IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> has entered a SID with TPG at A$12.70 per share, a modest -2.3% discount to the previous non-binding offer of A$13.00 per share.</li>
<li>The price cut was justified by a trading update which noted a challenging near-term macro-environment and softening in market volumes. The median peers’ share prices have also derated.</li>
<li>The offer requires shareholder, FIRB and OIO approval. At the last close and for the end of November payment, the gross and annualised spread is 1.8% and 5.7%, respectively. </li>
</ul>



Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) has entered a SID with TPG at A$12.70 per share, a modest -2.3% discount to the previous non-binding offer of A$13.00 per share.
The price cut was justified by a trading update which noted a challenging near-term macro-environment and softening in market volumes. The median peers’ share prices have also derated.
The offer requires shareholder, FIRB and OIO approval. At the last close and for the end of November payment, the gross and annualised spread is 1.8% and 5.7%, respectively. 


InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG’s Binding Proposal at A$12.70

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>After pitching a A$13/share NBIO on the 15 May, TPG has now <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02695673-2A1465479?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">inked</a> a Scheme Implementation agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">InvoCare (IVC AU)</a> at A$12.70/share, inclusive of a A$0.60/share fully franked dividend. </li>
<li>This compares to PE-outfit TPG's A$12.65/share NBIO on the 7 March - which Australia's leading funeral services provider InvoCare promptly rejected.  </li>
<li>A comparatively benign flu season, and an expected ~10% decline in 1H23 EBITDA, largely account for InvoCare's change of heart.</li>
</ul>


After pitching a A$13/share NBIO on the 15 May, TPG has now inked a Scheme Implementation agreement with InvoCare (IVC AU) at A$12.70/share, inclusive of a A$0.60/share fully franked dividend. 
This compares to PE-outfit TPG's A$12.65/share NBIO on the 7 March - which Australia's leading funeral services provider InvoCare promptly rejected.  
A comparatively benign flu season, and an expected ~10% decline in 1H23 EBITDA, largely account for InvoCare's change of heart.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare</a> has entered into a scheme implementation deed with TPG at A$12.7/share. This is higher than the initial offer of A$12.65/share but lower than the revised offer of A$13/share.</li>
<li>There is an extra A$0.26/share in franking credits for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> shareholders that can use them.</li>
<li>Passives will need to sell nearly 11m shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> on the last trading day and there will be an adhoc inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>



Invocare has entered into a scheme implementation deed with TPG at A$12.7/share. This is higher than the initial offer of A$12.65/share but lower than the revised offer of A$13/share.
There is an extra A$0.26/share in franking credits for Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) shareholders that can use them.
Passives will need to sell nearly 11m shares of Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) on the last trading day and there will be an adhoc inclusion to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 Index.


InvoCare (IVC AU): SID Signed with TPG at A$12.7/Share

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-techno-solutions-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2431:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Chindata Group (CD US), Estia Health (EHE AU), Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Eoflow (294090 KS), JSR Corp (4185 JP). 
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Penguin International (PBS SP), Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB), Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) - JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-securities-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39933:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebixcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36390:1" rel="noopener">EbixCash (EBIXC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lalatech-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36848:1" rel="noopener">Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd (LALA HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Tryt Inc (9164 JP), Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP), EbixCash (EBIXC IN), Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd (LALA HK), Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - 111 Inc (YI US), Healius (HLS AU), Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), Newcrest Mining (NCM AU), Origin Energy (ORG AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (23 Jul) - Rakuten Securities, Tryt, EbixCash, Lalatech, 111, Newcrest, Origin

Australia

InvoCare Limited owns and operates funeral homes, cemeteries and crematoriums in Australia. The Company's activities include the provision of funerals, burials and cremations through it's funeral home brands including Blackwell, Guardian, George Hartnett, Le Pine, Purslowe, Simplicity Funerals and White Lady Funerals.

Price Gauge
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Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG’s Binding Proposal at A$12.70

Despite the price cut, the offer is attractive in the context of challenging trading and derating of peers. At the last close and for the end of...

Arun George

InvoCare Agrees To TPG's Lower Offer

At a 1.8%/6.7% gross/annualised spread, assuming mid-Nov completion; and a risk-free rate >4%, this is trading tight. Stay in for those who got in...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) - JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (19.6%), Chindata (15.3%), Estia (12.7%), InvoCare (10.4%), ENM (9.4%), Eoflow (7.7%), JSR (7.2%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (23 Jul) - Rakuten Securities, Tryt, EbixCash, Lalatech, 111, Newcrest, Origin

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (111, Healius, InvoCare, Newcrest, Origin Energy) and ECM (Rakuten Securities, Tryt,...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG’s Binding Proposal at A$12.70

Despite the price cut, the offer is attractive in the context of challenging trading and derating of peers. At the last close and for the end of...

Arun George

InvoCare Agrees To TPG's Lower Offer

At a 1.8%/6.7% gross/annualised spread, assuming mid-Nov completion; and a risk-free rate >4%, this is trading tight. Stay in for those who got in...

David Blennerhassett

InvoCare (IVC AU): SID Signed with TPG at A$12.7/Share

TPG has signed an SID to buy all shares in Invocare at A$12.7/sh. There is an extra A$0.257/share in franking credits for those that can use it....

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) - JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (19.6%), Chindata (15.3%), Estia (12.7%), InvoCare (10.4%), ENM (9.4%), Eoflow (7.7%), JSR (7.2%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (23 Jul) - Rakuten Securities, Tryt, EbixCash, Lalatech, 111, Newcrest, Origin

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (111, Healius, InvoCare, Newcrest, Origin Energy) and ECM (Rakuten Securities, Tryt,...

Arun George