Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Shares of US regional banks crash; Flight to safe haven assets as US2Yr yield crash; Also, strong Yen bid; Nomura expects Fed to CUT next (now that's original).</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY strengthens to 133.21; Masatoshi Ito - founder of Ito-Yokado dies at 98; Nidec -Leadership Transition take shape; Japan Post Bank priced; Komatsu upgrade</li>
<li>NUGGET.  JAL EXCEEDS union demands with wage settlement.  Inflation may act as the slayer of inefficient companies as weaker companies will just not be able to keep up.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Shares of US regional banks crash; Flight to safe haven assets as US2Yr yield crash; Also, strong Yen bid; Nomura expects Fed to CUT next (now that's original).
JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY strengthens to 133.21; Masatoshi Ito - founder of Ito-Yokado dies at 98; Nidec -Leadership Transition take shape; Japan Post Bank priced; Komatsu upgrade
NUGGET.  JAL EXCEEDS union demands with wage settlement.  Inflation may act as the slayer of inefficient companies as weaker companies will just not be able to keep up.


Good Morning Japan |US Bank Turmoil Spur Safe Haven Bid; NUGGET:Japan Wage Hikes - Something Special

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a> priced its offer at JPY1,131, a discount of 2.1% to the last close. JPB’s on-market buyback period runs from 22 March to 12 May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a>/ JPH’s 2021 offering suggests that the share price will have support to trade above the offer price at delivery date and the on-market buyback period.</li>
<li>The offer price’s forward P/B of 0.45x and yield of 4.42% are attractive vs peers. JPB’s price ratio at the offer price is undemanding vs TOPIX Banks ETF and JPH.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) priced its offer at JPY1,131, a discount of 2.1% to the last close. JPB’s on-market buyback period runs from 22 March to 12 May.

Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)/ JPH’s 2021 offering suggests that the share price will have support to trade above the offer price at delivery date and the on-market buyback period.
The offer price’s forward P/B of 0.45x and yield of 4.42% are attractive vs peers. JPB’s price ratio at the offer price is undemanding vs TOPIX Banks ETF and JPH.


Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): JPY1,131 Offer Price; Updated Playbook

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

SBI Sumishin Net Bank  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> (SSNB) is looking to raise around US$390m in its second listing attempt.</li>
<li>SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range</li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is looking to raise around US$390m in its second listing attempt.
SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.
In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range


SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO - It Was All Good, till Friday

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> aims to sell around US$9bn worth of  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>, trimming its stake by a third.</li>
<li>We have looked at the deal in our previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-placement-deal-structure-past-deals-index-buyback" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:96666" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-placement-misbehaving-still-has-time-to-correct-a-look-at-past-deals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97201" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at the post pricing performance of a few more deals.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) aims to sell around US$9bn worth of  Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third.
We have looked at the deal in our previous notes, Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback and Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving. 
In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at the post pricing performance of a few more deals.


Japan Post Bank Placement -  Still Misbehaving - Post-Pricing Performance of Some More Deals

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a>'s large offering of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>'s shares, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> aims to raise up to US$440 million. </li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olam-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:765:1" rel="noopener">Olam Group (OLG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/halcyon-agri-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18191:1" rel="noopener">Halcyon Agri (HACL SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)'s large offering of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)'s shares, SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) aims to raise up to US$440 million. 
Event-Driven developments - ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB), Olam Group (OLG SP), Halcyon Agri (HACL SP). 


Weekly Deals Digest (12 Mar) - Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin, ASMPT, Oishi, InvoCare, Olam

Japan

Japan Post Holdings Co. Ltd. operates post stations, banks, and insurance business. The Company offers letters and goods transportation services, stamp sales, deposits, loans, and insurance products.

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Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)

Good Morning Japan |US Bank Turmoil Spur Safe Haven Bid; NUGGET:Japan Wage Hikes - Something Special

NKY Futures are set for more losses at the open, driven by the safe-haven bid for the yen. Surely, this macro-driven sell-off is a buying opportunity?

Mark Chadwick

Japan Post Bank (7182 JP): JPY1,131 Offer Price; Updated Playbook

The offer price is attractive in comparison to peer multiples and price ratios. In line with JPH’s 2021 offering, the on-market buyback should help...

Arun George

SBI Sumishin Net Bank IPO - It Was All Good, till Friday

SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is looking to raise around US$390m in its second listing attempt. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Japan Post Bank Placement - Still Misbehaving - Post-Pricing Performance of Some More Deals

Japan Post Holdings aims to sell around US$9bn worth of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Deals Digest (12 Mar) - Japan Post Bank, SBI Sumishin, ASMPT, Oishi, InvoCare, Olam

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (InvoCare, Pushpay, Tyro, ASMPT, Yashili, Ihara, Nippon Steel, Toyo, Halcyon, Olam,...

Arun George

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