IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>'s delisting resolution was overwhelmingly voted against by independent H Shareholders. The results were not helped by the poor turnout.</li>
<li>PAG's MGO at HK$1.5132 per H Share is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution. The MGO remains open with a final closing date of 1 February.</li>
<li>PAG currently holds 85.44% of the outstanding shares. At the last close and for a 10 February payment, the gross and annualised spread is 1.6% and 28.9%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)'s delisting resolution was overwhelmingly voted against by independent H Shareholders. The results were not helped by the poor turnout.
PAG's MGO at HK$1.5132 per H Share is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution. The MGO remains open with a final closing date of 1 February.
PAG currently holds 85.44% of the outstanding shares. At the last close and for a 10 February payment, the gross and annualised spread is 1.6% and 28.9%, respectively.


Fengxiang (9977 HK): Delisting Resolution Fails, MGO Closes 1 February

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Agri-Food play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a> recently distributed in-specie its 62.5% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austasia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36655:1" rel="noopener">AustAsia Group (2425 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Japfa continues to hold a 55.4% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ)</a>, together with unlisted ops focused on animal proteins in Vietnam, India, Bangladesh, and Myanmar.</li>
<li>Japfa is estimated to be trading at around a 41% discount to NAV and ~4x EV/EBITDA. </li>
</ul>


Agri-Food play Japfa Ltd (JAP SP) recently distributed in-specie its 62.5% stake in AustAsia Group (2425 HK).
Japfa continues to hold a 55.4% stake in Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ), together with unlisted ops focused on animal proteins in Vietnam, India, Bangladesh, and Myanmar.
Japfa is estimated to be trading at around a 41% discount to NAV and ~4x EV/EBITDA. 


Japfa Ltd: Trading Cheap After AustAsia In-Specie Distribution

<ul>
<li>PAG completed the auction procedures for the acquisition of a 70.92% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>. This will trigger an unconditional MGO at HK$1.5132 per H Share.</li>
<li>As PAG has no compulsory acquisition rights, it will also seek shareholder delisting approval. The MGO is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution.</li>
<li>The composite document is to be despatched on or before 28 December. At last close and for an end-of-January payment, the gross and annualised spread is 5.1% and 65.9%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


PAG completed the auction procedures for the acquisition of a 70.92% stake in Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK). This will trigger an unconditional MGO at HK$1.5132 per H Share.
As PAG has no compulsory acquisition rights, it will also seek shareholder delisting approval. The MGO is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution.
The composite document is to be despatched on or before 28 December. At last close and for an end-of-January payment, the gross and annualised spread is 5.1% and 65.9%, respectively.


Fengxiang (9977 HK)’s Share Transfer to PAG Complete, Unconditional MGO

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.</li>
<li>Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.</li>
<li>Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."</li>
</ul>


COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.
Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.
Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."


COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

<ul>
<li>PAG is the successful bidder for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>'s controlling shareholder’s 70.92% stake at HK$1.5132 per H Share (RMB1.3822 per domestic share).</li>
<li>As PAG has no compulsory acquisition rights, it will also seek shareholder delisting approval. The MGO is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution.</li>
<li>The share sale transfer requires SAMR approval which will be forthcoming. Our best guess is the MGO completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.6%.</li>
</ul>


PAG is the successful bidder for Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)'s controlling shareholder’s 70.92% stake at HK$1.5132 per H Share (RMB1.3822 per domestic share).
As PAG has no compulsory acquisition rights, it will also seek shareholder delisting approval. The MGO is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution.
The share sale transfer requires SAMR approval which will be forthcoming. Our best guess is the MGO completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.6%.


Fengxiang’s Unconditional MGO at HK$ 1.5132 from PAG

Singapore

Japfa Ltd. operates in the agricultural industry. The Company breeds and processes chicken, pork and beef. Japfa also operates dairy farms.

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Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)

Fengxiang (9977 HK): Delisting Resolution Fails, MGO Closes 1 February

The MGO is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution. At the last close and for a 10 February payment, the annualised spread is...

Arun George

Japfa Ltd: Trading Cheap After AustAsia In-Specie Distribution

At a 41% discount to NAV, Japfa appears inexpensive. As it does on an EV/EBITDA basis. But this is an illiquid holdco, with no immediate catalyst...

David Blennerhassett

COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

COP27 starts next week, and sustainable agriculture/food is at the top of the agenda. That could mean agriculture stocks are the most impacted by...

Kyle Rudden

Fengxiang’s Unconditional MGO at HK$ 1.5132 from PAG

The unconditional MGO is HK$1.5132 per H Share. Our best guess is the MGO completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.6%.

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Fengxiang (9977 HK): Delisting Resolution Fails, MGO Closes 1 February

The MGO is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution. At the last close and for a 10 February payment, the annualised spread is...

Arun George

Japfa Ltd: Trading Cheap After AustAsia In-Specie Distribution

At a 41% discount to NAV, Japfa appears inexpensive. As it does on an EV/EBITDA basis. But this is an illiquid holdco, with no immediate catalyst...

David Blennerhassett

Fengxiang (9977 HK)’s Share Transfer to PAG Complete, Unconditional MGO

The composite document is to be despatched on or before 28 December. At last close and for an end-of-January payment, the gross and annualised...

Arun George

COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

COP27 starts next week, and sustainable agriculture/food is at the top of the agenda. That could mean agriculture stocks are the most impacted by...

Kyle Rudden

Fengxiang’s Unconditional MGO at HK$ 1.5132 from PAG

The unconditional MGO is HK$1.5132 per H Share. Our best guess is the MGO completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.6%.

Arun George