Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jb-hi-fi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:555:1" rel="noopener">JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> could be deleted as the lowest ranked current index constituents.</li>
<li>There are three other stocks that are close to the deletion threshold and a change in the free float could result in the stocks being deleted.</li>
<li>Short interest has been increasing on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jb-hi-fi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:555:1" rel="noopener">JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a> and could be partially driven by potential index deletions.</li>
</ul>



JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU) and Charter Hall (CHC AU) could be deleted as the lowest ranked current index constituents.
There are three other stocks that are close to the deletion threshold and a change in the free float could result in the stocks being deleted.
Short interest has been increasing on JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU), Charter Hall (CHC AU) and Lendlease Group (LLC AU) and could be partially driven by potential index deletions.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Deletes & Capping Increase Turnover

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 25th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Rio Tinto, Domino'S Pizza E, Qbe Insurance, Lottery, BHP, Macquarie, Magellan Fin Grp.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 25th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Rio Tinto, Domino'S Pizza E, Qbe Insurance, Lottery, BHP, Macquarie, Magellan Fin Grp.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 25th): Rio Tinto, Domino'S Pizza E, Qbe Insurance, Lottery, BHP

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Why is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> trading wide? FUD and Flows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> plumbs new 12-month lows for its implied stub, and NAV discount as the former PM returns from exile. </li>
<li>You would NOT want to short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/m-a-research-institute-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36749:1" rel="noopener">M&amp;A Research Institute (9552 JP) </a> into the inclusion. But the ascension to TOPIX is not a surprise.</li>
</ul>


Why is JSR Corp (4185 JP) trading wide? FUD and Flows.

Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) plumbs new 12-month lows for its implied stub, and NAV discount as the former PM returns from exile. 
You would NOT want to short M&amp;A Research Institute (9552 JP)  into the inclusion. But the ascension to TOPIX is not a surprise.


Last Week In Event SPACE: JSR, Intouch/Thaksin, Softbank/ARM, M&A Research, Premier

<ul>
<li>In tandem with a trading update this morning, Aussie retailer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/premier-investments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:664:1" rel="noopener">Premier Investments (PMV AU)</a> announced a break-up of the empire. And the departure of the CEO. </li>
<li>Premier said it is exploring the demerger and creation of (at least) three new separate companies, encompassing Peter Alexander, Smiggle, and Apparel Brands (Just Jeans, Dotti and Portmans, etc.).</li>
<li>Separately,  Richard Murray, who joined Premier from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jb-hi-fi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:555:1" rel="noopener">JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU)</a> two years ago, will exit the company on September 15.</li>
</ul>


In tandem with a trading update this morning, Aussie retailer Premier Investments (PMV AU) announced a break-up of the empire. And the departure of the CEO. 
Premier said it is exploring the demerger and creation of (at least) three new separate companies, encompassing Peter Alexander, Smiggle, and Apparel Brands (Just Jeans, Dotti and Portmans, etc.).
Separately,  Richard Murray, who joined Premier from JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU) two years ago, will exit the company on September 15.


Brilliance China Automotive / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff for the September rebalance of the ASX family of indices. The September changes for the Hang Seng family of indices were also announced.</li>
<li>The September changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> will be announced after the close of trading on 25 August.</li>
<li>For a second week running, there were big inflows to mainland China ETFs and were spread across multiple index trackers. There were outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Friday was the review cutoff for the September rebalance of the ASX family of indices. The September changes for the Hang Seng family of indices were also announced.
The September changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) will be announced after the close of trading on 25 August.
For a second week running, there were big inflows to mainland China ETFs and were spread across multiple index trackers. There were outflows from iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, NEXT50, MVMVA, MVMVW, Celltrion, Brilliance, KQ150, HSCI

Australia

JB Hi-Fi Limited is a music and electronic goods retailer in Australia.  The Company operates stores at sites located in most Australian States.  Products include consumer electronics, car sound systems, music and DVDs.

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JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH AU)

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Deletes & Capping Increase Turnover

There could be 2 index deletes in Sep. There are 3 stocks that are close to the deletion threshold. There are unlikely to be any adds. There will...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 25th): Rio Tinto, Domino'S Pizza E, Qbe Insurance, Lottery, BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Rio Tinto, Domino'S Pizza E, Qbe Insurance,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week In Event SPACE: JSR, Intouch/Thaksin, Softbank/ARM, M&A Research, Premier

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Premier's (PMV AU) Four-Way Split

The fact Murray is exiting would suggest the break up of the retailer is well advanced. IF the demerger is via the in-specie distribution of these...

David Blennerhassett

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, NEXT50, MVMVA, MVMVW, Celltrion, Brilliance, KQ150, HSCI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

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