crackdown on Live-Streaming E-Commerce Could Derail The Recovery of Japanese Cosmetics

Valuation multiples of Japanese cosmetics makers more than doubled during the last 6-7 years alongside the growth driven by the China expansion and...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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