Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>JCET reported revenue/GM RMB$8,138mn/10.7% in 1Q22, which grew 21.2% YoY and 0.5% QoQ.</li>
<li>We expect that its growth would continue and likely reach to revenue/GM for about RMB$8,234.5mn/10.8% in 2Q22.</li>
<li>Although the mainland China insists in the Zero Policy against COVID-19, the GDP growth was targeting at ~5.5% in 2022. </li>
</ul>


JCET reported revenue/GM RMB$8,138mn/10.7% in 1Q22, which grew 21.2% YoY and 0.5% QoQ.
We expect that its growth would continue and likely reach to revenue/GM for about RMB$8,234.5mn/10.8% in 2Q22.
Although the mainland China insists in the Zero Policy against COVID-19, the GDP growth was targeting at ~5.5% in 2022. 


JCET (600584.CH): 2022 Outlook Should Be Better than Fear

ASE Technology Holding   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In the 2Q22 guidance, the revenue for ATM/EMS is ~NT$76.7bn/NT$61.2bn, the GM for ATM is ~27.5% and OPM for EMS is ~8.8%.</li>
<li>In the first quarter, ASE Holding already surpassed the historical peak of 27% gross margins. And ASE Holding will see that trend continue.</li>
<li>It's a normal phenomenon that ASE Holding is seeing inventory level being higher than before.</li>
</ul>


In the 2Q22 guidance, the revenue for ATM/EMS is ~NT$76.7bn/NT$61.2bn, the GM for ATM is ~27.5% and OPM for EMS is ~8.8%.
In the first quarter, ASE Holding already surpassed the historical peak of 27% gross margins. And ASE Holding will see that trend continue.
It's a normal phenomenon that ASE Holding is seeing inventory level being higher than before.


ASE Holding (ASX.US; 3711.TT): 1Q22 Results/ 2Q22 Outlook- 2022 Outlook Is Bright

<ul>
<li>ASE Holding revenue was NTD$144.4bn in 1Q22, which was 20.9% YoY and -16.5% QoQ. We expect the GM is 19.5% in 1Q22.</li>
<li>ASE Holding could target at NTD$148.1bn/20.5% GM in 2Q22. We expect the gross margin of IC ATM and EMS portions are around 26.8%/9.1% respectively.</li>
<li>We think it should be picking up since 2Q22 because of the seasonality, and it's likely to peak out until 4Q22.</li>
</ul>


ASE Holding revenue was NTD$144.4bn in 1Q22, which was 20.9% YoY and -16.5% QoQ. We expect the GM is 19.5% in 1Q22.
ASE Holding could target at NTD$148.1bn/20.5% GM in 2Q22. We expect the gross margin of IC ATM and EMS portions are around 26.8%/9.1% respectively.
We think it should be picking up since 2Q22 because of the seasonality, and it's likely to peak out until 4Q22.


ASE Holding (3711.TT): 1Q22 Results/​​ 2Q22 Outlook- The Hope Might Be in 2H22

<ul>
<li>JCET has reported 2021 annual results, and there was RMB$8.59bn/9.5% of revenue/NM percentage in 4Q21. JCET 2021 grew 6.0% QoQ and 11.5% YoY respectively.</li>
<li>Despite US-China trade war, the revenue from US clients are taking 50.2% in 2021, which is growing 23% from 2020 to 2021. </li>
<li>Given the 5G and China Automotive are developing actively, we believe these two applications shall be keeping the energetic momentum.</li>
</ul>


JCET has reported 2021 annual results, and there was RMB$8.59bn/9.5% of revenue/NM percentage in 4Q21. JCET 2021 grew 6.0% QoQ and 11.5% YoY respectively.
Despite US-China trade war, the revenue from US clients are taking 50.2% in 2021, which is growing 23% from 2020 to 2021. 
Given the 5G and China Automotive are developing actively, we believe these two applications shall be keeping the energetic momentum.


JCET (600584.CH): The Demand Was Strong in 2021, but 1Q22 Should Be a Seasonal Decline.

