Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> has received an unsolicited, preliminary, non-binding indicative offer from TPG Global to acquire the company at A$12.65/share in cash.</li>
<li>TPG has also acquired 17.8% of the shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a> via a combination of stock and derivatives.</li>
<li>With the company now in play, there could be competing offers. Already owning 17.8% of the company, TPG is now invested in ensuring they gain control.</li>
</ul>



Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) has received an unsolicited, preliminary, non-binding indicative offer from TPG Global to acquire the company at A$12.65/share in cash.
TPG has also acquired 17.8% of the shares in Invocare Ltd (IVC AU) via a combination of stock and derivatives.
With the company now in play, there could be competing offers. Already owning 17.8% of the company, TPG is now invested in ensuring they gain control.


InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG's A$12.65/Share NBIO

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>PE outfit TPG has taken a 17.8% stake in <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">InvoCare Ltd (IVC AU)</a></strong>, Australia's leading funeral services provider, and also pitched a A$12.65/share non-binding indicative Offer via a Scheme.</li>
<li>The Indicative proposal is subject to the completion of satisfactory due diligence, and FIRB.</li>
<li>InvoCare, which has struggled to generate consistent profits in recent years, is mulling the proposal. Pricing is around the Covid cliff. </li>
</ul>


PE outfit TPG has taken a 17.8% stake in InvoCare Ltd (IVC AU), Australia's leading funeral services provider, and also pitched a A$12.65/share non-binding indicative Offer via a Scheme.
The Indicative proposal is subject to the completion of satisfactory due diligence, and FIRB.
InvoCare, which has struggled to generate consistent profits in recent years, is mulling the proposal. Pricing is around the Covid cliff. 


InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG's Non-Binding Offer

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.afr.com/street-talk/pe-buyer-chases-invocare-stake-ubs-runs-raid-20230306-p5cpvl" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AFR reports</a> that TPG Capital, through UBS, is seeking to acquire 14.4m or 10.00% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invocare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9044:1" rel="noopener">Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)</a>'s outstanding shares at A$12.65, a 41.3% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>If the aftermarket raid is successful, TPG will follow the tried-and-test private equity playbook of securing a pre-bid stake before lobbing a non-binding offer at A$12.65 per share</li>
<li>TPG has timed its move to take advantage of the post-results price slump. While not a knockout offer, it is a starting point for the Board to secure better terms.</li>
</ul>



AFR reports that TPG Capital, through UBS, is seeking to acquire 14.4m or 10.00% of Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)'s outstanding shares at A$12.65, a 41.3% premium to the undisturbed price.
If the aftermarket raid is successful, TPG will follow the tried-and-test private equity playbook of securing a pre-bid stake before lobbing a non-binding offer at A$12.65 per share
TPG has timed its move to take advantage of the post-results price slump. While not a knockout offer, it is a starting point for the Board to secure better terms.


InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG Capital Makes a Move

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 23rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CBA, Pilbara Minerals, Fortescue Metals, ANZ, NAB.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 23rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CBA, Pilbara Minerals, Fortescue Metals, ANZ, NAB.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Short Covering for Banks

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 16th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Woodside, Pilbara, Macquarie, Inghams, Nufarm, ANZ, CBA.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 16th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Woodside, Pilbara, Macquarie, Inghams, Nufarm, ANZ, CBA.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 16th): Woodside, Pilbara, Macquarie, Inghams, Nufarm, ANZ, CBA

Australia

InvoCare Limited owns and operates funeral homes, cemeteries and crematoriums in Australia. The Company's activities include the provision of funerals, burials and cremations through it's funeral home brands including Blackwell, Guardian, George Hartnett, Le Pine, Purslowe, Simplicity Funerals and White Lady Funerals.

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Invocare Ltd (IVC AU)

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG's Non-Binding Offer

This remains an indicative Offer. However, TPG is not holding back with an initial 17.8% stake. I'd buy around A$12, or 5.4%/13% annualised,...

David Blennerhassett

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG Capital Makes a Move

TPG is seeking a 10% pre-bid stake and will subsequently lob a non-binding offer at A$12.65. While not a knockout offer, it is a good starting...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Short Covering for Banks

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CBA, Pilbara Minerals, Fortescue Metals, ANZ, NAB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 16th): Woodside, Pilbara, Macquarie, Inghams, Nufarm, ANZ, CBA

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside, Pilbara, Macquarie, Inghams, Nufarm, ANZ,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG's A$12.65/Share NBIO

TPG has made an NBIO to acquire InvoCare at A$12.65/share for an equity value of A$1.8bn. TPG has also bought up 17.8% of the company. We'd buy...

Brian Freitas

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG's Non-Binding Offer

This remains an indicative Offer. However, TPG is not holding back with an initial 17.8% stake. I'd buy around A$12, or 5.4%/13% annualised,...

David Blennerhassett

InvoCare (IVC AU): TPG Capital Makes a Move

TPG is seeking a 10% pre-bid stake and will subsequently lob a non-binding offer at A$12.65. While not a knockout offer, it is a good starting...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 23rd): Short Covering for Banks

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in CBA, Pilbara Minerals, Fortescue Metals, ANZ, NAB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 16th): Woodside, Pilbara, Macquarie, Inghams, Nufarm, ANZ, CBA

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside, Pilbara, Macquarie, Inghams, Nufarm, ANZ,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM