Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shanghai is in lockdown and citizens are finding it hard to get enough food.</li>
<li>Community group purchase has been taking consumers from e-commerce apps.</li>
<li>The central government reiterates the zero-COVID policy, but the Omicron variant is spreading with very few death cases.</li>
</ul>


Shanghai is in lockdown and citizens are finding it hard to get enough food.
Community group purchase has been taking consumers from e-commerce apps.
The central government reiterates the zero-COVID policy, but the Omicron variant is spreading with very few death cases.


Alibaba (BABA): Shanghai and Its E-Commerce Under Lockdown

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today, CCASS data showed that 700,000,047 Class A Shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> popped into existence in CCASS (from outside of CCASS the day before). Poof!</li>
<li>They showed up in Deutsche Bank's CCASS Participant account. Just like the 600,000,000 Class A Shares which popped in on 15 December 2021. </li>
<li>There's a thing here, and there are things going on in the background, but the things in the foreground are not as menacing as they appear. I explore and explain.</li>
</ul>


Today, CCASS data showed that 700,000,047 Class A Shares of JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) popped into existence in CCASS (from outside of CCASS the day before). Poof!
They showed up in Deutsche Bank's CCASS Participant account. Just like the 600,000,000 Class A Shares which popped in on 15 December 2021. 
There's a thing here, and there are things going on in the background, but the things in the foreground are not as menacing as they appear. I explore and explain.


JD.com's Musical Shares - Less Than You Think

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhihu Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu Technology (ZH US)</a> has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200 million. The H Shares will be priced on 14 April and listed on 22 April.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zhihu-dual-primary-listing-a-question-of-judgment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:68266" rel="noopener">Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: A Question of Judgment</a>, we stated that while a loss-making tech name is not everybody's cup of tea, Zhihu has resilient performance and an undemanding valuation.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.</li>
</ul>



Zhihu Technology (ZH US) has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200 million. The H Shares will be priced on 14 April and listed on 22 April.
In Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: A Question of Judgment, we stated that while a loss-making tech name is not everybody's cup of tea, Zhihu has resilient performance and an undemanding valuation.  
In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.


Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There has been an increase of 700m shares held in HK CCASS for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> on 11 April.</li>
<li>The largest part of 421.5m shares is likely the conversion of Class B to Class A shares following Richard Liu stepping down as CEO of the company.</li>
<li>The rest is unknown at this point but could be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> moving their shares to HK to sell-down and use the cash to buy back their own stock.</li>
</ul>


There has been an increase of 700m shares held in HK CCASS for JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) on 11 April.
The largest part of 421.5m shares is likely the conversion of Class B to Class A shares following Richard Liu stepping down as CEO of the company.
The rest is unknown at this point but could be Prosus (PRX NA) moving their shares to HK to sell-down and use the cash to buy back their own stock.


JD.com (9618 HK): CCASS Share Increase Driver & Potential Prosus Selldown

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Zhihu plans to raise around US$130m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Unlike all the prior dual primary/secondary listings which have been done via offering either only primary or a mix of primary+secondary shares, Zhihu’s offering will consist of only secondary shares.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the deal dynamics and structure.</li>
</ul>


Zhihu plans to raise around US$130m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong.
Unlike all the prior dual primary/secondary listings which have been done via offering either only primary or a mix of primary+secondary shares, Zhihu’s offering will consist of only secondary shares.
In this note, we'll talk about the deal dynamics and structure.


Zhihu HK Secondary - Going Further than Autohome and Weibo, Stock Might Go Further Down as Well

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Alibaba (BABA): Shanghai and Its E-Commerce Under Lockdown

Shanghai is in lockdown and citizens find they are hard to get enough food. Community group purchase is taking consumers from e-commerce apps.

Ming Lu

JD.com's Musical Shares - Less Than You Think

JD.com saw a huge swing of 700 million shares into CCASS from outside of CCASS. This is much less ominous than it looks. It is almost certainly...

Travis Lundy

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be...

Arun George

Zhihu HK Secondary - Going Further than Autohome and Weibo, Stock Might Go Further Down as Well

Zhihu plans to raise around US$130m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (BABA): Shanghai and Its E-Commerce Under Lockdown

Shanghai is in lockdown and citizens find they are hard to get enough food. Community group purchase is taking consumers from e-commerce apps.

Ming Lu

JD.com's Musical Shares - Less Than You Think

JD.com saw a huge swing of 700 million shares into CCASS from outside of CCASS. This is much less ominous than it looks. It is almost certainly...

Travis Lundy

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be...

Arun George

JD.com (9618 HK): CCASS Share Increase Driver & Potential Prosus Selldown

There has been a big increase in JD.com (9618 HK) CCASS shares. A large part should be a conversion of Class B to Class A shares. The missing piece...

Brian Freitas

Zhihu HK Secondary - Going Further than Autohome and Weibo, Stock Might Go Further Down as Well

Zhihu plans to raise around US$130m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views