IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dali-foods-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1082:1" rel="noopener">Dali Foods Group (3799 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">Nws Holdings (659 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a>, Yitai Coal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ddh1-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36022:1" rel="noopener">DDH1 (DDH AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Tryt Inc (9164 JP), Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - JSR Corp (4185 JP), Dali Foods Group (3799 HK), Nws Holdings (659 HK), Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK), Yitai Coal, DDH1 (DDH AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Singapore Airlines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> will announce its price range in the coming week, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kelun-biotech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36801:1" rel="noopener">Kelun Biotech</a> tries to break the US$100m+ deal silence in HK. </li>
<li>On the placement front, even Singapore joined in the placement action this week, with only HK deal remaining absent over the past month.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Tryt Inc (9164 JP) will announce its price range in the coming week, while Kelun Biotech tries to break the US$100m+ deal silence in HK. 
On the placement front, even Singapore joined in the placement action this week, with only HK deal remaining absent over the past month.


ECM Weekly (2nd July 2023) - Tryt, J&T Express, Redox, Kelun, 4Paradigm, SIA, M&A Research, Walsin

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

J&T Global Express  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>J&amp;T’s China growth will slow from a lack of (1) M&amp;A targets, and (2) cash to sustain a price war. SEA’s growth will slow, and profit margin decline due to</li>
<li> (1) Shopee in-sourcing of high-profit parcels(2) PE-backed rivals using price wars to gain market share. Lower penetration of China supply-chain platforms will stunt J&amp;T’s growth in New Markets, we expect.</li>
<li>In our base case we value J&amp;T at US$ 10 bn, which is (25%) vs. J&amp;T’s valuation in its latest round of funding.</li>
</ul>


J&amp;T’s China growth will slow from a lack of (1) M&amp;A targets, and (2) cash to sustain a price war. SEA’s growth will slow, and profit margin decline due to
 (1) Shopee in-sourcing of high-profit parcels(2) PE-backed rivals using price wars to gain market share. Lower penetration of China supply-chain platforms will stunt J&amp;T’s growth in New Markets, we expect.
In our base case we value J&amp;T at US$ 10 bn, which is (25%) vs. J&amp;T’s valuation in its latest round of funding.


Blue Lotus IPO Outlook/J&T Express: Cash Crunch as Prices Slump, Overseas Volume Ramps

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Global logistics and express delivery service provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Express (1936374D CH)</a> has filed for an IPO on the HKEx to raise about US$500m-1bn.</li>
<li>J&amp;T’s SEA operation is the only gross margin making business, however, the segment’s gross margin has been on a declining trend.</li>
<li>Though the gross losses of China biz has reduced during 2020-2022, J&amp;T continues to invest in China to capture market share which we think would delay profits.</li>
</ul>


Global logistics and express delivery service provider J&amp;T Express (1936374D CH) has filed for an IPO on the HKEx to raise about US$500m-1bn.
J&amp;T’s SEA operation is the only gross margin making business, however, the segment’s gross margin has been on a declining trend.
Though the gross losses of China biz has reduced during 2020-2022, J&amp;T continues to invest in China to capture market share which we think would delay profits.


J&T Global Express IPO: SEA Margins Declining and Other Businesses Far from Profitability

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcland-service-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2392:1" rel="noopener">Arcland Service (3085 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>.       </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH),  Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), Arcland Service (3085 JP), JSR Corp (4185 JP), SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Amara Holdings (AMA SP), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK).       


Weekly Deals Digest (25 Jun) - Alibaba, JSR, Shinsei, Arcland, InvoCare, J&T Global, Amman Mineral

Hong Kong

Kerry Logistics Network Limited provides logistics services in Asia and internationally. The Company offers integrated logistics services, as well as leases warehousing space in Hong Kong and provides international freight forwarding services.

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited operates scheduled airline services. The Company also provides related services, including airline catering, aircraft handling, and engineering.

Orient Overseas International Ltd, through its subsidiaries, owns and leases ships, operates terminals, and provides freight forwarding and container transportation services.  The Company also develops and invests in properties, leases equipment, and invests in securities.

China Merchants Holdings International Company Limited, through its subsidiaries and associated companies, operates container and cargo terminals, port transportation, and airport cargo handling.  The Company also manufactures containers, paint, and trailers as well as operates toll road, shipping, property, and dealing securities businesses.

