Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We expect the maximum permitted 30 changes at a single review to take place at the June rebalance. Most changes are high probability.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.25% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 10.677bn.</li>
<li>Industrials, Information Technology and Materials sectors are expected to have the most net inclusions, while Health Care and Financials are expected to have the most net deletions.</li>
</ul>


We expect the maximum permitted 30 changes at a single review to take place at the June rebalance. Most changes are high probability.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.25% at the rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 10.677bn.
Industrials, Information Technology and Materials sectors are expected to have the most net inclusions, while Health Care and Financials are expected to have the most net deletions.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 30 Potential Changes as Sector Rotation Continues

<ul>
<li>With a few weeks to the end of the review period, we see 30 potential changes (the maximum allowed at a review) to the index in June.</li>
<li>Most of the changes are high probability ones. We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.48% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.86bn.</li>
<li>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions over the last couple of months. There could be more to go here as positions are built in the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


With a few weeks to the end of the review period, we see 30 potential changes (the maximum allowed at a review) to the index in June.
Most of the changes are high probability ones. We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.48% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.86bn.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions over the last couple of months. There could be more to go here as positions are built in the next few weeks.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Maxing Out the 30 Changes

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/top-glove-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20759:1" rel="noopener">Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK)</a>’s strong performance was attributable to the unprecedented demand for glove products during the COVID-19 pandemic.</li>
<li>Judging from the past development, Top Glove is highly correlated with the global pandemic or virus both in terms of financial indicators and market value performance.</li>
<li>Therefore, although Top Glove would continue to be in the first echelon in this industry, investors should not expect too much from the Company’s performance after COVID-19 is under control.</li>
</ul>



Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK)’s strong performance was attributable to the unprecedented demand for glove products during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Judging from the past development, Top Glove is highly correlated with the global pandemic or virus both in terms of financial indicators and market value performance.
Therefore, although Top Glove would continue to be in the first echelon in this industry, investors should not expect too much from the Company’s performance after COVID-19 is under control.


Pre-IPO Top Glove Corp - The Good Times Brought by COVID-19 Are Slipping Away

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Beijing municipality has added fertility treatment in its medical insurance program. We analyzed related impact.</li>
<li>If we hope to have more companies entering global TOP50 during “14th Five-Year Plan” period, domestic medical device companies need at least 25% annualized revenue growth to make it happen.</li>
<li>Actually, the national medical insurance doesn't determine market size directly but adjust the “distribution”. There's no need to focus solely on anti-tumor field, but rare diseases and central nervous system diseases.</li>
</ul>


The Beijing municipality has added fertility treatment in its medical insurance program. We analyzed related impact.
If we hope to have more companies entering global TOP50 during “14th Five-Year Plan” period, domestic medical device companies need at least 25% annualized revenue growth to make it happen.
Actually, the national medical insurance doesn't determine market size directly but adjust the “distribution”. There's no need to focus solely on anti-tumor field, but rare diseases and central nervous system diseases.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.25)-Assisted Reproduction, Medical Device Co. Globalization, New Growth

<ul>
<li>Nearly midway through the review period for the June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>, we see 29 potential changes to the index.</li>
<li>There are a lot of high and medium probability changes that could result in a one-way turnover of 4.2% and a one-way trade of CNY 10.17bn at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>The potential inclusions have underperformed the potential deletions by c.15% over the last month and this provides a good entry point into a long short/trade.</li>
</ul>


Nearly midway through the review period for the June rebalance of the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX), we see 29 potential changes to the index.
There are a lot of high and medium probability changes that could result in a one-way turnover of 4.2% and a one-way trade of CNY 10.17bn at the June rebalance.
The potential inclusions have underperformed the potential deletions by c.15% over the last month and this provides a good entry point into a long short/trade.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (June 2022): Changes Near the Midway Mark

China

Andon Health Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells medical electronic devices for home use.  The Company's products include blood pressure monitors, blood glucose monitors, and digital thermometers.

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, researches and develops, produces, and sells single-use aseptic polymer medical products.

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co (1066 HK)

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of pharmaceutical glass products including molded vials, tube vials, ampoule, amber vials, infusion vials, and glass tubes.  The Company also manufactures paper packaging boxes and invests in petrochemical industry.

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. A (600529 CH)

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. A

Sinocare Inc. develops, manufactures, sells biosensor technology real-time detection products. The Company's main products include rapid trace blood glucose testers, and supporting blood glucose testing strips.

Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992. The company's line of business includes manufacturing of medical diagnostic tests.  Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech serves customers around the world.

Microport Scientific Corp. manufactures interventional and minimally invasive devices for keyhole surgery. The Company's products are used to treat vascular diseases and is developing devices to treat diabetes and orthopedic diseases.

Shinva Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets medical instruments and equipment.  The Company's products include sterilization equipment, radiation diagnosis and radiotherapy equipment, chemical indication products, and medical environmental protection equipment.

Shanghai Tofflon Science and Technology Company Limited develops, designs, produces and markets pharmaceutical freeze dryer and related systems. The Company's main products include in-place sterilisation, in-place lyophilization cleaners, laboratory freeze dryers, production freeze dryers, liquid nitrogen freeze dryers and freeze drying systems and equipments.

Lepu Medical Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells medical devices and parts.  The Company also offers medical devices consulting services.  The company's products include stent system and blockage system.

Double Medical Technology Inc. operates as an orthopedic devices manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells physical therapy equipment, orthopedic surgical instruments, injection puncture, and other products. Double Medical Technology markets its products throughout China.

Osstem Implant Co., Ltd. manufactures dental implant system. The Company also markets dental management software. Osstem Implant provides products for dental surgery and exports abroad.

LivaNova PLC operates as a medical technology company. The Company focuses on neuromodulation, as well as cardiac surgery and rhythm management. LivaNova develops medical solutions for the treatment of cardiovascular diseases.

JEOL Ltd. manufactures electron optics instruments and analytical instruments including electron microscope, X-ray diffractometer and spectrometer and thermographs.  The Company also makes semiconductor manufacturing equipment, medical equipment and industrial equipment.

Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corp develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices, implants, and biomaterials. The Company's products are primarily used in the treatment of burns and skin defects, spinal and cranial disorders, orthopedics, and other surgical applications.

Poly Medicure Limited manufactures disposable healthcare products. The Company offers a wide range of products for infusion therapy, anesthesia, urology, gastroenterology, blood management, surgery and drainage, and catheters.

CONMED Corporation provides orthopedic products, specializing in arthroscopy and powered surgical instruments.  The Company develops, manufactures, and supplies surgical instruments and systems used in a range of surgical procedures.  CONMED's products include arthroscopic surgery devices and powered surgical instruments, electrosurgery systems, and ECG electrodes for heart monitoring.

QuidelOrtho Corporation provides health care services. The Company offers technologies and platforms to benefit customers with expanded access to clinical chemistry, immunoassay, molecular diagnostics, immunohematology, donor screening, and point-of-care diagnostics offerings.

NIHON KOHDEN CORPORATION develops, manufactures, and sells medical equipment, transformers, and power switches and devices.  The Company's products include testing equipment for cerebral nerve such as electroencephalographs, circulatory systems, diagnostic equipment, catheters, biogenic monitoring systems such as electrocardiographs used into patient monitoring systems.

NuVasive, Inc. designs, develops, and markets products for the surgical treatment of spine disorders. The Company's products include Maximum Access Surgery (MAS) and Fusion products.

Hartalega Holdings Bhd. manufactures a wide range of latex gloves. The Company's products include natural rubber examination gloves, nitrile examination gloves, nitrile clean room gloves and natural rubber surgical gloves.

Intco Medical Technology Co.,Ltd. manufactures and distributes medical supplies. The Company produces disposable gloves, wheelchairs, gauzes, electrodes, and other products. Intco Medical Technology markets its products throughout China.

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Intco Medical Technology Lt (300677 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: 30 Potential Changes as Sector Rotation Continues

We forecast 30 changes at the June rebalance for the CSI300 Index - most high probability. Industrials, IT and Materials sectors will have net...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Maxing Out the 30 Changes

We estimate 30 changes at the June rebalance with a one-way turnover of 4.48% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.86bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO Top Glove Corp - The Good Times Brought by COVID-19 Are Slipping Away

We analyzed the industry characteristics of disposable gloves,competition pattern,business outlook/logic and concerns of Top Glove. Investors...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.25)-Assisted Reproduction, Medical Device Co. Globalization, New Growth

Assisted reproduction is covered by medical insurance; We analyzed the benchmark of medical device companies' globalization, clarify the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (June 2022): Changes Near the Midway Mark

Nearly midway through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI300 index, we see 29 potential changes resulting in a one-way turnover of...

Brian Freitas

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Market Cap (USDm)

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