Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In November, domestic parcel volume growth accelerated vs recent months</li>
<li>International remains very strong; STO keeps taking share from Yunda</li>
<li>Avoid domestic 'ground' segment, seek international growth in SF, CaiNiao</li>
</ul>


In November, domestic parcel volume growth accelerated vs recent months
International remains very strong; STO keeps taking share from Yunda
Avoid domestic 'ground' segment, seek international growth in SF, CaiNiao


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Prices Keep Sliding, Volume Share Keeps Shifting (December 2023)

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since SEC operates in US executive branch, Congress lacks power to stop IPOs</li>
<li>But by passing new laws, Congress could potentially undermine SHEIN's IPO</li>
<li>Given current political climate in the US, SHEIN IPO faces real political risks</li>
</ul>


Since SEC operates in US executive branch, Congress lacks power to stop IPOs
But by passing new laws, Congress could potentially undermine SHEIN's IPO
Given current political climate in the US, SHEIN IPO faces real political risks


Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>AMZN/PDD/Shein: Amazon launches new supply chain solution for China merchants (+/-/-)</li>
<li>JD/2618 HK: Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to article written by internal employee (+/+)</li>
<li>772 HK/700 HK: Yuewen will acquire Tencent Comics business line and related IP for 600 million RMB. (+/+) </li>
</ul>


AMZN/PDD/Shein: Amazon launches new supply chain solution for China merchants (+/-/-)
JD/2618 HK: Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to article written by internal employee (+/+)
772 HK/700 HK: Yuewen will acquire Tencent Comics business line and related IP for 600 million RMB. (+/+) 


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:SE/GRAB/GOTO IJ/1519 HK/JD/2618 HK/AMZN/PDD/Shein/BABA/700 HK/772 HK

<ul>
<li>BABA/MELI/PDD/Shein/1519 HK: Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico (+/+/-/-/-/)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent gaming studio &lt;Level Infinite&gt; announced 4 new games at The Game Award 2023(+)</li>
<li>BABA/Temu/Shein/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI: Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered &lt;1688&gt; in South Korea(+/+/+/+/+/-/-)</li>
</ul>


BABA/MELI/PDD/Shein/1519 HK: Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico (+/+/-/-/-/)
700 HK: Tencent gaming studio &lt;Level Infinite&gt; announced 4 new games at The Game Award 2023(+)
BABA/Temu/Shein/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI: Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered &lt;1688&gt; in South Korea(+/+/+/+/+/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA/Temu/Shein/PDD/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI/JD/1024 HK/2618 HK

<ul>
<li>Recently, Yunda Holding has lost volume share to rival STO Express </li>
<li>One reason could be Alibaba's transfer of its 25% stake in STO to CaiNiao</li>
<li>For Yunda, this dynamic adds to intense near-term pressure on margins</li>
</ul>


Recently, Yunda Holding has lost volume share to rival STO Express 
One reason could be Alibaba's transfer of its 25% stake in STO to CaiNiao
For Yunda, this dynamic adds to intense near-term pressure on margins


Beyond ASP Declines, Additional Dynamic Undermines Yunda | We Explain Roles of STO, BABA, CaiNiao

Hong Kong

J&T Global Express Limited operates as a global logistics service provider. The Company offers road express delivery, air express transportation, supply chain warehousing, and other value added services. J&T Global Express conducts business in China, Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and other countries.

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J&T Global Express (1519 HK)

Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

US lawmakers are making noise about "blocking" SHEIN's expected US IPO. Though they do not have a formal role in the IPO process, lawmakers could...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:SE/GRAB/GOTO IJ/1519 HK/JD/2618 HK/AMZN/PDD/Shein/BABA/700 HK/772 HK

Amazon introduces a supply chain solution for Chinese merchants, Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to an internal article, and Yuewen acquires...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA/Temu/Shein/PDD/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI/JD/1024 HK/2618 HK

Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico; Tencent gaming studio announces 4 new games; Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered 1688 in South...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Beyond ASP Declines, Additional Dynamic Undermines Yunda | We Explain Roles of STO, BABA, CaiNiao

A loss of volume share to rival STO is adding to existing margin pressure at Yunda related to declining prices. This new dynamic could be related...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Prices Keep Sliding, Volume Share Keeps Shifting (December 2023)

Although domestic parcel volume has strengthened in recent months, pricing continues to weaken, and China's 'sort & transport' express companies...

Tracking Traffic

Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

US lawmakers are making noise about "blocking" SHEIN's expected US IPO. Though they do not have a formal role in the IPO process, lawmakers could...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:SE/GRAB/GOTO IJ/1519 HK/JD/2618 HK/AMZN/PDD/Shein/BABA/700 HK/772 HK

​Amazon introduces a supply chain solution for Chinese merchants, Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to an internal article, and Yuewen acquires...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA/Temu/Shein/PDD/CPNG/SE/AMZN/MELI/JD/1024 HK/2618 HK

​Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico; Tencent gaming studio announces 4 new games; Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered 1688 in South...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Beyond ASP Declines, Additional Dynamic Undermines Yunda | We Explain Roles of STO, BABA, CaiNiao

A loss of volume share to rival STO is adding to existing margin pressure at Yunda related to declining prices. This new dynamic could be related...

Tracking Traffic

Amazon introduces a supply chain solution for Chinese merchants, Richard Liu Qiangdong responds to an internal article, and Yuewen acquires...

Cainiao launches charter flight route to Mexico; Tencent gaming studio announces 4 new games; Alibaba plans to launch LLM AI-powered 1688 in South...