SITC International Holdings Company Ltd. offers marine shipping services.  The Company offers container liner shipping, freight forwarding, customs clearance, shipping agency, and ship brokerage services.  SITC operates in Asia.

COSCO Shipping Ports Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides shipping container leasing services worldwide.  The Company also operates container terminals and provides container handling, storage, transportation and management services, as well as depot handling and stevedoring services.

YTO Express Holdings Limited provides freight and logistics services. The Company offers air freight, marine transportation, information technology capabilities, warehousing, order assembly, and other related services.  YTO Express Holdings provides services worldwide.

YTO Express (International) Holdings (6123 HK)

Shenzhen International Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides investment, construction, and operation of logistic infrastructure facilities, as well as offers value-added logistic services. Shenzhen International serves customers worldwide.

Pacific Basin Shipping Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides marine transportation services and logistical support to its customers through the commercial operation of a large, modern, and uniformly-sized fleet of shallow-draft Handysize dry bulk carriers.

COSCO SHIPPING International (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd. provides shipping related services. The Company offers shipping, logistics, shipbuilding and ship repair services, ship trading agency services, marine insurance brokerage services, marine equipment and spare parts, coating products, and marine fuel and other related shipping products. COSCO International serves clients around the world.

Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd. provides domestic and international logistic services. The Company's services include domestic transportation, storage, packaging, vehicle logistic, and logistic consulting.  GLOVIS also runs automobile auction market for used vehicle.

Financiere de l'Odet is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, offers transport and international logistics, the distribution of energy, the production of plastic films and thin paper, the manufacture of specialized terminals and systems, and the management of investments in plantations and in other market areas, including media and communication.

SG Holdings Co., Ltd. offers courier services. The Company provides goods delivery, cargo logistics, goods pickup, and other services. SG Holdings also operates real estate development, human resources management, and other businesses.

Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd. mainly provides door-to-door parcel delivery services. The Company has developed a nationwide delivery system specializing in time-specified delivery. Yamato Holdings offers moving services and other comprehensive transportation services including logistics services for both domestic and overseas customers as well as financial and autoworks services.

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. provides multimodal transportation services and logistics solutions. The Company operates a network of offices in North America, Europe, Asia, South America, and the Middle East. C.H. Robinson provides a variety of logistics services, such as fresh produce sourcing and freight consolidation.

Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. offers logistics services. The Company provides freight vehicle transportation, railway transportation, air transportation, sea transportation, port transportation, warehousing, and other services. Nippon Express Holdings provides its services throughout Japan.

Mainfreight Limited provides and supplies freight, warehousing and logistics services throughout New Zealand and Australia.  The Company provides freight forwarding services by road, rail, sea and air along with providing international freight forwarding services, customs clearance services and specialized handling of hazardous substances.

Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings, S.A. operates as an international logistical solution provider. The Company offers logistics, parcel and express courier transport, industrial parcel transport, and long distance and full truck load transport management services.

International Distributions Services plc provides postal and delivery services. The Company offers letter and parcel delivery services. International Distributions Services serves consumers, sole traders, SMEs, large businesses, and access operators worldwide.

International Distributions Services (IDS LN)

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

J&T Global Express Limited operates as a global logistics service provider. The Company offers road express delivery, air express transportation, supply chain warehousing, and other value added services. J&T Global Express conducts business in China, Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and other countries.

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J&T Global Express (1519 HK)

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, JSR, DDH1/Perenti, Silk Laser) and ECM (Tryt, J&T...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (2nd July 2023) - Tryt, J&T Express, Redox, Kelun, 4Paradigm, SIA, M&A Research, Walsin

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Blue Lotus IPO Outlook/J&T Express: Cash Crunch as Prices Slump, Overseas Volume Ramps

We expect that J&T’s China and SEA’s growth will slow down. we value J&T at US$ 10 bn, which is (25%) vs. J&T’s valuation in its latest round of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

J&T Global Express IPO: SEA Margins Declining and Other Businesses Far from Profitability

J&T's SEA operation is the only gross margin making business though China is the largest revenue generator. J&T's continued investment to capture...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Weekly Deals Digest (25 Jun) - Alibaba, JSR, Shinsei, Arcland, InvoCare, J&T Global, Amman Mineral

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (InvoCare, Arcland, JSR, SBI Shinsei, Amara, Yashili) and ECM (Alibaba, J&T Global...

Arun George

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