HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Innovent is actually not short of money, so the Placing this time looks “strange”.If Innovent is unable to deliver performance that matches expectations, investors would reconsider its future financing needs.</li>
<li>Innovent is undergoing important transition from quantitative change to qualitative change as turning losses into profits is within reach. So, the "concept validation" of Innovent's business model has been completed.</li>
<li>Innovent decides to place the shares at this moment reflects that its stock price is already high. Based on our forecast, there could be limited upside room for share price.  </li>
</ul>


Innovent is actually not short of money, so the Placing this time looks “strange”.If Innovent is unable to deliver performance that matches expectations, investors would reconsider its future financing needs.
Innovent is undergoing important transition from quantitative change to qualitative change as turning losses into profits is within reach. So, the "concept validation" of Innovent's business model has been completed.
Innovent decides to place the shares at this moment reflects that its stock price is already high. Based on our forecast, there could be limited upside room for share price.  


Innovent Biologics Placement (1801.HK) - There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&amp;D and marketing.</li>
<li>The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, with the overall results being mixed.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&amp;D and marketing.
The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, with the overall results being mixed.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Innovent Biologics Placement - Has Ample Cash but the Discount Is Enticing

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Innovent Biologics Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Strong sales growth momentum. In 1H23, Innovent recorded total revenue of RMB2.7bn, accounting for 51% of our previous FY estimate, which is better than our expectation.</li><li>Innovent realized RMB2.5bn product sales in 1H23, regaining strong sales with +20% YoY growth rate (vs the -2% YoY in 2H22).</li><li>The strong growth was driven by the strong performance of sintilimab and other products. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Strong sales growth momentum. In 1H23, Innovent recorded total revenue of RMB2.7bn, accounting for 51% of our previous FY estimate, which is better than our expectation.Innovent realized RMB2.5bn product sales in 1H23, regaining strong sales with +20% YoY growth rate (vs the -2% YoY in 2H22).The strong growth was driven by the strong performance of sintilimab and other products. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) – Strong Sales Growth with Improved Cost Efficiency

Healthcare equity analyst - emerging & dev mkts, daaimon

Avien Pillay

Healthcare equity analyst - emerging & dev mkts

daaimon

daaimon is an independent research company focusing on healthcare and consumer sectors across developed and emerging markets. We produce insightful research which challenges conventional thinking. In particular, we look for new ideas by testing consensus forecasts and markets expectations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The obesity problem has escalated at an alarming rate in Asia. </li>
<li>Expect strong growth for GLP-1s over the next few years, however, companies that produce next-generation drugs will take the lead.</li>
<li>The significant increase in newly approved drugs will result in margin pressure - pricing will be key.</li>
</ul>


The obesity problem has escalated at an alarming rate in Asia. 
Expect strong growth for GLP-1s over the next few years, however, companies that produce next-generation drugs will take the lead.
The significant increase in newly approved drugs will result in margin pressure - pricing will be key.


Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Though Sentiment Fragile for Both.</li>
<li>Energy sector shows signs of a turnaround from long-term decline, whilst Financials remain unloved by China investors.</li>
<li>Real Estate allocations have hit record lows, with average holdings at just 2.93%, while Consumer Discretionary sector approaches all-time highs.</li>
</ul>


Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Though Sentiment Fragile for Both.
Energy sector shows signs of a turnaround from long-term decline, whilst Financials remain unloved by China investors.
Real Estate allocations have hit record lows, with average holdings at just 2.93%, while Consumer Discretionary sector approaches all-time highs.


China

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Corporation Limited researches, develops, and commercializes biological products.  The Company provides treatment for hepatitis and offers a line of vaccine products including hepatitis vaccines and rubella vaccines.

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH)

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products Company Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells vaccines and biological products including prevention products, blood products, diagnostic reagents, and therapeutic agents.

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH)

Hualan Biological Engineering Inc. produces and markets human serum albumin (HSA), gamma globulin, frozen prothrombin (PCC), and other related biological products.

Hualan Biological Engineering (002007 CH)

Walvax Biotechnology Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells bio-pharmaceutical vaccination products.  The Company's products include haemophilus influenzae type b conjugate vaccine and meningococcal group A,C bivalent polysaccharide conjugate vaccine.

3SBio, Inc. is a biotechnology company located in China. The Company focuses on mammalian cell-based biopharmaceuticals in the biotechnology industry. 3SBio also develops, manufactures and markets biopharmaceutical products globally.

