IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 38.9 million shares (including overallotment) and a buyback worth a maximum of JPY100 billion or 17 million shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso Corp (6902 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>, and Toyota Motor (7203 JP) are the selling shareholders. The offering aims to reconfigure the company's shareholder mix and reduce cross-shareholdings.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 8 and 10 July (likely 8 July).</li>
</ul>



Aisin (7259 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 38.9 million shares (including overallotment) and a buyback worth a maximum of JPY100 billion or 17 million shares.

Denso Corp (6902 JP), Toyota Industries (6201 JP), and Toyota Motor (7203 JP) are the selling shareholders. The offering aims to reconfigure the company's shareholder mix and reduce cross-shareholdings.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 8 and 10 July (likely 8 July).


Aisin (7259 JP): A US$1.1 Billion Secondary Offering

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Japan Hotel Reit Investment / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-hotel-reit-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:144:1" rel="noopener">Japan Hotel Reit Investment (8985 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$214m to partly fund the acquisition of four hotel assets.</li>
<li>The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, most of which have managed to perform well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Japan Hotel Reit Investment (8985 JP) aims to raise around US$214m to partly fund the acquisition of four hotel assets.
The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, most of which have managed to perform well.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Japan Hotel REIT Placement - Relatively Large Deal but It Is Accretive

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Short term borrowing rose 2.3x in the past four quarters, alongside rising interest rates</li>
<li>During this time, long term borrowings were actually down, so no locking in of low rates</li>
<li>As such, Chiba is not fully, or hardly benefiting from BOJ policy changes, with NIM down</li>
</ul>


Short term borrowing rose 2.3x in the past four quarters, alongside rising interest rates
During this time, long term borrowings were actually down, so no locking in of low rates
As such, Chiba is not fully, or hardly benefiting from BOJ policy changes, with NIM down


Chiba Bank - Short Term Borrowing Surges, Just at the Wrong Time

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kagome-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14533:1" rel="noopener">Kagome Co Ltd (2811 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$140m to repay debt used to fund the acquisition of Ingomar in Jan 2024.</li>
<li>At the time of the acquisition, the company has stated its intention to part finance the acquisition via issuance of treasury shares</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Kagome Co Ltd (2811 JP) aims to raise around US$140m to repay debt used to fund the acquisition of Ingomar in Jan 2024.
At the time of the acquisition, the company has stated its intention to part finance the acquisition via issuance of treasury shares
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kagome Placement - Very Well Flagged Deal but Liquidity Might Be a Concern

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> IFA opines that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.</li>
<li>In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.</li>
<li>The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. </li>
</ul>



Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) IFA opines that the OCBC (OCBC SP) S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.
In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.
The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. 


Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

Japan

T&D Holdings, Inc. is a holding company established through the merger of Taiyo Life Insurance, Daido Life Insurance, and T&D Financial Life Insurance. The Company manages life insurance operations for its subsidiaries.

LIFENET INSURANCE COMPANY provides a wide range of life insurance products and services. The company mainly provides the products and services through the internet. The company also provides asset management services.

Anicom Holdings, Inc. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Anicom Insurance, Inc., Anicom Frontier, Inc., Anicom Pafe, Inc. The Company provides health insurance policies for pets and operates insurance agency through internet, personal visiting. Anicom Holdings also researches and provides pet business information.

Advance Create Co., Ltd operates insurance agency through newspaper advertising, internet, visiting, telemarketing.  The Company operates consulting and advertising services.

SBI Insurance Group Co., Ltd. operates as an insurance company. The Company offers life, non-life, short-term, and other insurance products. SBI Insurance Group provides its services in Japan.

Dream Incubator Inc. nurtures venture companies.  The Company supports companies by providing strategic insights and other consulting services.

IRRC Corporation offers insurance services. The Company provides insurance consulting, agency, sales supporting, store development, and other related services. IRRC operates in Japan.

SBI Holdings, Inc. manages venture capital fund which mainly invest in Internet related venture companies.  The Company also provides brokerage, investment banking, and financial services.

Concordia Financial Group, Ltd. is a holding company established through the merger of Bank of Yokohama and Higashi-Nippon Bank. The Company provides banking services and other financial services.

CHUOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP CO., LTD. provides Insurance services. The company mainly makes consignment contract with general insurance and life insurance companies and provides insurance agency business.

Medibank Private Limited offers private health care coverage for hospital and ancillary services. The Company offers a range of health insurance products such as health, travel, pet, and life coverage to overseas students and visitors. Medibank serves customers throughout Australia.

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. provides insurance services. The Company offers auto, fire, marine, casualty, health, leisure, and retirement products and services. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance serves customers in South Korea.

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance (000810 KS)

Globe Life Inc. operates as an insurance company. The Company offers term, whole, and children's life insurance, as well as accidental benefits, mortgage protection, and medicare supplement plans. Globe Life operates in the State of Texas.

Assurant, Inc. provides specialized insurance and insurance-related products. The Company offers individual and small employer group health insurance, group dental insurance, pre-funded funeral insurance, group disability and life insurance, creditor-placed homeowners insurance, manufactured housing homeowners insurance, debt protection administration, credit insurance, and warranties.

Primerica Inc. distributes financial products to middle income households in North America. The Company products include term life insurance, mutual funds, variable annuities and other financial products, which are distribute primarily on behalf of third parties.

Old Republic International Corporation is an insurance holding company whose subsidiaries market, underwrite, and provide risk management services.  The Company provides services for a variety of coverages in the property and liability, mortgage guaranty, title, and life and health insurance fields.

RLI Corp., through its subsidiaries, underwrites selected property, casualty, and surety insurance products.  The Company's principal subsidiary, RLI Insurance Group, provides specialty property and casualty coverages for primarily commercial risks.

Unipol Gruppo S.p.A sells life and property/casualty insurance and reinsurance in Italy.  The Company's non-life insurance coverage includes accident, health, automobile, railroad rolling stock, aircraft, marine, and fire.

UnipolSai SpA is an multi-line insurance company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers life, health, accident, automobile, marine, fire, general liability, and credit insurance.

Mapfre SA offers insurance services.  Through subsidiaries, the Company offers health, life, homeowner's, commercial, industrial risk, burial,  accident, automobile, and third-party liability insurance policies.  Mapfre operates in Europe and the Americas.

Japan Post Insurance Co. Ltd. operates life insurance business. The Company offers whole life insurance, education endowment, ordinary endowment, medical insurance, and special endowment insurance. Japan Post Insurance provides services for individuals and businesses throughout Japan.

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Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP)

Aisin (7259 JP): A US$1.1 Billion Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 8 and 10...

Arun George

Japan Hotel REIT Placement - Relatively Large Deal but It Is Accretive

Japan Hotel Reit Investment (8985 JP) aims to raise around US$214m to partly fund the acquisition of four hotel assets. In this note, we will run...

Sumeet Singh

Chiba Bank - Short Term Borrowing Surges, Just at the Wrong Time

Chiba Bank has opted to grossly raise its short term borrowings as JPY rates start to rise while not locking in long term borrowings.

Daniel Tabbush

Kagome Placement - Very Well Flagged Deal but Liquidity Might Be a Concern

Kagome Co Ltd (2811 JP) aims to raise around US$140m to repay debt used to fund the acquisition of Ingomar in Jan 2024. In this note, we run the...

Sumeet Singh

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

Shares will likely breach float requirements and be suspended at offer close. While trading through terms, recent precedent suggests that investors...

Arun George

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