<ul>
<li>The 1st quarter is relatively a lower season. Therefore, we expect that the revenue/NM is about RMB$8. 7bn/9.0% in 1Q22 respectively, which declines ~10% QoQ and grow 30% YoY. </li>
<li>To our understanding, QCOM is still the biggest client in JCET. The rest of clients have changing a bit in JCET since Huawei was being driven out.</li>
<li>Overall speaking, China is devoted in developing OSAT (Outsource Semiconductor Assembly and Packaging) business, and the gap shall be close to ASEH and Amkor. </li>
</ul>


The 1st quarter is relatively a lower season. Therefore, we expect that the revenue/NM is about RMB$8. 7bn/9.0% in 1Q22 respectively, which declines ~10% QoQ and grow 30% YoY. 
To our understanding, QCOM is still the biggest client in JCET. The rest of clients have changing a bit in JCET since Huawei was being driven out.
Overall speaking, China is devoted in developing OSAT (Outsource Semiconductor Assembly and Packaging) business, and the gap shall be close to ASEH and Amkor. 


JCET (600584.CN): The 1Q22 Will Be a Lower Season, and the Recent Ukraine Crisis Did Post a Shadow.

China

JCET Group Co., Ltd. operates in the semiconductor industry.  The Company's products include discrete devices and integrated circuits.  Through its subsidiaries, Jiangsu Changjiang also manufactures signal lamps used in industrial equipment and anti-theft door systems for consumer use.

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JCET Group (600584 CH)

JCET (600584.CH): 2022 Outlook Should Be Better than Fear

We expect JCET's growth would continue and likely reach to revenue/GM for ~RMB$8,234.5mn/10.8% in 2Q22. Although China insisting in Zero Policy,...

Patrick Liao

ASE Holding (ASX.US; 3711.TT): 1Q22 Results/ 2Q22 Outlook- 2022 Outlook Is Bright

In the 2Q22 guidance, the revenue for ATM/EMS is ~NT$76.7bn/NT$61.2bn, the GM for ATM is ~27.5% and OPM for EMS is ~8.8%. ASE Holding already...

Patrick Liao

ASE Holding (3711.TT): 1Q22 Results/ 2Q22 Outlook- The Hope Might Be in 2H22

ASE Holding revenue was NTD$144.4bn in 1Q22, which was 20.9% YoY and -16.5% QoQ. We expect the GM is 19.5% in 1Q22. ASE Holding could target at...

Patrick Liao

JCET (600584.CH): The Demand Was Strong in 2021, but 1Q22 Should Be a Seasonal Decline.

JCET has reported 2021 annual results, and there is RMB$8.59bn/ 9.5% of revenue and NM percentage in 4Q21. In 1Q22, the revenue/NM percentage is...

Patrick Liao

JCET (600584.CN): The 1Q22 Will Be a Lower Season, and the Recent Ukraine Crisis Did Post a Shadow.

Usually, the 1st quarter is relatively a lower season. Therefore, we will expect that the revenue/NM is about RMB$8. 7bn/9.0% in 1Q22 respectively,...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JCET (600584.CH): 2022 Outlook Should Be Better than Fear

We expect JCET's growth would continue and likely reach to revenue/GM for ~RMB$8,234.5mn/10.8% in 2Q22. Although China insisting in Zero Policy,...

Patrick Liao

ASE Holding (ASX.US; 3711.TT): 1Q22 Results/ 2Q22 Outlook- 2022 Outlook Is Bright

In the 2Q22 guidance, the revenue for ATM/EMS is ~NT$76.7bn/NT$61.2bn, the GM for ATM is ~27.5% and OPM for EMS is ~8.8%. ASE Holding already...

Patrick Liao

ASE Holding (3711.TT): 1Q22 Results/​​ 2Q22 Outlook- The Hope Might Be in 2H22

ASE Holding revenue was NTD$144.4bn in 1Q22, which was 20.9% YoY and -16.5% QoQ. We expect the GM is 19.5% in 1Q22. ASE Holding could target at...

Patrick Liao

JCET (600584.CH): The Demand Was Strong in 2021, but 1Q22 Should Be a Seasonal Decline.

JCET has reported 2021 annual results, and there is RMB$8.59bn/ 9.5% of revenue and NM percentage in 4Q21. In 1Q22, the revenue/NM percentage is...

Patrick Liao

JCET (600584.CN): The 1Q22 Will Be a Lower Season, and the Recent Ukraine Crisis Did Post a Shadow.

Usually, the 1st quarter is relatively a lower season. Therefore, we will expect that the revenue/NM is about RMB$8. 7bn/9.0% in 1Q22 respectively,...

Patrick Liao

ASE Holding (3711.TT): 1Q22 Results/ 2Q22 Outlook- The Hope Might Be in 2H22