Jiangxi Boya Bio-Pharmaceutical company Limited develops, produces and sells blood product. The Company's main products include human serum albumin, intravenous immunoglobulin (static C) and fibrinogen.

Jiangxi Boya Bio Pharmaceutical (300294 CH)

Zai Lab Limited operates as a bio-pharmaceutical company. The Company researches and develops therapeutic technology for antibody-based oncology, autoimmune, and infectious diseases treatments. Zai Lab also manufactures drugs in the form of capsules, injections, and liquids. Zai Lab serves patients worldwide.

BGI Genomics Co., Ltd offers researching and testing services. The Company provides deoxyribonucleic acid sequencing, food science, health care researching, cancer prevention, drug discovery, and DNA sequencing. BGI Genomics offers services to medical and scientific research institutions worldwide.

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

Shenzhen Kangtai Biological Products Co., Ltd. operates biological product manufacturing businesses. The Company produces biological vaccines and other vaccine products. Shenzhen Kangtai Biological Products conducts businesses in China.

Shenzhen Kangtai Biological Pr (300601 CH)

Blueprint Medicines Corporation develops and distributes biomedical treatments. The Company researches and produces medicines and treatments for cancer targeting the molecular differences. Blueprint Medicines focuses selective drugs for genomically defined cancer patients.

Exact Sciences Corp., is focused on developing and commercializing a non-invasive molecular screening test for the early detection and prevention of colorectal cancer. The Company's test is a stool-based DNA test that identifies both pre-cancer and cancer by detecting genetic mutations in colorectal cancer cells.

Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. operates as a biotechnology company. The Company researches in RNA-targeted drug discovery and development that focuses on drugs for patients who have unmet medical needs. Ionis Pharmaceuticals serves customers in the United States.

ImmunoGen, Inc. develops targeted anticancer therapeutics using its Targeted Antibody Payload (TAP) technology together with its expertise in monoclonal antibodies and tumor biology. A TAP compound uses a tumor-targeting monoclonal antibody to deliver one of  ImmunoGen's purpose-developed cancer-killing agents specifically to tumor cells.

Repligen Corporation is a bioprocessing company focused on the development, production, and commercialization of innovative products used in the process of manufacturing biologic drugs. The Company's customers include life sciences companies, global biopharmaceutical companies, and contract manufacturers worldwide.

Cytokinetics, Incorporated is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company.  The Company is focused on the discovery and development of novel small molecule therapeutics that modulate muscle function for the potential treatment of serious diseases and medical conditions.

IVERIC bio, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops treatments for patients with orphan inherited retinal diseases with significant unmet medical needs. IVERIC bio serves customers in the United States.

Alteogen Inc. is a pharmaceutical research company.  The Company researches and develops bio-medicines such as bio-better and bio-similar.

PharmaEssentia Corporation develops and distributes therapeutic products for treatment in human disease. The Company develops drugs to treat hepatitis, chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), essential thrombocythemia (ET), myeloid fibrosis (MF), polycythemia vera (PV), hepatitis and cancer.

Exelixis, Inc. is a development-stage biotechnology company dedicated to the discovery and development of small-molecule therapeutics for the treatment of cancer and other serious diseases.  The Company is building a portfolio of compounds it believes could become pharmaceutical products.  Exelixis has strategic alliances with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies.

Innovent Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes monoclonal antibody drug candidates for the treatment of oncology, ophthalmology, autoimmune, cardiovascular, and other diseases. Innovent Biologics serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)

Innovent Biologics Placement (1801.HK) - There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

Innovent's recent strong share price performance reflects the market's enthusiasm for weight loss drugs. Compared with weight loss pipeline of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Innovent Biologics Placement - Has Ample Cash but the Discount Is Enticing

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) (IB) aims to raise around US$313m for R&D and marketing. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the...

Sumeet Singh

Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) – Strong Sales Growth with Improved Cost Efficiency

Strong sales growth momentum. In 1H23, Innovent recorded total revenue of RMB2.7bn, accounting for 51% of our previous FY estimate, which is better...

CMB International

The GLP-1 Landscape in Asia

First-gen GLP-1 impact may fall short of hype, demand still strong. Next-gen drugs promise better results, tolerance, price. Expect margin pressure...

Avien Pillay

China Macro: Sector Positioning Update

Sector positioning among active China Funds. Industrials and Consumer Staples Remain Top Overweights, Energy shows signs of a turnaround, whilst...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)