Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The revenue growth rate bounced back to 11% YoY in 3Q22.</li>
<li>The operating margin improved to a historical high at 3.1%.</li>
<li>We believe the stock price has an upside of 27% for year end 2023.</li>
</ul>


The revenue growth rate bounced back to 11% YoY in 3Q22.
The operating margin improved to a historical high at 3.1%.
We believe the stock price has an upside of 27% for year end 2023.


JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q22, Growth Recovered, Margin Reached Historical High

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>JD announced (18 Nov) 3Q22 results: revenue was RMB243.5bn, up 11.4% YoY, in line with both our forecast and Bloomberg-consensus.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income of RMB10.0bn in 3Q22 was 38/41% ahead of our estimates/consensus, and translated into a non-GAAP net margin of 4.1% (3Q21: 2.3%), 1.1pp ahead of our forecast, driven by strict cost control amid macro headwinds.</li><li>We lowered 22-24E revenue forecast by 1.2-3.0% to account for severe-than-expected impact brought by pandemic resurgence, and slower-than-expected general merchandise revenue growth due to management’s proactive move to focus more on driving profitability expansion than scale growth.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

JD announced (18 Nov) 3Q22 results: revenue was RMB243.5bn, up 11.4% YoY, in line with both our forecast and Bloomberg-consensus.Non-GAAP net income of RMB10.0bn in 3Q22 was 38/41% ahead of our estimates/consensus, and translated into a non-GAAP net margin of 4.1% (3Q21: 2.3%), 1.1pp ahead of our forecast, driven by strict cost control amid macro headwinds.We lowered 22-24E revenue forecast by 1.2-3.0% to account for severe-than-expected impact brought by pandemic resurgence, and slower-than-expected general merchandise revenue growth due to management’s proactive move to focus more on driving profitability expansion than scale growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) – Stronger-than-expected margin expansion

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Index continues its march to 80 names, after which it will commence a march, or a slog, to 100 names in an effort to gain more comprehensive coverage</li>
<li>Doing so will admit names which move to Hong Kong from New York and will make way for more dynamism and lower SOE weights.</li>
<li>The three ADDs are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tingyi-cayman-islands-holding-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14016:1" rel="noopener">Tingyi Holding (322 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-mixc-lifestyle-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29285:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a> with a pro-forma combined weight just &lt;1%.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Index continues its march to 80 names, after which it will commence a march, or a slog, to 100 names in an effort to gain more comprehensive coverage
Doing so will admit names which move to Hong Kong from New York and will make way for more dynamism and lower SOE weights.
The three ADDs are Tingyi Holding (322 HK), China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK), and Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK) with a pro-forma combined weight just &lt;1%.


Hang Seng Index Dec22 Rebal - 3 IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI sees 4 names out, 4 names in. The ADDs are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The DELETEs are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-gas-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14315:1" rel="noopener">China Gas Holdings (384 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>One way volume is just under 4.7% with all the name changes, FAF changes, and capping flows.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI sees 4 names out, 4 names in. The ADDs are PetroChina (857 HK), Zhongsheng Group (881 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK). 
The DELETEs are Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK), China Gas Holdings (384 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), and Bilibili (9626 HK). 
One way volume is just under 4.7% with all the name changes, FAF changes, and capping flows.


HSCEI Dec 2022 Rebalance - 4 IN, 4 OUT, 3% One-Way Flow

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Tech Index Review was announced on Friday after the close. There are no name changes but there is decent flow. 3% one-way turnover.</li>
<li>There are five capping changes and one very large share count change making things interesting.</li>
<li>All told, this is less impactful than it was last time, and less impactful than the other index rebalances announced. </li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Tech Index Review was announced on Friday after the close. There are no name changes but there is decent flow. 3% one-way turnover.
There are five capping changes and one very large share count change making things interesting.
All told, this is less impactful than it was last time, and less impactful than the other index rebalances announced. 


Hang Seng Tech Rebalance Dec 2022 - No Name Changes, Decent Flow

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q22, Growth Recovered, Margin Reached Historical High

The revenue growth rate bounced back to 11% YoY in 3Q22. The operating margin improved to historical high at 3.1%. We believe the stock price has...

Ming Lu

JD.com (JD US) – Stronger-than-expected margin expansion

JD announced (18 Nov) 3Q22 results: revenue was RMB243.5bn, up 11.4% YoY, in line with both our forecast and Bloomberg-consensus.

CMB International

Hang Seng Index Dec22 Rebal - 3 IN, None Out (The March to 80 Continues)

The Hang Seng rebalance for Dec 2022 adds 3 names which combined have a weight just under 1%. There are other capping changes but they are not...

Travis Lundy

HSCEI Dec 2022 Rebalance - 4 IN, 4 OUT, 3% One-Way Flow

The HSCEI Index has seen significant pain year-to date and there is less to trade than before, but one-way turnover is ~4.7% and a bare minimum of...

Travis Lundy

Hang Seng Tech Rebalance Dec 2022 - No Name Changes, Decent Flow

The HS Tech Index sees no name changes for the second quarter in a row, but there are lots of capping flows to reduce and raise weights. For that,...

Travis Lundy

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