Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Construction Bank H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward and which are the better positioned banks to confront the challenge</li>
<li>China bank shares’ PBV ratios have eroded over time, due to low growth and credit quality concerns; yet through our analysis of these bank, we see selective contrarian positive opportunities</li>
<li>CCB is a core GEM bank buy for its deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheet; Ping An Bank is the deep value contrarian pick; Minsheng is our fundamental sell</li>
</ul>


In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward and which are the better positioned banks to confront the challenge
China bank shares’ PBV ratios have eroded over time, due to low growth and credit quality concerns; yet through our analysis of these bank, we see selective contrarian positive opportunities
CCB is a core GEM bank buy for its deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheet; Ping An Bank is the deep value contrarian pick; Minsheng is our fundamental sell


China Banks; Challenged on Credit Quality Trends, with Selective Opportunities to Be Found

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 20th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Meituan, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 20th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Meituan, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 20th): Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Meituan

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity fell 20% week-on-week this week. Net buying was a little stronger. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> was a net SOUTHBOUND sell this week for the first weekly sell since it became Southbound-eligible. Friday was the largest one-day sell in that period.</li>
<li>Tech is still on the sell side and financials are still being bought very bigly.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity fell 20% week-on-week this week. Net buying was a little stronger. 

Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) was a net SOUTHBOUND sell this week for the first weekly sell since it became Southbound-eligible. Friday was the largest one-day sell in that period.
Tech is still on the sell side and financials are still being bought very bigly.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Dec 2024); Financials and Telecoms Still Tops

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$7.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Major buying was mostly SOEs.</li>
<li>The more I watch, the more I think the last few months have had serious national team buying of banks and energy, perhaps ahead of shareholder return policy changes.</li>
<li>But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$7.3bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Major buying was mostly SOEs.
The more I watch, the more I think the last few months have had serious national team buying of banks and energy, perhaps ahead of shareholder return policy changes.
But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Jul 2024); Slower Flows Gross and Net (Buy), Still SOEs

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides a comprehensive range of commercial banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers. The Bank's business consists of three principal business segments: corporate banking, personal banking, and treasury operations. China Construction Bank also services infrastructure loans, residential mortgage, and bank cards.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Construction Bank H (939 HK)

China Banks; Challenged on Credit Quality Trends, with Selective Opportunities to Be Found

Chinese banks' credit quality hurdles create opportunities; CCB is a core bank buy for its discounted valuations and strong balance sheet; Ping An...

Victor Galliano

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 20th): Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, China Mobile, ICBC, Ping An Insurance,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea, Kuaishou, Jd, Bosideng

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 13th and highlight short interest changes in Hkex, Tracker Fund, Midea,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Dec 2024); Financials and Telecoms Still Tops

SOUTHBOUND volumes fell this week vs last week, but the pace of net buying continues unabated. There is a LOT of financials and telecom buying...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Jul 2024); Slower Flows Gross and Net (Buy), Still SOEs

SOUTHBOUND net flows this past week were lower than has been the case in past weeks, but were positive every day, and have been positive 23 weeks...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)